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PLfarmer

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xfaa5…7cc9 with our methodology badges per row.

0xfaa55858f098040003978c3615a086cdd0cd7cc9·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
16
lifetime
PnL per $
-23%
historical realized
Win rate
67.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$63.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 16 resolved trades · -23% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
34
Distinct markets
22
Volume (90d)
$191.4K
avg $5,631 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$115.1K / $76.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 34 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 04:11 PMWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?BUY YES0.520$1,002—
Jun 12, 12:22 PMWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.640$1,220Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:11 AMWill Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.630$1,109Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:07 AMWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.640$1,220Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 04:06 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.883$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 05:25 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.111$1,150— (SELL)
May 27, 11:35 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.894$4,484Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 11:24 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.894$8,969Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 11:03 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.829$12.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 09:38 PMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?BUY YES0.997$4,986Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:28 PMWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?BUY NO0.550$1,394—
May 23, 06:19 PMWill George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?BUY YES0.999$2,020Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 06:38 PMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?BUY YES0.998$2,994Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 06:37 PMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?BUY YES0.998$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 06:40 PMWill Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?BUY NO0.800$1,610Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 04:33 PMWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?BUY YES0.999$1,670Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 06:44 PMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY NO0.560$1,120—
Apr 28, 02:34 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.159$3,748— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:32 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.161$1,249— (SELL)
Apr 28, 02:15 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.161$23.3K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 06:07 AMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.290$1,126— (SELL)
Apr 25, 04:19 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?SELL YES0.650$1,950— (SELL)
Apr 15, 06:29 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL YES0.250$2,027— (SELL)
Apr 13, 05:08 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.989$4,945Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 07:22 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL YES0.989$4,487— (SELL)
Apr 10, 07:32 AM0xd23f7e79SELL0.470$23.1K— (SELL)
Apr 10, 07:31 AM0xd23f7e79SELL0.480$2,188— (SELL)
Apr 8, 04:50 PM0x4c5701bcBUY YES0.994$4,970Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 04:45 PM0xd7bff0edBUY0.770$1,960Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 02:48 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL YES0.600$8,684— (SELL)
Apr 1, 07:54 AMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY NO0.470$1,310—
Mar 31, 02:27 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL YES0.590$3,295— (SELL)
Mar 29, 06:42 AM0x26d823a5BUY YES0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 06:42 AM0x26d823a5BUY YES0.999$14.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

22 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$40.8K$-15,801
0xd23f7e79—2$25.3K$-25,298
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$25.0K+$25.0K
0x26d823a5—2$24.2K+$24.2K
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Other2$23.0K+$23.0K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Other3$13.3K$-10,669
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Other2$9,432+$458
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Other1$4,986+$4,986
0x4c5701bc—1$4,970+$4,970
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$2,439+$2,439
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Other1$2,027$-2,027
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Other1$2,020+$2,020
0xd7bff0ed—1$1,960+$1,960
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Other1$1,950$-1,950
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Other1$1,670+$1,670
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Other1$1,610+$1,610
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Other1$1,394+$1,394
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,150$-1,150
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$1,126$-1,126
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics1$1,120+$1,120
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,109+$1,109
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Other1$1,002+$1,002