| Jun 20, 07:10 PM | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $3,840 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 06:33 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $1,351 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 03:08 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.450 | $1,196 | —— |
| Jun 13, 03:04 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL YES | 0.210 | $1,890 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 02:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.189 | $2,841 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 02:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.190 | $2,280 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 02:15 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.245 | $1,377 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 13, 02:14 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.250 | $2,065 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 13, 02:14 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY YES | 0.424 | $1,786 | —— |
| Jun 13, 01:40 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.480 | $1,220 | —— |
| Jun 13, 11:28 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $3,000 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 12, 06:20 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.210 | $2,181 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 12, 05:32 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $3,998 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 05:01 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $4,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:57 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $1,572 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:06 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $1,280 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 01:55 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $1,200 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 11:41 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.770 | $3,080 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:56 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $1,259 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:21 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $1,422 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:24 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $1,620 | —— |
| Jun 11, 11:14 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.780 | $1,560 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:12 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $1,213 | —— |
| Jun 11, 10:43 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $6,320 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:09 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $3,600 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:10 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.558 | $1,116 | —— |
| Jun 11, 08:09 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.961 | $1,922 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:50 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $15.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:45 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $3,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:44 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $3,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:48 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $8,130 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:37 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $4,500 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 12:34 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $7,200 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 04:04 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.820 | $4,920 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 02:53 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $3,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:37 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,750 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:36 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,750 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:36 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,750 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:25 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.718 | $5,746 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:07 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $1,602 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 11:48 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $3,400 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 07:56 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $2,490 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 07:46 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.842 | $4,208 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 07:20 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $5,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 07:18 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $3,360 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 07:14 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $2,550 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 09:52 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.751 | $3,755 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 09:00 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $3,120 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 08:00 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.620 | $2,480 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 07:56 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.620 | $3,100 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 07:18 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.730 | $2,921 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 06:55 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.720 | $2,160 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 06:32 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.580 | $2,320 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:48 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | SELL YES | 0.251 | $1,004 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:44 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $2,520 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 03:03 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.794 | $2,964 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:59 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.617 | $1,850 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.630 | $1,890 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 12:13 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $2,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:04 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.110 | $2,200 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 11:55 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $2,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.110 | $2,200 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 06:58 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.130 | $3,250 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 05:06 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $2,911 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:28 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $2,660 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 02:46 PM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $2,404 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 02:39 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.679 | $2,716 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:37 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.936 | $1,123 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 02:26 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $9,387 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:26 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.684 | $4,141 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:19 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.163 | $17.2K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 02:16 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.620 | $9,920 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 02:15 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $11.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 03:39 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $1,800 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 27, 03:38 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $1,972 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 27, 12:17 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,640 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 09:52 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $5,040 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:04 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,488 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 02:46 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $1,681 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 02:46 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.612 | $5,685 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 02:35 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.610 | $4,880 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 01:10 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $1,160 | —— |
| May 25, 08:33 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL YES | 0.950 | $2,375 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 08:20 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | SELL YES | 0.963 | $1,926 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 07:49 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL YES | 0.956 | $9,561 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 07:48 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? | SELL YES | 0.952 | $4,571 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 06:08 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $3,451 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 06:08 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? | SELL YES | 0.962 | $3,848 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 06:08 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL YES | 0.960 | $5,762 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 06:04 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL YES | 0.976 | $1,464 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:49 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $1,479 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:22 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $2,494 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:59 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.460 | $1,840 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 10:46 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $3,142 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 08:24 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.510 | $3,060 | —— |
| May 24, 06:42 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $1,098 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 06:25 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $1,743 | —— |
| May 24, 06:24 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $3,924 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:59 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $1,960 | —— |
| May 24, 04:16 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $2,000 | —— |
| May 24, 03:01 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.520 | $1,040 | —— |
| May 24, 02:37 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $1,000 | —— |
| May 24, 02:29 PM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $8,370 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:13 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.953 | $5,718 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:04 AM | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL YES | 0.690 | $1,443 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:03 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.956 | $4,780 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 02:10 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.410 | $2,050 | —— |
| May 24, 12:39 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL YES | 0.153 | $1,224 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:59 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.420 | $1,260 | —— |
| May 23, 11:36 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.410 | $1,230 | —— |
| May 23, 09:19 PM | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.689 | $1,792 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:44 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $1,665 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 08:43 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.963 | $10.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 05:17 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.530 | $1,060 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 05:15 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY YES | 0.079 | $2,370 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 05:15 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.921 | $4,605 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 04:15 PM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.961 | $7,687 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.565 | $1,129 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 10:23 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $2,928 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 10:14 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.977 | $1,008 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 09:39 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $2,070 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 12:07 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.690 | $2,760 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 08:57 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.967 | $2,901 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 08:21 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $2,670 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 08:20 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.971 | $1,433 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 08:16 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $2,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:51 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:45 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.740 | $3,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 03:59 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.947 | $2,651 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 03:40 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.953 | $3,812 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 08:55 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $3,804 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:21 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.680 | $1,020 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 02:50 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.700 | $1,078 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 04:57 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.680 | $2,040 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 02:37 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $3,600 | —— |
| May 11, 02:24 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $7,650 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 02:07 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $2,550 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 01:03 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.480 | $1,440 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 06:44 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $1,398 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 06:34 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $4,560 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 04:42 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.510 | $3,060 | —— |
| May 9, 02:44 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $1,000 | —— |
| May 9, 02:44 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $1,000 | —— |
| May 9, 10:36 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $3,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 01:12 AM | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $6,580 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 05:38 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $2,130 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 03:27 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $2,610 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 03:18 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.127 | $1,274 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 7, 03:18 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $8,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 04:41 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $28.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 09:32 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $1,512 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 03:22 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $3,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 01:03 PM | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $7,280 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 05:46 AM | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $7,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 10:25 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $8,906 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 10:24 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $29.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 09:54 AM | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $2,428 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 02:21 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $14.1K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 02:16 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $5,952 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 05:37 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $19.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 05:05 PM | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $7,844 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 04:49 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $3,560 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 04:48 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $3,742 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 05:59 AM | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $2,880 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 05:59 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $2,964 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 05:58 AM | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $1,920 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 03:01 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $1,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 03:01 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $1,978 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 02:54 AM | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $3,040 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 02:43 AM | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 02:38 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $3,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 02:38 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $4,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 11:51 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $2,366 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 04:47 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $5,856 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 04:42 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $5,368 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 04:28 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $1,759 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 04:28 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $1,954 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 04:27 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $1,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 04:23 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $6,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |