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AML
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xfd22…ad91 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
+62%
historical realized
Win rate
34.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$175.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · 62% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
7
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$175.2K
avg $25.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$175.2K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 7 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 11:21 AM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY YES | 0.425 | $67.6K | — |
| Jul 19, 11:20 AM | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $5,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 06:30 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.537 | $17.1K | — |
| Jul 15, 06:29 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $1,317 | — |
| Jul 14, 01:12 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.215 | $61.0K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 8, 04:43 AM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.030 | $6,000 | — |
| Jun 28, 06:48 AM | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.047 | $17.2K | — |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Tech | 1 | $67.6K | +$67.6K |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $61.0K | +$61.0K |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $18.4K | +$18.4K |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Crypto | 1 | $17.2K | +$17.2K |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $6,000 | +$6,000 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | Tech | 1 | $5,000 | +$5,000 |