| Jun 10, 01:33 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 11? | BUY NO | 0.956 | $4,862 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:59 PM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.022 | $5,280 | —— |
| Jun 10, 12:41 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.053 | $5,007 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 12:41 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.085 | $8,500 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 12:41 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.086 | $8,600 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 12:41 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.102 | $10.2K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 12:41 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.109 | $10.9K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 12:40 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.161 | $16.1K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 12:40 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.163 | $16.3K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 08:07 AM | Israel closes its airspace by June 10? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $3,818 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:58 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $5,226 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:58 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.053 | $20.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 08:58 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.053 | $7,144 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 08:37 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $5,013 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:37 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $7,737 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:31 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $5,367 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:59 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.054 | $14.8K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 07:59 PM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.054 | $28.1K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 07:59 PM | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.004 | $1,691 | —— |
| Jun 9, 07:59 PM | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.004 | $3,909 | —— |
| Jun 9, 07:56 PM | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.003 | $1,573 | —— |
| Jun 9, 07:56 PM | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.003 | $1,577 | —— |
| Jun 9, 07:51 PM | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.002 | $4,822 | —— |
| Jun 9, 07:46 PM | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.005 | $5,000 | —— |
| Jun 9, 07:45 PM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.020 | $5,000 | —— |
| Jun 9, 07:40 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $18.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 06:06 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $23.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 06:06 PM | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $14.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 05:05 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $7,224 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:05 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.990 | $5,083 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 05:04 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $14.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:59 PM | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $1,613 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:57 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $9,382 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:55 PM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.955 | $19.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 09:10 AM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.054 | $5,400 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 09:08 AM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.084 | $8,400 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 09:08 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.085 | $8,500 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 09:08 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.099 | $5,319 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 09:07 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.110 | $11.0K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 09:07 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $16.0K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 09:07 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.162 | $16.2K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 08:30 AM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $52.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:30 AM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $13.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:29 AM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $3,324 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:15 AM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $8,284 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:15 AM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,019 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 07:16 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $36.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:23 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $39.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:23 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $5,335 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:22 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $2,997 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:29 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $26.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:28 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $3,098 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:28 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $19.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:21 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $69.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 12:30 PM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $38.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 09:29 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $10.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:06 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.696 | $2,421 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:05 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.677 | $1,242 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:10 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.505 | $12.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:09 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.506 | $3,178 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:09 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.601 | $12.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:05 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.697 | $3,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 06:52 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.454 | $5,704 | —— |
| Jun 7, 06:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.348 | $1,285 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 06:49 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY YES | 0.477 | $2,552 | —— |
| Jun 7, 06:49 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.436 | $10.7K | —— |
| Jun 7, 06:05 AM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $23.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 08:03 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $54.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 08:02 PM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.966 | $62.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |