| Jul 16, 01:13 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.041 | $3,519 | —— |
| Jul 15, 01:39 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.044 | $1,186 | —— |
| Jul 15, 01:38 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.048 | $5,801 | —— |
| Jul 15, 12:35 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $67.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:44 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $3,741 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:43 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $70.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:41 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.912 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $83.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:33 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.120 | $8,394 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 12:32 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.110 | $5,483 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 12:30 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.835 | $33.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:30 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.813 | $3,321 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:30 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.751 | $29.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:30 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.734 | $27.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:05 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $9,328 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 11:58 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.659 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 03:48 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.350 | $4,925 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 13, 07:29 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.640 | $14.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 05:44 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.638 | $19.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 05:44 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.634 | $36.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:59 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,298 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:59 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $204.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:45 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.659 | $8,534 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:44 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.660 | $8,830 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:43 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $26.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:34 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.350 | $4,926 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 13, 04:33 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.345 | $3,314 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 13, 03:01 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.260 | $2,581 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 13, 12:05 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.230 | $10.3K | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 13, 12:05 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.218 | $2,530 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 9, 02:31 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.843 | $1,860 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 01:55 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.783 | $7,305 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 06:01 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.240 | $1,411 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 8, 05:33 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $2,805 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 05:29 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $67.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 05:27 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.766 | $25.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 03:08 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.218 | $1,366 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 8, 01:48 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.205 | $1,959 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 7, 08:03 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.166 | $1,001 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 09:57 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.002 | $2,089 | —— |
| Jul 6, 04:52 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.135 | $1,167 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 04:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.140 | $15.8K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 04:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.150 | $51.5K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 04:38 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $4,185 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 04:25 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.082 | $7,241 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 04:24 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.090 | $34.2K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 2, 01:13 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $500.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:32 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.831 | $335.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:32 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $44.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 03:22 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $118.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 03:20 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.220 | $6,484 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $69.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $249.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:20 PM | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $70.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:47 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $19.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 12:57 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.450 | $4,230 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:18 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $1,969 | —— |
| May 23, 09:40 PM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.299 | $3,203 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 23, 04:01 PM | 0x4998a7c5 | BUY NO | 0.992 | $3,493 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 12:51 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.490 | $24.1K | —— |
| May 21, 12:51 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.683 | $8,741 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 10:29 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $2,068 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:54 PM | 0x12587fe0 | BUY NO | 0.982 | $17.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:54 PM | 0xde5ed16b | BUY NO | 0.970 | $8,024 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:54 PM | 0x27ad7bac | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,645 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:41 PM | 0x27ad7bac | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,062 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:41 PM | 0xd72eb444 | BUY NO | 0.969 | $8,621 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:41 PM | 0xde5ed16b | BUY NO | 0.950 | $12.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:28 PM | 0x0220e320 | BUY NO | 0.994 | $5,195 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:27 PM | 0x1591b72d | BUY NO | 0.980 | $1,186 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 01:41 PM | 0xd8617701 | BUY NO | 0.952 | $11.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 01:41 PM | 0xd8617701 | BUY NO | 0.951 | $9,797 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 01:41 PM | 0x1591b72d | BUY NO | 0.977 | $11.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 10:10 PM | 0x1591b72d | BUY NO | 0.975 | $46.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:45 PM | 0x0220e320 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $11.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:45 PM | 0x1591b72d | BUY NO | 0.970 | $33.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:21 PM | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $1,016 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |