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norrisfan

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe72b…b0a0 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
46
lifetime
PnL per $
-77%
historical realized
Win rate
15.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$630.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 46 resolved trades · -77% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
75
Distinct markets
59
Volume (90d)
$1.06M
avg $14.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$445.3K / $618.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 75 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:34 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.999$99.9K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:24 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?SELL NO0.999$99.2K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:20 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?SELL NO0.999$79.9K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:59 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?SELL NO0.988$3,952— (SELL)
Jul 16, 04:27 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.097$1,359Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 01:39 PMSpain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?BUY NO0.590$12.8K
Jul 7, 07:28 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?SELL NO0.660$4,290— (SELL)
Jul 5, 08:15 PMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.430$1,115
Jul 5, 08:10 PMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.390$2,496Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 08:09 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.350$14.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 12:15 AMArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY NO0.904$3,073Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:10 AMArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY NO0.896$2,612Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:59 AMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY NO0.945$1,134Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:57 AMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY NO0.900$2,108Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 11:05 PMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?SELL NO0.733$3,432— (SELL)
Jul 2, 12:03 AMUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.520$2,766
Jul 1, 02:35 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.910$21.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 02:34 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.910$11.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 02:13 AMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.750$5,175Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:06 AMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$1,465
Jun 29, 05:00 PMBrazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.500$2,959
Jun 29, 04:51 PMBrazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.500$1,894
Jun 28, 04:50 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?SELL YES0.550$1,090— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:56 AMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.928$1,683Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:37 AMJordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?BUY NO0.670$2,727Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:54 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.480$1,584
Jun 26, 01:49 AMWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?BUY NO0.600$47.2K
Jun 24, 10:19 PMWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY NO0.740$3,437Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:08 PMSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$1,506
Jun 24, 07:05 PMSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$22.8K
Jun 23, 10:32 PMPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$2,355
Jun 23, 04:55 PMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?BUY NO0.960$3,411Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 04:43 PMWill USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.530$3,880
Jun 23, 02:20 AMJordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.530$2,326
Jun 21, 06:36 PMBelgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.520$1,607
Jun 13, 03:09 AMWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?SELL NO0.999$98.7K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 02:48 AMWill James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.560$1,120
Jun 7, 06:37 PMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.140$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 03:44 AMWill Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.300$1,778Cheap band — no rep
Jun 6, 05:25 PMWill Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.300$1,466Cheap band — no rep
Jun 5, 07:29 PMWill Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.360$5,879Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 07:26 PMWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.220$1,793Cheap band — no rep
Jun 5, 04:27 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.523$11.4K
Jun 5, 02:21 PMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.150$2,561Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 12:58 AMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.150$2,326Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 12:55 AMWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.209$3,261Cheap band — no rep
Jun 5, 12:41 AMWill Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.150$4,860Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 4, 04:18 PM0xb2f1e88bBUY YES0.999$1,351Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:47 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.994$6,674Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:04 AMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY NO0.290$1,096Cheap band — no rep
May 31, 01:17 PM0x5804fbfeBUY NO0.520$39.1K
May 30, 11:27 AM0xb6d6873eBUY YES0.983$9,830Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 04:25 PM0x85a6290fSELL NO0.430$17.4K— (SELL)
May 28, 08:00 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.898$5,901Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:25 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.899$16.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 12:45 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$4,435Killed band — neutral expectation
May 27, 10:45 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$2,075Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 06:04 PM0xbd1f142fSELL NO0.999$99.9K— (SELL)
May 23, 07:08 PM0x3f83a2ccSELL NO0.999$9,990— (SELL)
May 16, 01:19 PM0x458e8339BUY NO0.230$1,986Cheap band — no rep
May 15, 08:39 PM0x0b22ac67BUY NO0.230$1,262Cheap band — no rep
May 15, 10:22 AM0x084b3d2dBUY NO0.342$1,199Killed band — neutral expectation
May 14, 03:51 PM0x78547b8aSELL NO0.888$8,880— (SELL)
May 14, 01:09 PM0x9ea5ad5cBUY YES0.270$1,408Cheap band — no rep
May 13, 10:57 PM0x9ea5ad5cBUY YES0.259$1,680Cheap band — no rep
May 12, 05:48 PM0xc06801fcBUY YES0.360$1,596Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 02:21 PM0xc06801fcBUY YES0.360$1,625Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 02:19 PM0x23aa3e82BUY NO0.480$1,739
May 11, 09:34 PM0x4b4fbe43SELL NO0.999$25.0K— (SELL)
May 11, 11:14 AM0x4558c0f9BUY NO0.645$2,365Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 09:34 PM0x1f8ee066BUY NO0.619$2,979Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:32 PM0x954799acSELL NO0.999$31.7K— (SELL)
May 10, 03:15 PM0x883c28ceSELL NO0.999$32.4K— (SELL)
May 10, 12:18 AM0xdae6a4b5SELL NO0.530$2,286— (SELL)
May 9, 07:09 PM0xa93b28a6BUY YES0.999$120.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

59 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Tech2$179.1K$-179,081
0xa93b28a61$120.6K+$120.6K
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$99.9K$-99,900
0xbd1f142f1$99.9K$-99,900
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Other1$98.7K$-98,748
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Other1$47.2K+$47.2K
0x5804fbfe1$39.1K+$39.1K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Other2$33.0K+$33.0K
0x883c28ce1$32.4K$-32,448
0x954799ac1$31.7K$-31,726
0x4b4fbe431$25.0K$-24,975
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$24.3K+$24.3K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$21.9K+$21.9K
0x85a6290f1$17.4K$-17,350
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsOther1$14.0K+$14.0K
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?Tech1$12.8K+$12.8K
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$11.4K+$11.4K
0x3f83a2cc1$9,990$-9,990
0xb6d6873e1$9,830+$9,830
0x78547b8a1$8,880$-8,880
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Other3$6,674$-190
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto1$6,674+$6,674
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreCrypto2$6,640+$6,640
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$6,510+$6,510
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$6,287+$6,287
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$5,879+$5,879
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Other2$5,684+$5,684
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$4,860+$4,860
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$4,853+$4,853
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Other1$4,290$-4,290

Showing top 30 by volume.