| Jul 20, 11:46 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $14.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 02:30 PM | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY YES | 0.934 | $2,276 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 10:15 AM | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $12.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 10:12 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $16.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 02:43 AM | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY YES | 0.925 | $11.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 03:32 PM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $6,499 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 04:47 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,151 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 02:30 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $33.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 11:42 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $278.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 10:05 PM | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $14.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 10:04 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 08:30 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $211.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 10:31 AM | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $1,513 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 11:48 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $37.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 10:29 PM | 0x3f0743b8 | BUY NO | 0.987 | $19.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 11:57 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $7,023 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 09:40 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $3,723 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 08:45 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $7,500 | —— |
| May 28, 08:44 PM | 0x23e817f3 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $13.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 03:44 PM | 0xbcacd5a0 | BUY NO | 0.992 | $1,318 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:52 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.997 | $149.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 01:40 PM | 0x23e817f3 | BUY NO | 0.960 | $4,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:39 PM | 0x23e817f3 | BUY NO | 0.951 | $1,931 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:39 PM | 0x23e817f3 | BUY NO | 0.955 | $3,916 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:38 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $149.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:43 PM | Will Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $3,360 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 07:54 AM | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $24.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 04:07 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.960 | $3,322 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 05:14 PM | 0x781a06aa | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,375 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 05:14 PM | 0x781a06aa | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,375 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:27 PM | 0x781a06aa | BUY NO | 0.950 | $23.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:59 PM | 0x781a06aa | BUY NO | 0.950 | $14.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 08:31 AM | 0x781a06aa | BUY NO | 0.950 | $9,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 08:45 PM | 0x7f4378c2 | SELL NO | 0.995 | $4,317 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 02:05 AM | 0xaa145cf5 | BUY NO | 0.985 | $11.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:11 AM | 0x7f4378c2 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $9,245 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:10 AM | 0x5341e90b | BUY NO | 0.991 | $5,043 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 11:54 PM | 0xaa145cf5 | BUY NO | 0.980 | $8,330 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:11 AM | 0x42058b4c | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,575 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:11 AM | 0x6c920da8 | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,020 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 11:02 PM | 0x4e3880a1 | BUY YES | 0.999 | $22.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 03:43 PM | 0x6f220b7c | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,051 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:43 PM | Will Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $3,072 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 02:49 PM | 0x084b3d2d | BUY YES | 0.650 | $3,929 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 02:52 AM | 0x8b4d2f3e | BUY YES | 0.858 | $6,335 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 10:38 PM | 0x8b4d2f3e | BUY YES | 0.850 | $4,044 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 08:29 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $18.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 02:39 PM | 0x73e5d14b | BUY YES | 0.349 | $1,277 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 11, 02:01 PM | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $27.6K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 11, 01:59 PM | 0xffe381a8 | SELL NO | 0.991 | $28.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 08:06 PM | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY NO | 0.560 | $1,680 | —— |
| May 8, 02:21 PM | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $3,604 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |