| May 31, 03:08 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.967 | $9,667 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:07 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $1,468 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:07 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $4,551 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.399 | $1,490 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.352 | $1,738 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.665 | $3,293 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.279 | $1,397 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.198 | $2,977 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.403 | $3,822 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.485 | $2,680 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:06 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $4,555 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL NO | 0.378 | $1,774 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL NO | 0.579 | $8,856 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.816 | $7,246 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.489 | $2,997 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | SELL NO | 0.788 | $8,160 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | SELL NO | 0.591 | $4,828 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:05 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $19.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.917 | $18.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.548 | $2,249 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.589 | $3,501 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.647 | $4,794 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.684 | $9,479 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.966 | $25.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.810 | $28.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $27.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.361 | $5,138 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.647 | $6,908 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:04 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.817 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $37.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.152 | $3,150 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.140 | $7,263 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.101 | $11.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.163 | $5,200 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.684 | $12.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.646 | $3,784 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.706 | $25.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.399 | $13.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.762 | $10.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.166 | $10.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.045 | $1,090 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.540 | $3,524 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.972 | $29.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.956 | $45.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.434 | $6,432 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:03 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.869 | $28.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.654 | $7,409 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.106 | $2,402 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.412 | $14.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.895 | $15.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.892 | $59.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.915 | $112.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $201.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $178.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:00 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $488.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 02:47 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,412 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:44 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $8,774 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:42 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:41 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $10.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:46 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $84.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:45 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $22.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:02 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $4,847 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 05:47 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 11:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.967 | $38.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 09:32 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $17.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 09:31 AM | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $17.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 09:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $19.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 09:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $19.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 09:24 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $5,701 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:12 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $1,148 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:02 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $37.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 11:12 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $8,661 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 11:02 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL YES | 0.059 | $1,056 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 10:57 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $26.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 10:55 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 07:06 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $24.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 04:01 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $2,652 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:56 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $19.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:42 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $5,309 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:42 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $4,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:39 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.749 | $3,189 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:34 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.354 | $1,348 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 03:25 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $7,011 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:20 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:19 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $2,695 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:03 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.765 | $13.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:36 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $7,280 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:19 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $9,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:19 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $4,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 10:24 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $4,753 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 10:06 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $5,635 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 09:52 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,128 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 09:34 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $7,710 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 09:32 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $6,907 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 09:31 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $16.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 08:20 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $1,269 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 08:10 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $4,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 08:08 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $2,125 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 08:01 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $9,353 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 07:56 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.962 | $7,668 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:48 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $1,980 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:13 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.919 | $33.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 05:45 PM | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $5,244 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 05:06 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.908 | $8,176 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 05:01 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $4,719 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:44 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.949 | $30.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:40 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $7,951 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:36 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.938 | $41.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 07:10 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $9,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:48 AM | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $1,264 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:34 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | BUY NO | 0.680 | $3,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:17 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $10.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 08:03 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $41.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:33 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.876 | $4,499 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 05:33 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $77.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:51 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.971 | $6,521 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:12 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,005 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:09 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $6,793 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 03:57 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.821 | $1,659 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 03:43 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.760 | $12.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 03:42 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.519 | $1,303 | —— |
| May 27, 03:35 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.760 | $4,483 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 03:35 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.760 | $4,781 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 03:15 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $9,460 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 01:46 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,127 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 08:47 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $4,650 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:44 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.780 | $7,672 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:44 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.580 | $1,896 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:37 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $10.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 06:47 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $9,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 06:42 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.906 | $1,027 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 01:56 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.888 | $8,885 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 07:06 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $19.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 07:01 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.904 | $3,425 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 07:00 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $57.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 06:59 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $59.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 06:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $98.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 06:20 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $1,191 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 06:00 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $10.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:59 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $56.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:58 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.857 | $6,240 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:54 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.899 | $58.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:52 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $4,886 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:47 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $19.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:31 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $49.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:30 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $7,854 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 12:05 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $4,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 11:28 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $7,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 09:15 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $2,643 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 12:05 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.901 | $1,297 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 10:13 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $8,583 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 10:13 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.730 | $6,489 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 08:37 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $2,669 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 07:14 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $3,956 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 07:10 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.630 | $2,519 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 07:00 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $4,153 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 06:45 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $10.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 06:40 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $3,357 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 06:27 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $6,000 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:41 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $4,950 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:40 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $16.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:39 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $4,950 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:24 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $5,103 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:09 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $5,584 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:09 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.838 | $4,695 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:42 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,294 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:34 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $4,925 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:30 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.938 | $4,344 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:25 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.933 | $2,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:23 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $5,239 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:22 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.924 | $2,772 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:17 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $4,920 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:09 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $4,925 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:07 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $2,366 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:07 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $4,925 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:02 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | SELL YES | 0.994 | $2,223 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:01 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $4,925 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 11:05 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:03 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $2,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 10:45 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $29.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 08:56 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.882 | $1,198 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:32 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $4,750 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:25 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $16.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:12 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.848 | $4,655 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 01:36 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.864 | $5,993 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 01:05 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.917 | $5,843 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 12:50 AM | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.947 | $6,106 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 12:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $8,092 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 12:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $13.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 12:08 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.881 | $1,531 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 11:40 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY YES | 0.954 | $2,802 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 10:53 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $1,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 08:47 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $5,926 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 08:31 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.520 | $1,861 | —— |
| May 24, 08:28 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.731 | $3,264 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 08:20 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.849 | $3,914 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 08:07 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,686 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |