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0x24816C037CDc2c9BD979e69d777541cF560A9b79-1765846983430
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2481…9b79 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-47%
historical realized
Win rate
52.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$78.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -47% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
4
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$57.4K
avg $14.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$22.8K / $34.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 4 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 02:46 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $34.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 02:37 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $18.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 04:55 PM | Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $1,310 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 04:50 PM | Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $3,111 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Finance | 2 | $52.9K | $-16,139 |
| Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $3,111 | +$3,111 |
| Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Crypto | 1 | $1,310 | +$1,310 |