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TradingWave

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf49c…9786 with our methodology badges per row.

0xf49ce459b52f60b70ce0fe9aa6203e6bf90f9786·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
27
lifetime
PnL per $
-8%
historical realized
Win rate
88.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$148.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 27 resolved trades · -8% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
100
Distinct markets
50
Volume (90d)
$344.4K
avg $3,444 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$280.8K / $63.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 100 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 10:19 AMWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$1,630
Jun 12, 10:19 AMWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$1,021
Jun 12, 06:45 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.190$1,179Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 12:07 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL NO0.490$1,724— (SELL)
Jun 11, 12:00 PMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL NO0.500$5,087— (SELL)
Jun 11, 04:51 AMWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.002$6,000
Jun 11, 04:40 AMWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.070$2,358Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 04:47 PMWill Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.084$2,242Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 04:47 PMWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.046$1,790
Jun 10, 02:19 PMWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.007$1,126
Jun 10, 05:11 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.106$3,710Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 01:57 PMWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$1,000
Jun 9, 01:37 PMWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$2,000
Jun 8, 07:07 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.779$10.5K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 11:34 AMWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.240$2,223Cheap band — no rep
Jun 8, 11:26 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.777$1,748Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 07:55 AMWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.002$1,000
Jun 3, 10:01 AMWill TYLOO qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?BUY NO0.989$1,834Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 08:42 PMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.040$2,000
Jun 2, 07:39 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.008$1,204— (SELL)
Jun 2, 05:58 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.005$1,002— (SELL)
May 31, 05:58 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.905$12.0K— (SELL)
May 31, 03:41 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.900$6,074— (SELL)
May 30, 08:52 AMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.042$2,420— (SELL)
May 26, 05:57 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.894$4,470Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:46 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.894$4,470Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:44 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.894$4,470Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 06:13 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.490$1,143
May 23, 06:06 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.180$2,569Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 06:06 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.179$5,295Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 07:13 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.020$1,821
May 22, 07:13 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.019$1,758
May 20, 05:43 PMWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?BUY YES0.241$1,217Cheap band — no rep
May 20, 05:14 PMWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.006$1,800
May 19, 08:00 PMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.044$2,211— (SELL)
May 19, 06:46 PMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.011$2,255
May 19, 07:36 AMWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY NO0.260$1,774Cheap band — no rep
May 18, 04:11 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$8,400Killed band — neutral expectation
May 15, 08:58 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$1,150
May 15, 08:58 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$1,150
May 15, 08:18 AMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL YES0.132$4,458— (SELL)
May 14, 05:21 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.140$4,288— (SELL)
May 13, 07:30 AMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.370$1,978Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 07:07 PMWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.004$1,600
May 12, 07:00 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.035$1,792
May 11, 04:34 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.170$2,495Killed band — neutral expectation
May 10, 08:12 AMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.110$1,430Killed band — neutral expectation
May 6, 06:25 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.153$1,683Killed band — neutral expectation
May 6, 07:48 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.152$3,773Killed band — neutral expectation
May 4, 03:21 PMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY YES0.076$2,280Killed band — neutral expectation
May 4, 05:43 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL NO0.953$4,176— (SELL)
May 4, 05:43 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL NO0.955$5,253— (SELL)
May 3, 10:40 AMWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.110$1,816Killed band — neutral expectation
May 2, 04:03 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.032$2,173
May 2, 03:31 AMOver $8M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.969$27.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 06:51 PMOver $15M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.979$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 06:47 PMOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.979$9,185Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 12:46 PMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.087$1,379Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 30, 09:47 AMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.971$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:45 AMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.960$2,724Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:44 AMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.960$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 08:46 AMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.925$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:47 AMOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.989$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:47 AMOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.989$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:46 AMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.983$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:35 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.929$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:30 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.960$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:30 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.956$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:30 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.957$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:30 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.958$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:29 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.928$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:29 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.949$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:28 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.934$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:28 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.930$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:28 AMOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.936$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 07:28 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.910$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 04:54 PMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY NO0.380$3,289Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 02:20 PMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.040$4,000
Apr 25, 06:32 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$1,300
Apr 22, 05:14 AMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.122$2,173Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 22, 04:39 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.110$6,354Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 17, 06:28 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$1,209
Apr 16, 08:38 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.022$1,100
Apr 16, 08:36 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.022$1,100
Apr 16, 08:36 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$1,800
Apr 15, 01:59 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$1,665Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 01:36 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.162$1,621— (SELL)
Apr 15, 01:36 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.162$1,621— (SELL)
Apr 11, 03:27 PMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.118$2,030Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 10, 08:23 PMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.118$1,220Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 9, 09:54 AMFluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY YES0.120$3,765Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 7, 06:25 PMWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.008$1,200
Apr 7, 06:24 PMWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.008$1,200
Apr 7, 06:18 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.091$2,561Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 7, 06:16 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$2,000
Apr 7, 06:15 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.017$1,376
Apr 7, 05:08 PMFluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY YES0.540$2,611
Apr 5, 05:50 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.380$2,781Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 5, 05:46 AMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.090$3,510Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 30, 08:19 PMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.090$2,463Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

50 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Other12$60.4K+$41.6K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$31.5K$-4,656
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?Other1$27.5K+$27.5K
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports5$24.4K$-5,164
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?Other2$20.0K+$20.0K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$14.3K+$14.3K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$11.0K+$11.0K
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?Other5$10.7K+$10.7K
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?Other1$10.6K+$10.6K
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports3$9,973+$9,973
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?Other1$9,185+$9,185
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$8,651+$8,651
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other2$6,811$-6,811
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$6,801+$6,801
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports3$5,791+$1,368
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$5,375+$5,375
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$4,509+$4,509
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$4,500+$4,500
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports1$4,458$-4,458
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Crypto2$4,420$-420
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$3,964+$3,964
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$3,924+$3,924
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?Other1$3,765+$3,765
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Crypto1$3,289+$3,289
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$3,242$-3,242
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?Other1$2,611+$2,611
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other1$2,358+$2,358
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$2,326+$2,326
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports1$2,280+$2,280
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$2,255+$2,255

Showing top 30 by volume.