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onlyinvegas

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc44d…935c with our methodology badges per row.

0xc44d644ddc841431037a94d87b3a28760f30935c·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
18
lifetime
PnL per $
-15%
historical realized
Win rate
70.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$58.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 18 resolved trades · -15% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
64
Distinct markets
48
Volume (90d)
$243.3K
avg $3,802 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$243.3K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 64 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 04:23 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.840$4,620Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 04:19 PMWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?BUY NO0.790$4,938Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:38 PMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.760$4,066Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 10:09 PMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.630$1,670Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:28 PMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.380$1,478Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 03:58 AMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY NO0.690$2,760Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 07:25 PMWill Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.960$1,403Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 09:47 PMWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.810$4,860Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 09:33 PMWill Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.957$1,914Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 08:54 PMWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.840$1,260Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 07:59 PMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.983$1,475Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 07:57 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.830$2,490Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:14 PMWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY NO0.945$1,080Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 06:05 PMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.980$19.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:54 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.894$20.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:50 PMWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.210$1,322Cheap band — no rep
May 20, 07:44 PMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.970$8,439Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:01 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.952$1,714Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 02:59 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.952$5,712Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 02:58 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.952$2,856Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:34 AMWill Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?BUY NO0.780$3,900Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:22 AMWill Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?BUY NO0.780$2,418Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:35 PMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.962$2,886Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:34 PMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.961$4,532Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:31 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.590$7,670
May 11, 03:53 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.947$9,470Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 03:42 AMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.981$1,070Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 04:01 AMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03?BUY NO0.850$2,996Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 05:18 PMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY NO0.810$1,620Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 04:36 PMMagic vs. PistonsBUY YES0.760$3,928Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 02:41 AMThunder vs. SunsBUY YES0.890$4,613Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 02:41 AMThunder vs. SunsBUY YES0.890$8,693Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:54 PMSpurs vs. Trail BlazersBUY YES0.760$1,094Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:47 PMCavaliers vs. RaptorsBUY YES0.800$4,009Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:47 PMCavaliers vs. RaptorsBUY YES0.800$2,306Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:22 PMKnicks vs. HawksBUY YES0.860$2,457Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:22 AMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.977$2,163Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:22 AMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.976$1,467Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:21 AMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.974$5,005Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 01:28 AMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic BUY0.300$2,937Cheap band — no rep
Apr 15, 08:18 PM0x7ee56fa6BUY NO0.790$1,727Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 04:09 PM0xc0be070bBUY0.400$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 13, 04:14 AMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.979$1,958Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 03:31 AMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.979$9,790Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 03:30 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.942$3,459Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 03:28 AMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.900$2,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:45 PM0x0214efd7BUY NO0.927$1,399Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:27 PM0x0214efd7BUY NO0.950$5,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 05:03 PM0x213cf960BUY NO0.956$2,484Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:40 PM0x67c4c5a2BUY0.860$4,111Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 05:53 PM0xad0d6f7fBUY0.590$1,471
Apr 2, 05:23 PM0xc7c0e181BUY0.440$1,012
Apr 2, 05:20 PM0x3f25c6f5BUY0.600$1,264
Apr 1, 04:24 PM0xa0f1510aBUY0.790$2,074Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 03:22 PM0xa3689e34BUY0.450$1,013
Mar 30, 07:18 PM0xb5202554BUY0.630$1,280Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 07:17 PM0xd149cc45BUY0.460$1,035
Mar 29, 05:54 PM0x04c64749BUY0.790$1,881Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 08:36 PM0x09c3c088BUY NO0.865$7,236Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 03:38 AM0x358e8518BUY0.862$4,571Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 04:18 AM0xd92d321eBUY0.800$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 10:51 PM0x87267b5bBUY0.710$2,698Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 10:42 PM0x37e55389BUY0.780$3,502Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 10:35 PM0xd92d321eBUY0.850$6,307Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

48 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$21.1K+$21.1K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$20.8K+$20.8K
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$20.3K+$20.3K
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$18.7K+$18.7K
Thunder vs. SunsOther2$13.3K+$13.3K
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$11.7K+$11.7K
0xd92d321e2$10.3K+$10.3K
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$9,705+$9,705
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$7,670+$7,670
0x09c3c0881$7,236+$7,236
0x0214efd72$7,099+$7,099
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsOther2$6,316+$6,316
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Tech1$4,938+$4,938
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$4,860+$4,860
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Other1$4,620+$4,620
0x358e85181$4,571+$4,571
0x67c4c5a21$4,111+$4,111
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Other1$4,066+$4,066
Magic vs. PistonsOther1$3,928+$3,928
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?Other1$3,900+$3,900
0x37e553891$3,502+$3,502
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other2$3,317+$3,317
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03?Other1$2,996+$2,996
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic Sports1$2,937+$2,937
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Other1$2,760+$2,760
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$2,700+$2,700
0x87267b5b1$2,698+$2,698
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$2,490+$2,490
0x213cf9601$2,484+$2,484
Knicks vs. HawksOther1$2,457+$2,457

Showing top 30 by volume.