| Jun 12, 08:34 PM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.015 | $2,204 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:34 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.084 | $9,524 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:34 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.101 | $1,566 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:34 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.166 | $4,980 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:31 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.108 | $4,625 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:02 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.168 | $1,228 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:01 PM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.049 | $1,223 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:01 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.081 | $1,241 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:28 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.083 | $1,503 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:28 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.104 | $7,351 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:27 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.169 | $25.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:20 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.084 | $5,743 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 10:39 AM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.085 | $3,119 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 10:38 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.088 | $1,221 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 08:18 AM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.017 | $1,392 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 08:08 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.112 | $1,485 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:33 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.112 | $3,245 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 04:53 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.107 | $1,387 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 03:53 PM | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.008 | $3,009 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 03:35 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.052 | $3,333 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 03:35 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.052 | $10.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:18 AM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.015 | $1,589 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:16 AM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.018 | $1,907 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:16 AM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.021 | $2,225 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:01 AM | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.012 | $1,174 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:01 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.011 | $1,076 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 10:28 AM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.021 | $3,050 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 10:22 AM | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.024 | $5,806 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 01:17 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.105 | $1,373 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 04:14 PM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.018 | $4,359 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 04:01 PM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.017 | $1,800 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 01:18 AM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.022 | $1,636 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 10:43 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.106 | $5,475 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 08:20 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.054 | $1,023 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 05:24 PM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.016 | $4,647 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:38 PM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.017 | $1,140 | —— |
| Jun 9, 01:15 PM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.016 | $1,171 | —— |
| Jun 9, 12:44 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $3,806 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 11:10 AM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.016 | $1,243 | —— |
| Jun 9, 11:10 AM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.019 | $1,596 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 08:27 PM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.015 | $2,300 | —— |
| Jun 8, 08:24 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.011 | $1,943 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 05:16 PM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.040 | $3,754 | —— |
| Jun 8, 03:53 PM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.040 | $1,066 | —— |
| Jun 8, 03:23 PM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.040 | $3,440 | —— |
| Jun 8, 03:20 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.088 | $2,697 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 03:13 PM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.015 | $1,001 | —— |
| Jun 8, 12:58 PM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.040 | $5,976 | —— |
| Jun 7, 07:47 PM | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.020 | $2,324 | —— |
| Jun 4, 02:00 AM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.082 | $1,203 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 02:00 AM | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.008 | $1,200 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 02:00 AM | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.009 | $1,350 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 01:59 AM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.055 | $2,664 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 01:59 AM | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,575 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 01:59 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.159 | $3,121 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 12:05 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $40.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:02 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $99.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:44 PM | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,028 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:44 PM | Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,148 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:44 PM | Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,324 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:44 PM | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,341 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:44 PM | Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,370 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:44 PM | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,386 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:44 PM | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.009 | $1,494 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 11:40 AM | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.005 | $1,312 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 11:40 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $3,795 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:40 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.011 | $1,650 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 12:24 AM | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.008 | $1,612 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 12:23 AM | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.008 | $2,090 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 12:23 AM | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.009 | $1,017 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 02:46 PM | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.007 | $2,800 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 11:44 AM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.084 | $3,222 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:13 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.167 | $16.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 06:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.001 | $3,997 | —— |
| Jun 1, 06:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.001 | $3,971 | —— |
| Jun 1, 12:22 PM | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.025 | $1,250 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:21 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.086 | $2,766 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:19 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.086 | $2,384 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:58 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.099 | $9,834 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:57 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.089 | $7,196 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:43 PM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.017 | $1,061 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:42 PM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.017 | $1,061 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:41 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.112 | $3,002 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 31, 03:40 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.888 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:25 PM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.041 | $1,235 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:25 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.112 | $5,600 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 12:40 PM | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL YES | 0.008 | $4,000 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 12:40 PM | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.007 | $4,900 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 12:40 PM | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.007 | $4,900 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 12:40 PM | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL YES | 0.007 | $5,600 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 12:13 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.101 | $2,103 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 12:24 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.101 | $1,888 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 12:09 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.102 | $2,437 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 11:45 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $7,432 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 04:52 PM | Claude 4.8 released by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $9,970 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:11 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.169 | $1,454 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 03:11 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.831 | $5,051 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:11 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $11.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 05:21 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $17.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 05:21 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.829 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:12 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.172 | $1,296 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 27, 12:00 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.828 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:00 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.827 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 11:54 PM | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY YES | 0.009 | $1,084 | —— |
| May 26, 11:53 PM | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY YES | 0.008 | $2,114 | —— |
| May 26, 11:52 PM | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY YES | 0.008 | $2,421 | —— |
| May 25, 01:05 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.827 | $49.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 08:33 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.827 | $28.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 08:33 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.175 | $1,750 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 08:32 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.826 | $53.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:51 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $5,348 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 08:51 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.089 | $13.0K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 05:33 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $99.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 01:29 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.088 | $6,919 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 07:47 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.168 | $6,295 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 05:58 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.169 | $2,128 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 05:58 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.089 | $7,193 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 04:13 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.911 | $3,483 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:13 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.088 | $4,409 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 04:12 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.831 | $1,275 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:12 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.169 | $1,301 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 04:12 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.168 | $9,570 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 20, 10:28 PM | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $1,222 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 10:25 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.084 | $13.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 03:55 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.181 | $2,925 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 02:03 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.915 | $1,432 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 02:03 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.085 | $1,248 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 19, 02:03 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.084 | $8,356 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 19, 01:54 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.181 | $3,336 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 19, 12:25 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.181 | $1,469 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 19, 04:54 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.084 | $10.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 08:13 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.084 | $2,088 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 05:10 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.818 | $1,742 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 04:53 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.182 | $2,093 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 04:03 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.182 | $2,628 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 17, 08:26 PM | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.008 | $1,041 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 06:56 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.167 | $1,598 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 06:35 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.832 | $3,157 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 11:40 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.832 | $2,067 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 11:39 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.167 | $9,763 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 11:17 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL YES | 0.280 | $2,369 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 11:09 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.826 | $6,573 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 11:08 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.918 | $37.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 07:09 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.919 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 10:18 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.918 | $55.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 10:16 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.918 | $9,180 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:33 PM | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.971 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:31 PM | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $2,374 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:31 PM | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $5,048 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:31 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $22.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:03 PM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $6,121 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:02 PM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $1,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:00 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $2,601 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 06:19 PM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $9,641 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 03:37 PM | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 03:36 PM | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $5,371 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 03:36 PM | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $36.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 01:49 AM | Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $6,099 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 01:08 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.081 | $1,634 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 15, 12:21 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.826 | $1,326 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 12:20 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.825 | $20.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 12:19 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.824 | $14.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 03:33 PM | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY YES | 0.009 | $1,104 | —— |
| May 14, 03:27 PM | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,014 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |