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0x6Dc38952A7dC5c6063D71E84aD26919C6050F57e-1775410870880

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x6dc3…f57e with our methodology badges per row.

0x6dc38952a7dc5c6063d71e84ad26919c6050f57e·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
21
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
62.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$126.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 21 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
30
Distinct markets
16
Volume (90d)
$225.2K
avg $7,507 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$145.8K / $79.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 30 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 01:37 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?BUY NO0.930$5,321Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:39 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.773$27.2K— (SELL)
Jun 13, 11:36 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.759$9,521— (SELL)
Jun 13, 04:37 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?SELL NO0.998$6,572— (SELL)
Jun 12, 05:52 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY NO0.895$1,522Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:48 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY NO0.901$2,759Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:47 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.790$4,623— (SELL)
Jun 10, 06:44 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY NO0.940$2,876Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:59 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.960$9,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:42 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.910$35.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:45 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY NO0.920$2,006Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 09:44 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?BUY NO0.941$4,744Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 04:16 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.940$1,457Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 07:10 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.962$1,447Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 06:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.968$4,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 04:28 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.965$18.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 02:51 PMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY NO0.700$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 10:23 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY NO0.990$9,676Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:42 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.981$2,501Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 10:21 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?BUY NO0.974$1,854Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 07:14 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?BUY NO0.910$5,030Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 03:14 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?BUY NO0.920$9,660Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 03:14 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.978$9,780— (SELL)
May 13, 04:51 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.930$9,300Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:50 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.997$10.5K— (SELL)
May 13, 04:47 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.930$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 04:10 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.965$9,650— (SELL)
Apr 30, 06:15 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY NO0.930$1,488Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 05:53 PMNetanyahu out by June 30?SELL NO0.940$1,536— (SELL)
Apr 13, 11:32 AMNetanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY NO0.570$2,138—

Markets active in

16 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tech3$67.2K+$3,610
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Tech3$29.1K+$9,520
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Tech3$25.0K+$25.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Tech3$21.6K$-18,672
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other3$20.6K+$1,536
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Other5$15.7K+$2,590
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Other1$9,676+$9,676
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Other1$9,660+$9,660
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Other1$5,321+$5,321
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Other1$5,030+$5,030
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Other1$4,744+$4,744
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Other1$3,500+$3,500
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other1$2,501+$2,501
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Other1$2,138+$2,138
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Other1$1,854+$1,854
Netanyahu out by June 30?Other1$1,536$-1,536