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norrisfan

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe72b…b0a0 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
40
lifetime
PnL per $
+5339%
historical realized
Win rate
29.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$786.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
136
Distinct markets
86
Volume (90d)
$1.89M
avg $13.9K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$969.6K / $925.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 136 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 03:09 AMWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?SELL NO0.999$98.7K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 02:48 AMWill James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.560$1,120
Jun 7, 06:37 PMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.140$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 03:44 AMWill Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.300$1,778Conviction tier
Jun 6, 05:25 PMWill Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.300$1,466Conviction tier
Jun 5, 07:29 PMWill Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.360$5,879Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 07:26 PMWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.220$1,793Conviction tier
Jun 5, 04:27 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.523$11.4K
Jun 5, 02:21 PMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.150$2,561Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 12:58 AMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.150$2,326Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 12:55 AMWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.209$3,261Conviction tier
Jun 5, 12:41 AMWill Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.150$4,860Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 4, 04:18 PMWill Bibisara Assaubayeva win Norway Chess 2026?BUY YES0.999$1,351Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:47 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.994$6,674Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:04 AMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY NO0.290$1,096Conviction tier
May 31, 01:17 PMWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?BUY NO0.520$39.1K
May 30, 11:27 AMArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.983$9,830Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 04:25 PMWill SK Brann win on 2026-05-29?SELL NO0.430$17.4K— (SELL)
May 28, 08:00 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.898$5,901Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:25 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.899$16.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 12:45 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$4,435Killed band — neutral expectation
May 27, 10:45 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$2,075Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 06:04 PMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.999$99.9K— (SELL)
May 23, 07:08 PMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?SELL NO0.999$9,990— (SELL)
May 16, 01:19 PMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.230$1,986Conviction tier
May 15, 08:39 PMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.230$1,262Conviction tier
May 15, 10:22 AMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.342$1,199Killed band — neutral expectation
May 14, 03:51 PMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?SELL NO0.888$8,880— (SELL)
May 14, 01:09 PMWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY YES0.270$1,408Conviction tier
May 13, 10:57 PMWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY YES0.259$1,680Conviction tier
May 12, 05:48 PMWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY YES0.360$1,596Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 02:21 PMWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY YES0.360$1,625Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 02:19 PMWill Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY NO0.480$1,739
May 11, 09:34 PMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?SELL NO0.999$25.0K— (SELL)
May 11, 11:14 AMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.645$2,365Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 09:34 PMWill Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY NO0.619$2,979Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:32 PMWill 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?SELL NO0.999$31.7K— (SELL)
May 10, 03:15 PMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?SELL NO0.999$32.4K— (SELL)
May 10, 12:18 AMWill CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?SELL NO0.530$2,286— (SELL)
May 9, 07:09 PMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.999$120.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 06:48 PMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.049$1,642
May 7, 06:37 PMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?SELL NO0.500$5,400— (SELL)
May 3, 06:20 PMWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?SELL NO0.999$59.9K— (SELL)
May 3, 06:20 PMWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?SELL NO0.999$59.9K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 12:11 PMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?SELL NO0.720$29.5K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 12:04 PMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?BUY NO0.690$8,868Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:01 PMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab KingsSELL YES0.999$42.5K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 05:41 AMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab KingsBUY YES0.570$22.1K
Apr 20, 08:22 PMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers BUY0.290$10.0KConviction tier
Apr 20, 07:41 PMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers BUY0.290$1,434Conviction tier
Apr 20, 07:41 PMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers BUY0.290$8,410Conviction tier
Apr 19, 02:24 AM0x99159f25BUY0.550$11.9K
Apr 18, 05:48 AM0x5b37c001SELL0.690$1,711— (SELL)
Apr 15, 09:43 PM0xfd535143BUY NO0.500$30.4K
Apr 15, 06:53 PM0x7ee56fa6BUY YES0.630$1,260Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 06:11 PMWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY NO0.492$1,208
Apr 14, 09:10 PMWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?SELL NO0.999$18.6K— (SELL)
Apr 14, 06:25 PMWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY YES0.700$1,444Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 06:12 PMWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY NO0.700$1,144Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 06:08 PMWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY NO0.690$2,759Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 05:12 PMWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY NO0.710$6,030Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 05:08 PMWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY NO0.710$2,982Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 04:06 PMWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY YES0.700$1,939Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 04:05 PMWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY NO0.700$5,195Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 04:03 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY NO0.130$1,356Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 13, 05:41 PM0x489fb508BUY0.400$4,080Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 13, 05:31 PM1628308BUY0.410$6,442
Apr 13, 03:38 PM0x3d937bb7BUY0.440$13.9K
Apr 13, 01:24 PM0x3d937bb7BUY0.480$17.8K
Apr 13, 01:15 PM0x489fb508BUY0.480$19.3K
Apr 12, 09:11 PM0x4b965bf4BUY0.350$11.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 09:10 PM0x4b965bf4BUY0.350$2,098Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 09:05 PM0x401742c8BUY0.490$36.5K
Apr 12, 09:03 PM0x401742c8BUY0.480$3,577
Apr 12, 09:03 PM0x401742c8BUY0.480$12.4K
Apr 12, 05:54 PM0xcb330cfbSELL NO0.999$99.9K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 04:17 AM0x49f23884BUY0.410$7,382
Apr 11, 03:45 PM0x0f691c3cBUY NO0.270$13.0KConviction tier
Apr 11, 01:29 PM0x9f72c7cdBUY0.470$19.0K
Apr 11, 01:25 PM0xd793740eSELL NO0.999$177.2K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:10 AM0xd793740eBUY NO0.320$9,775Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 11, 10:10 AM0xd793740eBUY NO0.320$23.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 9, 03:06 PM0x6da32601BUY0.260$7,446Conviction tier
Apr 9, 03:04 PM0x6da32601BUY0.260$1,984Conviction tier
Apr 9, 03:04 PM0x6da32601BUY0.260$4,243Conviction tier
Apr 9, 02:58 PM0x6da32601BUY0.260$1,617Conviction tier
Apr 9, 02:57 PM0x6da32601BUY0.260$17.7KConviction tier
Apr 8, 05:50 PM0x9a321de4BUY0.485$3,023
Apr 8, 02:03 AM0xc9f0ff14BUY0.620$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 02:02 AM0xc9f0ff14BUY0.620$17.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 01:40 AM0x67f44dd7BUY NO0.450$18.5K
Apr 7, 06:50 PM0x8a24aeb9SELL0.998$1,274— (SELL)
Apr 7, 06:49 PM0x8a24aeb9SELL0.998$4,990— (SELL)
Apr 7, 04:27 PM0x8a24aeb9BUY0.390$3,429Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 5, 03:08 PM0xabb2aa7aSELL NO0.999$69.9K— (SELL)
Apr 5, 06:14 AM0xddbfffedBUY NO0.160$1,658Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 4, 04:51 PM0x187dfbbeSELL NO0.999$2,609— (SELL)
Apr 4, 01:47 PM0xb3eb6a35SELL0.999$1,453— (SELL)
Apr 4, 12:27 PM0xaf295ab6SELL0.999$24.0K— (SELL)
Apr 4, 04:48 AM0xddbfffedBUY NO0.330$3,911Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 3, 06:44 PM0x415b9d99BUY NO0.240$7,287Conviction tier
Apr 3, 06:42 PM0x415b9d99BUY NO0.240$9,518Conviction tier
Apr 2, 09:41 AM0x154e4753BUY NO0.700$1,280Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 04:51 AM0xaf295ab6BUY0.580$13.7K
Mar 31, 01:46 PM0x163dab4dBUY0.510$2,010
Mar 31, 09:18 AM0x1acdabfdBUY YES0.350$2,081Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 31, 09:01 AM0x5bd45ec7BUY NO0.350$1,967Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 31, 09:00 AM0x5bd45ec7BUY NO0.337$1,507Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 30, 05:36 PM0x4098bf6aBUY0.750$32.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 10:39 AM0x87cfa4eeBUY NO0.880$8,488Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 07:25 AM0x40ee08bcBUY YES0.840$7,739Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 08:16 PM0x61abbcadBUY YES0.180$1,055Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 28, 07:37 PM0x06d23cbdBUY0.430$11.3K
Mar 28, 07:34 PM0x06d23cbdBUY0.430$15.8K
Mar 28, 05:59 PM0x7a8e5659BUY0.440$2,350
Mar 28, 05:54 PM0x7a8e5659BUY0.440$23.5K
Mar 28, 12:10 AM0x194f10c7BUY0.480$10.4K
Mar 26, 04:18 PM0x61eb9153BUY NO0.670$2,002Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 01:25 AM0x582c66d5BUY0.720$11.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 01:25 AM0x582c66d5BUY0.720$3,186Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 12:41 AM0x9f8ff091BUY0.440$3,960
Mar 26, 12:02 AM0x4273b2e5BUY NO0.410$4,100
Mar 25, 11:59 PM0x4273b2e5BUY NO0.399$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 25, 11:43 PM0x4273b2e5BUY NO0.410$10.4K
Mar 25, 10:59 PM0x9f8ff091BUY0.440$6,266
Mar 25, 10:57 PM0x9f8ff091BUY0.440$6,992
Mar 25, 10:56 PM0x9f8ff091BUY0.440$1,026
Mar 25, 10:56 PM0x9f8ff091BUY0.440$29.7K
Mar 25, 01:01 AM0xb76c2f11BUY0.740$8,658Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 01:00 AM0xb76c2f11BUY0.730$6,680Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 12:58 AM0xb76c2f11BUY0.740$3,373Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 12:55 AM0xb76c2f11BUY0.740$1,010Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 12:53 AM0xb76c2f11BUY0.740$8,337Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 12:52 AM0xb76c2f11BUY0.739$3,318Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 11:07 PM0x6860ef98BUY0.440$5,280
Mar 24, 10:55 PM0x3e15bfe9BUY0.540$24.3K

Markets active in

86 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0xd793740e3$210.8K$-143,571
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Tech1$120.6K+$120.6K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?Other2$119.9K$-119,880
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?Other1$99.9K$-99,900
0xcb330cfb1$99.9K$-99,900
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Other1$98.7K$-98,748
0xabb2aa7a1$69.9K$-69,908
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab KingsOther2$64.6K$-20,416
0x401742c83$52.4K+$52.4K
0x9f8ff0915$48.0K+$48.0K
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?Other1$39.1K+$39.1K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?Other2$38.4K$-20,670
0xaf295ab62$37.8K$-10,275
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Other6$36.7K$-478
0x6da326015$33.0K+$33.0K
0x4098bf6a1$32.8K+$32.8K
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?Other1$32.4K$-32,448
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?Other1$31.7K$-31,726
0x3d937bb72$31.7K+$31.7K
0xb76c2f116$31.4K+$31.4K
0xfd5351431$30.4K+$30.4K
0xc9f0ff142$27.3K+$27.3K
0x06d23cbd2$27.1K+$27.1K
0x7a8e56592$25.8K+$25.8K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?Other1$25.0K$-24,975
0x3e15bfe91$24.3K+$24.3K
0x489fb5082$23.4K+$23.4K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$21.9K+$21.9K
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers Sports3$19.9K+$19.9K
0x9f72c7cd1$19.0K+$19.0K

Showing top 30 by volume.