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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This
YES price
1.0¢
settled
Total volume
+$27.99M
+$8.35M / 24h
Liquidity
+$4.31M
Whale trades (90d)
24
9 distinct wallets
Whale buy volume
+$1.21M
last 90d, $10K+ trades
Whale sell volume
+$418.0K
last 90d
Net flow
+$792.5K
buy-side dominant
Conviction fires
0
trades passing wave-34 gate
Top wallets on this market
9 wallets · sorted by net buy| Wallet | Trades | Buy | Sell | Net | PnL/$ | Gate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAHODA | 4 | +$345.5K | $0 | +$345.5K | -19% | — |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | 4 | +$266.9K | $0 | +$266.9K | -38% | — |
| foodenjoyer | 1 | +$204.2K | $0 | +$204.2K | +2% | — |
| ranger44 | 2 | +$58.0K | $0 | +$58.0K | +5% | — |
| 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | 3 | +$83.2K | +$49.8K | +$33.5K | -14% | — |
| hideo | 1 | +$25.0K | $0 | +$25.0K | -80% | — |
| gokol | 3 | +$84.2K | +$89.6K | -$5,426 | -39% | — |
| 0x24816C037CDc2c9BD979e69d777541cF560A9b79-1765846983430 | 2 | +$18.4K | +$34.5K | -$16.1K | -47% | — |
| pako | 4 | +$125.1K | +$244.1K | -$119.0K | -33% | — |
Recent whale trades
24 trades · ≥$10K · 90d windowAll trades pulled from on-chain Polymarket fills via the Polygon CTF Exchange. Methodology badges apply the same wave-34 classifier as /whales. Full per-wallet audit on /trader/[address].