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Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are elimina

OtherEnds Jul 20, 2026View on Polymarket ↗
YES price
7.1¢
current
Total volume
+$58.45M
+$1.25M / 24h
Liquidity
+$5.72M
Whale trades (90d)
37
29 distinct wallets
Whale buy volume
+$672.5K
last 90d, $10K+ trades
Whale sell volume
+$114.8K
last 90d
Net flow
+$557.7K
buy-side dominant
Conviction fires
0
trades passing wave-34 gate

Top wallets on this market

29 wallets · sorted by net buy
WalletTradesBuySellNetPnL/$Gate
HMSMAD1232+$110.0K$0+$110.0K-63%
Nathan99991+$100.0K$0+$100.0K
EddyAncogld4+$52.2K$0+$52.2K+10%🟢
tesaiga12+$42.0K$0+$42.0K
0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-17556124477401+$29.3K$0+$29.3K+22%🟢
krazyagain3+$65.6K+$37.0K+$28.6K-48%
0x10C9C247310da2a3cca8126459AD2Bdb114e85E4-17812875885341+$25.2K$0+$25.2K
takeormake1+$22.5K$0+$22.5K-19%
onlyinvegas1+$20.8K$0+$20.8K-15%
LYnetLY1+$18.0K$0+$18.0K-21%
norrisfan1+$16.0K$0+$16.0K+5339%🟢
StephenCampos1+$15.9K$0+$15.9K
Jxxx1+$13.7K$0+$13.7K
thegreatjeff1+$13.0K$0+$13.0K
S-Works1+$12.2K$0+$12.2K+8%🟢
0xg304yj01+$12.1K$0+$12.1K-29%
katie261+$11.7K$0+$11.7K+5%🟢
aabba1+$11.7K$0+$11.7K
freemuney1+$11.7K$0+$11.7K
PLfarmer1+$11.5K$0+$11.5K-23%
DudiLisbon1+$11.0K$0+$11.0K
mooseborzoi1+$10.9K$0+$10.9K+429%🟢
Hashbrown1+$10.7K$0+$10.7K-47%
pilimili1+$10.2K$0+$10.2K-34%
apenator2+$14.8K+$14.9K-$66-29%

Showing top 25 of 29 by net flow.

Recent whale trades

37 trades · ≥$10K · 90d window
WhenWalletSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 02:05 PMHashbrownBUY YES0.106+$10.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 01:16 PM0x10C9C247310da2a3cca8126459AD2Bdb114e85E4-1781287588534BUY YES0.106+$25.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 05:06 PMkatie26BUY YES0.109+$11.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 10:21 AM0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269SELL YES0.110+$10.6K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 04:14 AMJxxxBUY YES0.109+$13.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:05 AMmooseborzoiBUY YES0.109+$10.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 04:06 PMPLfarmerBUY NO0.883+$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 02:24 PMaabbaBUY YES0.109+$11.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 12:16 PMtesaiga1BUY YES0.109+$31.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 08:42 AMtesaiga1BUY YES0.109+$10.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 07:54 PM0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740BUY NO0.895+$29.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:41 PMpilimiliBUY YES0.102+$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:33 PMEddyAncogldBUY YES0.101+$10.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:32 PMEddyAncogldBUY YES0.101+$10.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 03:53 AMFC3988SELL NO0.901+$26.5K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 07:25 AMEddyAncogldBUY YES0.102+$12.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 11:45 PMEddyAncogldBUY YES0.097+$20.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 05:07 AMNathan9999BUY NO0.902+$100.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 02:59 PM0xg304yj0BUY YES0.100+$12.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 11:03 PMDudiLisbonBUY YES0.097+$11.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:37 PMapenatorSELL NO0.905+$14.9K— (SELL)
Jun 2, 12:41 AMthegreatjeffBUY YES0.094+$13.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 31, 05:58 PMTradingWaveSELL NO0.905+$12.0K— (SELL)
May 31, 09:40 AMapenatorBUY NO0.901+$14.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 01:02 AMLYnetLYBUY NO0.899+$18.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:38 PMHMSMAD123BUY NO0.899+$16.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:25 PMnorrisfanBUY NO0.899+$16.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:48 PMtakeormakeBUY NO0.897+$22.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 08:20 PMHMSMAD123BUY NO0.895+$94.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:54 PMonlyinvegasBUY NO0.894+$20.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 11:08 PMkrazyagainSELL NO0.918+$37.0K— (SELL)
May 16, 07:09 PMkrazyagainBUY NO0.919+$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:18 AMkrazyagainBUY NO0.918+$55.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 12:53 AMStephenCamposBUY YES0.082+$15.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 01:34 PMS-WorksBUY NO0.923+$12.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 07:47 AM0x8b4b…541bSELL NO0.921+$13.8K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 10:58 AMfreemuneyBUY YES0.072+$11.7KKilled band — neutral expectation

All trades pulled from on-chain Polymarket fills via the Polygon CTF Exchange. Methodology badges apply the same wave-34 classifier as /whales. Full per-wallet audit on /trader/[address].