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thegreatjeff

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd604…bc8a with our methodology badges per row.

0xd60419ae698bd0ae7c0ef69470bfc1e0f9a9bc8a·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
22
lifetime
PnL per $
-5%
historical realized
Win rate
69.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.43M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 22 resolved trades · -5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
26
Distinct markets
18
Volume (90d)
$1.62M
avg $62.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.60M / $18.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 26 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 14, 09:31 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.576$243.9K
Jul 14, 09:24 AMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?BUY YES0.110$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 13, 09:37 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.207$18.3K— (SELL)
Jul 12, 12:50 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.568$200.0K
Jul 12, 12:49 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?BUY NO0.969$100.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:39 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.980$29.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:39 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.984$74.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:39 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.978$225.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 11:54 PMExact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?BUY NO0.978$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 11:53 PMExact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?BUY NO0.984$30.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 11:57 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.320$30.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 04:54 AMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.830$100.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:44 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.690$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:44 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.860$100.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:25 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.864$36.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:35 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.570$36.9K
Jul 1, 06:53 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.160$3,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 03:00 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.770$100.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:27 PMWill England win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.860$25.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 05:08 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.539$30.0K
Jun 2, 12:41 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.094$13.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 31, 03:11 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.168$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 03:10 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.165$15.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 29, 06:23 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.102$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 29, 06:23 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.170$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 26, 03:25 AM0x6e9f90a6BUY YES0.580$116.0K

Markets active in

18 markets · sorted by volume