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sameday1

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe36f…cd91 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe36f5735f5bc12c36b361a599e8603d56f7ccd91·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
11
lifetime
PnL per $
-3%
historical realized
Win rate
84.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$181.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 11 resolved trades · -3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
28
Distinct markets
17
Volume (90d)
$442.9K
avg $15.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$309.7K / $133.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 28 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 8, 11:56 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.970$6,091Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 09:22 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?SELL NO0.436$4,281— (SELL)
Jun 8, 08:17 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.968$7,351Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:16 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?SELL NO0.400$9,632— (SELL)
Jun 4, 04:47 PMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.957$21.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 11:20 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.924$2,484Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 06:32 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.916$25.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 07:25 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.931$15.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 07:24 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.928$6,093Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 03:51 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.920$4,917Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 03:51 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.904$3,910Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 05:04 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?SELL YES0.997$1,410— (SELL)
May 25, 05:04 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?SELL YES0.997$28.4K— (SELL)
May 24, 07:01 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?BUY YES0.430$1,937—
May 24, 05:15 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL YES0.270$4,801— (SELL)
May 24, 05:09 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?SELL YES0.998$24.4K— (SELL)
May 22, 08:41 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?BUY YES0.968$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:38 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?BUY YES0.950$9,558Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 07:42 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?BUY YES0.978$12.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 06:12 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?SELL YES0.033$3,101— (SELL)
May 22, 03:09 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.270$3,783— (SELL)
May 21, 09:27 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?SELL YES0.160$1,109— (SELL)
Apr 22, 07:41 AM0x9dd27666BUY NO0.998$35.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 09:10 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?BUY NO0.940$26.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 06:46 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.840$84.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 05:15 AM0x9dd27666BUY NO0.880$10.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 05:29 PM0x10d4b55eSELL NO0.998$52.2K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 05:14 AM0x4f8bddadBUY NO0.867$22.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

17 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Other1$84.5K+$84.5K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Other5$62.9K+$62.9K
0x10d4b55e—1$52.2K$-52,230
0x9dd27666—2$46.0K+$46.0K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Other3$35.1K+$35.1K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other4$30.5K+$30.5K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Other2$29.9K$-29,854
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Politics1$26.4K+$26.4K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Other1$24.4K$-24,417
0x4f8bddad—1$22.4K+$22.4K
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Tech1$9,632$-9,632
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other1$4,801$-4,801
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Tech1$4,281$-4,281
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other1$3,783$-3,783
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Other1$3,101$-3,101
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Other1$1,937+$1,937
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Other1$1,109$-1,109