ndb1

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xfea3…d227 with our methodology badges per row.

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

293

lifetime

PnL per $

-16%

historical realized

Win rate

66.1%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$8.43M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 293 resolved trades · -16% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$4.75M

avg $23.7K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$2.68M / $2.07M

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 20, 02:20 AM	Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	BUY NO	0.935	$4,532	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:59 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.985	$33.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:56 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.964	$53.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:55 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.986	$5,222	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:54 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.971	$17.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:54 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.984	$310.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:49 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.972	$52.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:47 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.991	$35.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:43 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.964	$161.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:48 PM	Will Europe (UEFA) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,452	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:44 PM	Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.999	$1,332	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:44 PM	Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,797	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:44 PM	Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.993	$4,347	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:41 PM	Will William Saliba score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.999	$9,054	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:40 PM	Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.999	$2,878	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 04:15 AM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.972	$10.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:04 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.569	$95.7K	—
Jul 14, 03:56 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.220	$4,640	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 03:39 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.219	$99.9K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 03:31 PM	Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	BUY NO	0.410	$2,566	—
Jul 14, 03:30 PM	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.410	$4,315	—
Jul 14, 03:30 PM	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY NO	0.410	$18.4K	—
Jul 13, 11:21 PM	Will Emiliano Grillo finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?	BUY NO	0.982	$6,403	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 09:25 PM	Will Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,302	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 09:25 PM	Will Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,319	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 07:41 AM	Will Justin Jefferson win the 2026 NFL MVP?	SELL NO	0.997	$1,100	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 08:19 PM	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?	BUY NO	0.975	$109.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:01 AM	Will Justin Jefferson win the 2026 NFL MVP?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,012	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 09:35 PM	Will the final be FRA vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.899	$3,257	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:58 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	BUY NO	0.964	$1,311	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:57 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?	BUY NO	0.981	$1,855	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:57 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?	BUY NO	0.985	$21.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:56 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?	BUY NO	0.980	$12.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 10:29 PM	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	SELL YES	0.100	$2,111	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 10:27 PM	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.160	$2,395	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 10:26 PM	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.170	$2,009	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 10:24 PM	Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.855	$5,419	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 02:27 AM	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	SELL YES	0.142	$1,282	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 10:58 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.818	$64.7K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 10:53 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.813	$4,468	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 10:49 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.821	$13.7K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 07:58 PM	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia?	BUY NO	0.979	$4,642	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:58 PM	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Colombia?	BUY NO	0.977	$23.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:58 PM	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Colombia?	BUY NO	0.958	$6,843	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:57 PM	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?	BUY NO	0.973	$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:50 PM	Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,936	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:50 PM	Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.390	$2,250	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:44 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.834	$212.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 06:17 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.939	$5,112	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 06:15 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.936	$1,411	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 06:15 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.936	$24.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:59 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.831	$644.5K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:55 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.866	$2,589	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:48 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.862	$30.6K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:48 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.864	$20.7K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:47 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.865	$26.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:47 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.878	$74.0K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:29 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.920	$14.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:28 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.920	$49.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:06 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.891	$14.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:05 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.895	$1,525	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:04 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.889	$2,620	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:04 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.890	$5,450	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:03 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.892	$39.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:59 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.860	$30.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 03:56 PM	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	BUY NO	0.990	$226.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:43 AM	Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,361	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:40 AM	Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.223	$3,358	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 07:39 AM	Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.220	$1,597	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 07:17 AM	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY NO	0.457	$6,260	—
Jul 7, 01:02 AM	United States to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.660	$1,657	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 05:17 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.833	$132.9K	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 07:14 AM	Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	BUY NO	0.640	$1,596	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 07:14 AM	Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.635	$6,604	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 07:11 AM	Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.210	$1,261	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 07:09 AM	Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.400	$1,571	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 07:09 AM	Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.400	$1,008	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:30 AM	World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,877	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:52 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.827	$1,009	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:41 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.822	$52.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:03 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.630	$63.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 12:27 AM	Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.510	$5,519	—
Jul 6, 12:10 AM	Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.510	$2,381	—
Jul 6, 12:10 AM	Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	BUY NO	0.510	$2,838	—
Jul 6, 12:07 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.825	$49.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 12:01 AM	Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.510	$5,720	—
Jul 6, 12:01 AM	Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	BUY NO	0.510	$5,106	—
Jul 6, 12:01 AM	Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.510	$1,234	—
Jul 5, 11:15 PM	Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.510	$5,158	—
Jul 5, 11:15 PM	Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	BUY NO	0.510	$5,533	—
Jul 5, 11:14 PM	Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.510	$5,564	—
Jul 5, 11:14 PM	Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.510	$4,788	—
Jul 5, 09:56 PM	Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.483	$2,519	—
Jul 5, 07:15 PM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.350	$4,086	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:15 PM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.350	$17.3K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:15 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.630	$9,623	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:15 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.630	$32.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:25 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.838	$74.5K	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 05:44 AM	Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.530	$1,260	—
Jul 4, 04:57 AM	Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.670	$1,024	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:54 AM	Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.290	$1,003	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 04:28 AM	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.349	$6,111	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 04:20 AM	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.603	$7,895	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 06:53 PM	Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.490	$1,092	—
Jul 3, 06:52 PM	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.490	$2,162	—
Jul 3, 06:46 PM	Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.660	$1,529	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:24 PM	Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.930	$2,236	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 05:34 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.806	$8,134	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 03:09 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.811	$24.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:53 AM	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria?	BUY NO	0.993	$9,946	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:53 AM	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,108	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:52 AM	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria?	BUY NO	0.977	$1,922	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:52 AM	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria?	BUY NO	0.983	$12.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:51 AM	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?	BUY NO	0.957	$5,539	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 08:11 PM	Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.917	$3,474	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:31 PM	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	SELL YES	0.210	$6,231	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 03:56 PM	England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.897	$3,604	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:10 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.588	$1,785	—
Jul 1, 03:10 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.579	$1,360	—
Jul 1, 03:09 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.609	$3,722	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:09 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.620	$1,102	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:07 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.640	$14.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:01 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.640	$11.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:18 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.910	$5,121	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:58 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.988	$19.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:49 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.995	$8,263	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:48 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.973	$2,241	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:47 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.966	$1,431	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:11 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.962	$5,386	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:10 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.995	$2,820	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:09 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.965	$44.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:08 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.973	$8,051	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:07 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?	BUY NO	0.890	$3,621	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:02 AM	Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.590	$10.7K	—
Jun 30, 10:53 PM	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	SELL YES	0.221	$7,159	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 10:29 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.998	$61.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 04:58 PM	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway?	BUY NO	0.985	$1,095	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 03:37 AM	Will 2+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.993	$5,296	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 12:56 AM	Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco?	BUY NO	0.954	$4,521	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 12:55 AM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.940	$62.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 12:55 AM	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?	BUY NO	0.989	$14.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 12:38 AM	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	BUY YES	0.219	$2,968	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 11:44 PM	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	BUY YES	0.224	$12.9K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 11:15 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.975	$20.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 11:13 PM	Will 1+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.997	$1,211	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 10:59 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.970	$7,837	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:58 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.970	$49.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:22 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.965	$11.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:19 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$4,549	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:19 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$2,405	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:19 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$4,528	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:17 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$3,959	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:17 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$3,959	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:17 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$1,924	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:17 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$3,959	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:16 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$3,959	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:16 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.963	$11.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:16 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$8,638	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:59 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.959	$4,046	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:59 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.959	$3,946	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:55 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.959	$4,467	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:48 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.959	$47.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:47 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.955	$57.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 08:31 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.955	$15.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 08:23 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.820	$13.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 07:09 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.937	$31.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:41 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.956	$15.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:41 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.955	$160.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:39 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.937	$7,311	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:19 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.938	$46.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:17 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.929	$153.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:56 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?	BUY NO	0.994	$95.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:55 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan?	BUY NO	0.974	$1,824	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:54 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	BUY NO	0.975	$3,196	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:53 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?	BUY NO	0.985	$2,028	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:53 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?	BUY NO	0.938	$2,165	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:51 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?	BUY NO	0.985	$2,812	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 03:56 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.956	$7,801	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 03:42 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.957	$2,483	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 03:29 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.958	$3,673	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 03:26 AM	Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.926	$7,220	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:57 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.781	$8,418	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:01 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.804	$11.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:32 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.113	$3,767	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 10:54 PM	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.999	$1,128	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:03 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.810	$4,050	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:02 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.809	$11.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:51 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.807	$6,793	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:18 PM	Will 1+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.992	$1,611	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:01 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.809	$5,431	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:00 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.809	$4,339	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:58 PM	Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 England?	BUY NO	0.995	$95.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:39 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.812	$7,399	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:36 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.818	$4,085	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 08:36 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.818	$11.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 08:35 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.811	$13.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:19 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.812	$1,519	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:19 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.812	$110.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:15 PM	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.999	$14.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:13 PM	Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.999	$3,931	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

96 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	37	$1.76M	$-1,225,543
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	25	$461.7K	$-461,661
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Tech	3	$349.4K	+$349.4K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	4	$238.8K	+$68.8K
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Other	1	$226.4K	+$226.4K
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Tech	3	$225.8K	+$225.8K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	4	$204.0K	+$196.5K
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?	Other	1	$109.6K	+$109.6K
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?	Other	1	$95.7K	+$95.7K
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 England?	Other	1	$95.6K	+$95.6K
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Other	1	$63.0K	+$63.0K
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Other	1	$62.0K	+$62.0K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Other	1	$61.1K	+$61.1K
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Tech	1	$52.4K	+$52.4K
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?	Other	1	$44.0K	+$44.0K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Other	2	$41.8K	+$41.8K
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Tech	1	$35.6K	+$35.6K
Mexico to win the second half?	Other	6	$34.1K	+$34.1K
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	Other	6	$32.6K	$-957
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Other	1	$30.8K	+$30.8K
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	3	$30.8K	+$30.8K
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Other	2	$24.7K	+$24.7K
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Colombia?	Other	1	$23.4K	+$23.4K
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?	Tech	1	$21.5K	+$21.5K
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Other	2	$21.3K	+$21.3K
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador?	Other	1	$19.8K	+$19.8K
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Tech	1	$17.9K	+$17.9K
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$14.5K	+$14.5K
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?	Crypto	1	$14.2K	+$14.2K
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Other	1	$13.6K	+$13.6K

Showing top 30 by volume.