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hideo

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x95bf…e00b with our methodology badges per row.

0x95bf944dd22691364154fb436ee922798566e00b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
-80%
historical realized
Win rate
19.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$139.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 19 resolved trades · -80% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
33
Distinct markets
24
Volume (90d)
$225.6K
avg $6,836 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$66.7K / $158.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 33 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 08:45 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.997$25.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 03:24 AMUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?BUY NO0.989$1,529Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 04:58 AMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL NO0.760$5,446— (SELL)
Jul 16, 12:46 AMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL NO0.780$29.0K— (SELL)
Jul 13, 05:49 AMWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY NO0.810$1,767Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 03:37 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.870$5,058— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:29 AMWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY YES0.905$7,947Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 01:04 AMUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL YES0.505$2,680— (SELL)
Jun 30, 01:03 AMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL NO0.999$17.1K— (SELL)
Jun 29, 01:15 AMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL NO0.999$17.1K— (SELL)
Jun 27, 02:26 PMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?SELL NO0.999$5,941— (SELL)
Jun 26, 09:22 AMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.820$6,827Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 02:17 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL YES0.890$1,775— (SELL)
Jun 25, 01:31 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.841$5,827— (SELL)
Jun 25, 01:26 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.841$8,413— (SELL)
Jun 25, 01:24 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY YES0.900$9,068Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 12:27 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.887$5,325— (SELL)
Jun 25, 03:33 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL NO0.700$9,272— (SELL)
Jun 23, 01:24 AMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?SELL NO0.997$10,000— (SELL)
Jun 13, 09:25 AM0x876047c0SELL NO0.994$5,621— (SELL)
Jun 12, 06:22 AM0x876047c0BUY NO0.879$1,455Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 02:33 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL NO0.974$2,981— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:59 AMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?BUY NO0.900$1,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 01:10 PM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.620$5,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?SELL NO0.962$7,480— (SELL)
Jun 2, 03:10 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.901$8,431— (SELL)
May 31, 07:08 AM0xb7dd41c1BUY NO0.965$4,879Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 01:29 AM0x401b9170BUY NO0.940$1,141Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:10 PMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL NO0.920$5,000— (SELL)
May 23, 11:32 PM0x4ba34832SELL NO0.851$2,533— (SELL)
May 23, 11:32 PMIran closes its airspace by June 30?SELL YES0.351$1,512— (SELL)
May 20, 02:21 PMMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?SELL NO0.810$1,053— (SELL)
May 20, 02:20 PMMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?SELL NO0.820$1,345— (SELL)

Markets active in

24 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Other3$39.2K$-39,200
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Other2$34.5K$-34,453
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance1$25.0K+$25.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tech3$19.6K$-19,565
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Other2$15.9K$-15,941
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Tech2$10.8K+$7,293
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Tech1$9,272$-9,272
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Other1$8,431$-8,431
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics1$7,947+$7,947
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Tech1$7,480$-7,480
0x876047c0—2$7,076$-4,166
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics1$6,827+$6,827
0xc4c3dbcc—1$5,840+$5,840
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Tech1$5,058$-5,058
0xb7dd41c1—1$4,879+$4,879
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Other1$2,981$-2,981
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Other1$2,680$-2,680
0x4ba34832—1$2,533$-2,533
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Other2$2,399$-2,399
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Other1$1,767+$1,767
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Other1$1,529+$1,529
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Tech1$1,512$-1,512
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Other1$1,243+$1,243
0x401b9170—1$1,141+$1,141