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0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x54a5…ee3d with our methodology badges per row.

0x54a598106e0467dacc1a4ced3909582f72aaee3d·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-61%
historical realized
Win rate
25.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$23.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -61% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
31
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$160.4K
avg $5,175 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$125.4K / $35.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 31 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 10:22 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.105$10.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 10:21 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.110$10.6K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 03:34 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.085$5,950Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 03:34 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.101$6,368— (SELL)
Jun 2, 12:35 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.056$2,800Killed band — neutral expectation
May 26, 08:15 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.094$4,700Killed band — neutral expectation
May 16, 04:47 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.082$2,249Killed band — neutral expectation
May 11, 02:49 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.088$4,400Killed band — neutral expectation
May 11, 02:21 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.148$9,128— (SELL)
May 11, 02:12 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.156$3,210— (SELL)
Apr 22, 03:52 AMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.640$1,369Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 22, 03:10 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.114$1,832— (SELL)
Apr 20, 08:55 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.490$11.4K
Apr 13, 07:17 PM0x51e343fbBUY YES0.650$4,572Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 03:54 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.091$3,328Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 7, 06:55 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.160$4,886Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 6, 12:15 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.070$2,267Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 5, 09:05 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.158$2,934Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 5, 09:02 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.158$6,286Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 3, 12:59 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.160$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 2, 01:19 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.069$1,725Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 1, 01:12 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.095$2,375Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 1, 05:21 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.163$1,176Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 30, 02:15 PM0xaac865f8BUY YES0.210$1,050Cheap band — no rep
Mar 30, 06:26 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.182$6,716Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 30, 06:26 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.237$23.3KCheap band — no rep
Mar 27, 11:27 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.157$1,634Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 27, 09:23 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.156$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 26, 07:11 AMNetanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY YES0.500$4,198
Mar 26, 04:35 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.155$5,632Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 23, 11:21 AM0x4290a4aaSELL YES0.069$3,829— (SELL)

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports5$44.2K+$15.8K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech8$32.5K+$32.5K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$23.2K$-10,754
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$15.1K+$15.1K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$11.4K+$11.4K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.5K+$10.5K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$5,703+$5,703
0x51e343fb1$4,572+$4,572
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Other1$4,198+$4,198
0x4290a4aa1$3,829$-3,829
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$2,800+$2,800
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTech1$1,369+$1,369
0xaac865f81$1,050+$1,050