ndb1

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xfea3…d227 with our methodology badges per row.

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

404

lifetime

PnL per $

-6%

historical realized

Win rate

81.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$5.07M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 404 resolved trades · -6% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$3.67M

avg $18.3K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$3.16M / $505.9K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 20, 11:59 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.943	$15.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:58 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.944	$214.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:52 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.990	$24.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:49 AM	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.999	$194.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 03:10 AM	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY YES	0.560	$27.1K	—
Jun 10, 03:10 AM	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY NO	0.560	$17.1K	—
Jun 7, 11:26 PM	Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?	BUY NO	0.993	$5,512	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:20 AM	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	BUY YES	0.793	$3,189	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:16 AM	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	BUY YES	0.789	$127.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:16 AM	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	BUY NO	0.789	$69.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:30 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.976	$6,374	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:28 PM	Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?	BUY YES	0.996	$1,961	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 04:26 AM	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?	BUY YES	0.760	$1,846	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 04:08 AM	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.996	$7,556	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 04:07 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.969	$1,129	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 11:41 PM	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY YES	0.420	$32.8K	—
Jun 4, 11:40 PM	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY NO	0.419	$32.5K	—
Jun 4, 05:14 AM	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY YES	0.410	$27.0K	—
Jun 4, 03:58 AM	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.898	$2,999	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 03:56 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.967	$9,171	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 10:26 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.995	$21.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 10:26 PM	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.995	$9,179	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 10:20 PM	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.996	$9,297	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 10:19 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.996	$83.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 10:05 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$135.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 09:56 PM	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.996	$763.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:47 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.976	$2,230	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:24 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.982	$1,986	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:14 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.981	$1,418	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:12 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,178	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:10 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:09 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,458	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:09 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.980	$4,876	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:09 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.970	$3,479	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:09 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.969	$4,257	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:08 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.969	$4,882	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:08 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.970	$8,450	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 01:08 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$4,923	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:14 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,018	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:13 PM	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.950	$19.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 05:50 PM	Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	BUY NO	0.909	$9,957	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 05:47 AM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.930	$5,959	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 11:17 PM	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY YES	0.424	$3,825	—
May 30, 08:42 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.920	$3,751	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:30 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.500	$4,824	—
May 30, 06:30 PM	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL NO	0.500	$1,316	— (SELL)
May 30, 06:29 PM	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL NO	0.500	$2,316	— (SELL)
May 30, 06:29 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.500	$4,049	—
May 30, 06:22 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.470	$2,095	—
May 30, 06:18 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.480	$3,147	—
May 30, 06:17 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.470	$1,098	—
May 30, 06:10 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.467	$1,284	—
May 30, 06:08 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.466	$1,319	—
May 30, 06:08 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.457	$2,973	—
May 30, 05:39 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	SELL NO	0.770	$5,432	— (SELL)
May 30, 05:36 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	SELL YES	0.200	$5,482	— (SELL)
May 30, 05:25 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	BUY YES	0.620	$4,869	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:25 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	BUY NO	0.880	$17.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:23 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.730	$5,854	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:17 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	BUY NO	0.850	$53.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:12 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	BUY NO	0.840	$2,092	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:11 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	BUY NO	0.830	$4,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:10 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	BUY NO	0.840	$17.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:09 PM	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.290	$83.2K	Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 04:22 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.620	$8,758	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:19 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.600	$5,781	—
May 30, 02:31 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.460	$23.6K	—
May 29, 11:32 PM	Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?	BUY NO	0.990	$22.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:31 PM	Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?	BUY NO	0.996	$3,586	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:26 PM	Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?	BUY NO	0.995	$2,574	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:26 PM	Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	BUY NO	0.995	$1,273	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:24 PM	Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	BUY NO	0.949	$1,252	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 05:53 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.430	$69.6K	—
May 29, 05:53 PM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.430	$118.6K	—
May 29, 05:38 PM	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	BUY NO	0.600	$8,996	—
May 28, 08:17 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.920	$2,501	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:26 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,229	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:26 PM	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.867	$56.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:24 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.992	$1,963	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:17 PM	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	BUY YES	0.999	$2,627	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:14 PM	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	BUY NO	0.999	$13.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 08:47 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.920	$2,857	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 08:46 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.993	$8,446	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:09 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.950	$6,421	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:09 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.956	$9,624	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:08 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.961	$6,412	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:08 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.958	$20.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 12:27 AM	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY NO	0.571	$3,711	—
May 27, 12:20 AM	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY NO	0.567	$2,856	—
May 27, 12:20 AM	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	SELL NO	0.434	$7,723	— (SELL)
May 26, 11:02 PM	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	BUY NO	0.999	$43.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 06:45 PM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.919	$13.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 06:06 PM	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY NO	0.400	$10.6K	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 26, 06:05 PM	Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	BUY NO	0.991	$6,868	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 06:00 PM	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	BUY NO	0.550	$1,065	—
May 26, 05:57 PM	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	BUY NO	0.993	$11.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:18 AM	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	SELL NO	0.537	$1,065	— (SELL)
May 26, 05:10 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.999	$21.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:03 AM	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	BUY NO	0.998	$3,234	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:01 AM	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	BUY NO	0.994	$12.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:10 AM	Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	BUY NO	0.995	$1,098	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:09 AM	Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	BUY NO	0.992	$1,504	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 03:40 AM	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	BUY YES	0.999	$10.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 03:39 AM	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	BUY YES	0.999	$6,796	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 06:42 PM	Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?	BUY YES	0.700	$15.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:58 PM	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	BUY YES	0.999	$7,049	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:45 PM	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	BUY NO	0.997	$1,149	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:24 PM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.986	$2,372	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:15 PM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.979	$1,205	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:49 PM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.969	$1,578	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:17 PM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	SELL NO	0.915	$19.8K	— (SELL)
May 24, 02:52 PM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.857	$1,129	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 10:53 PM	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	BUY YES	0.998	$2,675	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:32 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	BUY YES	0.999	$4,796	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:04 PM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.866	$3,526	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:03 PM	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	BUY NO	0.994	$7,228	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 06:19 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.944	$3,726	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 06:17 AM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.865	$1,703	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 05:36 AM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.865	$1,456	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 11:03 PM	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,193	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 10:57 PM	Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	BUY YES	0.991	$1,003	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 10:54 PM	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY NO	0.865	$1,454	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 10:44 PM	Will Bologna qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	BUY NO	0.999	$5,649	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 10:10 PM	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.343	$1,387	— (SELL)
May 22, 07:18 AM	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.420	$22.6K	—
May 21, 02:18 PM	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY YES	0.870	$6,457	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:19 AM	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.993	$35.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 03:27 AM	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY YES	0.870	$8,669	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 03:25 AM	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY YES	0.860	$3,003	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 03:24 AM	Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,013	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 09:39 PM	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.540	$1,674	—
May 20, 03:51 PM	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY YES	0.860	$7,197	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:49 PM	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	BUY NO	0.999	$6,713	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:47 PM	Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?	SELL YES	0.186	$1,688	— (SELL)
May 20, 04:41 AM	Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,307	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 04:38 AM	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	BUY YES	0.869	$8,539	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 04:37 AM	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,085	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 12:30 AM	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY NO	0.689	$1,782	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 11:53 PM	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY YES	0.860	$10.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 11:52 PM	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	BUY YES	0.919	$11.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 09:04 PM	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	SELL NO	0.166	$1,580	— (SELL)
May 18, 08:35 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.930	$4,725	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:34 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.996	$9,557	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:33 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$14.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:33 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$25.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:31 PM	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.920	$5,158	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:31 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.994	$1,289	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:30 PM	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.920	$1,359	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:30 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.993	$1,104	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:29 PM	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.920	$4,920	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:24 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$12.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:24 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$7,763	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:23 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:23 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$16.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:23 PM	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.920	$13.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:21 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$3,680	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:18 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.920	$16.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:17 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.992	$1,531	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:15 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.992	$3,636	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:12 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.991	$1,530	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:11 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.991	$1,357	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:09 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.991	$1,530	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:09 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.930	$13.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:08 PM	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$4,223	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:08 PM	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$15.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:07 PM	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$6,216	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:07 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.991	$1,548	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:05 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.930	$3,506	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:05 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.930	$4,283	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:05 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.930	$4,073	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:04 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.940	$2,014	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:04 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.940	$9,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:03 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.940	$8,907	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:01 PM	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY YES	0.940	$77.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 07:55 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.991	$1,530	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 07:54 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.991	$5,865	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 07:44 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.991	$9,469	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 06:58 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.970	$48.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 06:53 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.970	$47.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 06:39 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.971	$2,471	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 06:38 PM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.970	$176.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 06:22 AM	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	BUY NO	0.972	$15.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:27 AM	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	BUY YES	0.999	$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:27 AM	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	BUY NO	0.999	$3,281	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:26 AM	Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	BUY NO	0.999	$45.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:26 AM	Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	BUY NO	0.999	$3,299	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 04:16 AM	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	BUY YES	0.893	$2,617	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:33 PM	Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,140	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:29 PM	Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,219	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:28 PM	Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,498	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:28 PM	Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$3,097	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:28 PM	Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,498	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:28 PM	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,232	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:28 PM	Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,127	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:21 PM	Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$16.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:20 PM	Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,456	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 08:21 PM	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	SELL NO	0.652	$5,424	— (SELL)
May 17, 07:39 PM	Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,109	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 07:39 PM	Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.998	$12.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 07:39 PM	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	BUY NO	0.999	$3,239	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

71 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	1	$763.4K	+$763.4K
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	Other	17	$330.2K	+$330.2K
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Crypto	6	$285.9K	$-194,638
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Other	15	$275.6K	+$275.6K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Other	17	$237.2K	+$237.2K
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Other	2	$230.6K	+$230.6K
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Crypto	4	$220.0K	$-204,875
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Other	2	$130.4K	+$130.4K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Tech	7	$108.5K	+$97.7K
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	3	$87.0K	+$87.0K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Other	3	$86.8K	+$79.6K
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	Other	5	$77.6K	+$77.6K
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Other	1	$69.8K	+$69.8K
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	2	$59.1K	+$59.1K
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	Other	7	$50.8K	+$50.8K
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	2	$49.6K	+$49.6K
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Other	1	$45.2K	+$45.2K
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	5	$43.5K	+$43.5K
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Other	9	$34.2K	$-5,366
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Other	5	$33.9K	+$33.9K
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	6	$29.6K	+$29.6K
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Other	1	$24.8K	+$24.8K
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Sports	4	$22.9K	+$22.9K
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Other	1	$22.2K	+$22.2K
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Crypto	1	$21.0K	+$21.0K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Other	3	$20.6K	+$6,634
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	1	$19.2K	+$19.2K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Sports	2	$18.4K	+$2,924
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	3	$16.4K	+$16.4K
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Other	3	$15.7K	+$15.7K

Showing top 30 by volume.