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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x95bf…e00b with our methodology badges per row.

0x95bf944dd22691364154fb436ee922798566e00b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
11
lifetime
PnL per $
-79%
historical realized
Win rate
19.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$90.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 11 resolved trades · -79% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
26
Distinct markets
22
Volume (90d)
$178.5K
avg $6,866 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$50.0K / $128.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 26 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 09:25 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?SELL NO0.994$5,621— (SELL)
Jun 12, 06:22 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY NO0.879$1,455Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 02:33 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL NO0.974$2,981— (SELL)
Jun 9, 10:59 AMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?BUY NO0.900$1,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 01:10 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.620$5,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 01:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?SELL NO0.962$7,480— (SELL)
Jun 2, 03:10 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.901$8,431— (SELL)
May 31, 07:08 AMIran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY NO0.965$4,879Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 01:29 AMWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?BUY NO0.940$1,141Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:10 PMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL NO0.920$5,000— (SELL)
May 23, 11:32 PMIran closes its airspace by May 24?SELL NO0.851$2,533— (SELL)
May 23, 11:32 PMIran closes its airspace by June 30?SELL YES0.351$1,512— (SELL)
May 20, 02:21 PMMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?SELL NO0.810$1,053— (SELL)
May 20, 02:20 PMMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?SELL NO0.820$1,345— (SELL)
May 6, 09:21 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL NO0.900$32.2K— (SELL)
May 6, 08:55 AMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY NO0.940$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 04:51 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.997$5,000— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:34 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.997$10,000— (SELL)
Apr 25, 08:28 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.996$10,000— (SELL)
Apr 8, 05:12 PMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.481$2,381— (SELL)
Apr 7, 01:47 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?SELL NO0.428$4,113— (SELL)
Apr 4, 01:55 PM0x773abaa5BUY NO0.950$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 04:45 PM0x2cbfefb1SELL NO0.987$3,979— (SELL)
Mar 31, 01:12 AMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY YES0.710$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:09 PMStarmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY NO0.994$2,471Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 03:26 PMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL NO0.870$24.8K— (SELL)

Markets active in

22 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Tech1$32.2K$-32,222
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Other3$25.0K$-25,000
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics1$24.8K$-24,829
0x773abaa5—1$20.0K+$20.0K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Other1$8,431$-8,431
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Tech1$7,480$-7,480
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Other2$7,076$-4,166
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics1$5,840+$5,840
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Other1$5,000$-5,000
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Tech1$4,879+$4,879
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Other1$4,113$-4,113
0x2cbfefb1—1$3,979$-3,979
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Politics1$3,000+$3,000
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Other1$2,981$-2,981
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Tech1$2,533$-2,533
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Other1$2,471+$2,471
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Other2$2,399$-2,399
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Other1$2,381$-2,381
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Tech1$1,512$-1,512
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Other1$1,243+$1,243
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?Politics1$1,141+$1,141