| Jun 10, 12:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $69.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $249.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $70.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:47 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $19.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 12:57 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.450 | $4,230 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:18 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $1,969 | —— |
| May 23, 09:40 PM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.299 | $3,203 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 23, 04:01 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $3,493 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 12:51 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.490 | $24.1K | —— |
| May 21, 12:51 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.683 | $8,741 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 10:29 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $2,068 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:54 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $17.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:54 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $8,024 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:54 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,645 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:41 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,062 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:41 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $8,621 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:41 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $12.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:28 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $5,195 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:27 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $1,186 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 01:41 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY NO | 0.952 | $11.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 01:41 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $9,797 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 01:41 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $11.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 10:10 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $46.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:45 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $11.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:45 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $33.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:21 PM | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $1,016 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 06:05 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $2,001 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 08:09 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.330 | $5,656 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 08:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.700 | $17.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 04:40 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $15.2K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 04:39 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,943 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 04:56 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $49.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 04:34 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $56.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:34 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $39.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 24, 03:19 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $28.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 24, 03:18 PM | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 06:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $2,317 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 21, 03:51 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $1,401 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 17, 03:57 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.390 | $3,688 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 17, 02:57 PM | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $2,239 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 02:57 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.430 | $1,644 | —— |
| Apr 17, 02:04 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,168 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 03:23 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.070 | $2,056 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 16, 02:47 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $8,712 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 10:16 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.180 | $4,373 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 03:15 PM | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $1,570 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 03:15 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $45.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 05:16 PM | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $5,303 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 02:41 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $107.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 10, 12:37 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $3,884 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 10, 12:37 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $19.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 12:27 PM | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY YES | 0.089 | $2,798 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 9, 12:24 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.983 | $27.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 12:24 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.983 | $12.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 03:29 AM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.998 | $149.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 02:10 AM | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 02:10 AM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.998 | $159.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 12:31 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $26.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 12:31 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $41.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:10 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.932 | $2,239 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:09 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $9,679 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:09 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $5,357 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:08 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.859 | $2,590 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 04:34 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $298.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 04:32 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $245.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 02:25 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $14.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 05:06 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.190 | $20.1K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 02:38 PM | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.290 | $1,449 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 2, 02:38 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $9,118 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 01:55 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.460 | $3,950 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 01:42 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.440 | $2,849 | —— |
| Apr 2, 01:38 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.110 | $5,664 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 01:38 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.230 | $5,587 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 2, 01:27 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.450 | $5,099 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 06:47 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.780 | $2,827 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 02:39 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.440 | $6,836 | —— |
| Apr 1, 02:16 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $18.6K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 04:53 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.420 | $16.9K | —— |
| Mar 31, 01:38 AM | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.280 | $1,505 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 30, 02:36 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.330 | $5,347 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 30, 01:29 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $2,116 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 29, 02:57 PM | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.240 | $1,863 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 29, 02:57 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $9,317 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 26, 09:24 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $54.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 03:28 PM | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.370 | $5,067 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 24, 01:40 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.460 | $2,652 | —— |
| Mar 23, 12:50 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.946 | $8,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |