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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which

OtherEnds Jun 30, 2026View on Polymarket ↗
YES price
3.4¢
current
Total volume
+$7.84M
+$192.6K / 24h
Liquidity
+$330.8K
Whale trades (90d)
27
12 distinct wallets
Whale buy volume
+$905.8K
last 90d, $10K+ trades
Whale sell volume
+$20.9K
last 90d
Net flow
+$884.9K
buy-side dominant
Conviction fires
0
trades passing wave-34 gate

Top wallets on this market

12 wallets · sorted by net buy
WalletTradesBuySellNetPnL/$Gate
ranger444+$297.3K$0+$297.3K+11%🟢
pilimili6+$209.9K$0+$209.9K-34%
ScottyNooo4+$117.6K$0+$117.6K-10%
Batundi1+$78.4K$0+$78.4K-8%
makinta2+$62.9K$0+$62.9K-15%
sameday12+$47.0K$0+$47.0K-3%
loliti2+$38.0K$0+$38.0K+90%
e888881+$16.4K$0+$16.4K-64%
paddaa1+$10.6K$0+$10.6K-11%
ppxtu1+$10.3K$0+$10.3K-23%
scottilicious2+$17.2K+$10.1K+$7,132-25%
Myway1$0+$10.8K-$10.8K+62%🟢

Recent whale trades

27 trades · ≥$10K · 90d window
WhenWalletSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 08:25 PMScottyNoooBUY NO0.966+$85.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:24 PMScottyNoooBUY NO0.965+$10.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:39 PMppxtuBUY NO0.894+$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 04:55 PMpilimiliBUY NO0.955+$19.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 08:30 AMpilimiliBUY NO0.973+$52.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 08:30 AMpilimiliBUY NO0.970+$13.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:30 PMpilimiliBUY NO0.974+$38.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:59 AMlolitiBUY NO0.975+$23.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:58 AMlolitiBUY NO0.972+$14.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 10:20 PMMywaySELL NO0.961+$10.8K— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:05 AMpilimiliBUY NO0.970+$23.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 08:02 PMpilimiliBUY NO0.966+$62.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 04:47 PMsameday1BUY NO0.957+$21.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 05:55 AMranger44BUY NO0.950+$36.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 05:55 AMranger44BUY NO0.944+$59.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:35 AMranger44BUY NO0.942+$24.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:35 AMranger44BUY NO0.947+$177.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:04 AMmakintaBUY NO0.950+$48.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:04 AMmakintaBUY NO0.936+$14.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 03:06 AMscottiliciousSELL NO0.927+$10.1K— (SELL)
Jun 1, 11:02 PMBatundiBUY NO0.936+$78.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 06:32 AMsameday1BUY NO0.916+$25.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:20 AMe88888BUY NO0.822+$16.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 09:52 PMScottyNoooBUY YES0.178+$10.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 26, 06:26 PMScottyNoooBUY YES0.169+$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 21, 06:05 AMscottiliciousBUY NO0.882+$17.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:58 PMpaddaaBUY NO0.850+$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative

All trades pulled from on-chain Polymarket fills via the Polygon CTF Exchange. Methodology badges apply the same wave-34 classifier as /whales. Full per-wallet audit on /trader/[address].