| Jul 20, 06:02 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.927 | $5,212 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 05:49 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.926 | $1,019 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 03:23 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $6,791 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 03:18 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.936 | $5,089 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 09:51 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.934 | $1,669 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 10:07 PM | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $1,860 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 10:03 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.402 | $3,456 | —— |
| Jul 18, 06:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.947 | $19.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 03:05 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.406 | $1,756 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 06:55 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $3,903 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 06:47 AM | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $1,749 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 02:52 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.962 | $16.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 01:38 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.960 | $1,633 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 12:52 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.964 | $1,969 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 12:52 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $1,523 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 12:51 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $46.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 12:31 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.944 | $44.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 12:28 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $37.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 12:26 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $1,280 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:44 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $2,884 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:36 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $4,329 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:34 PM | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY NO | 0.879 | $7,347 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:33 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.902 | $31.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:22 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.370 | $1,964 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 05:58 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL NO | 0.919 | $1,749 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 05:56 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.350 | $1,855 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 13, 05:52 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL NO | 0.861 | $2,584 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 05:45 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL NO | 0.934 | $2,216 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 05:29 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $1,076 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 04:31 PM | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY YES | 0.272 | $2,040 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 13, 03:23 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.270 | $1,708 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 13, 03:08 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.730 | $1,213 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 02:34 PM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,174 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 10:27 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $1,280 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 02:29 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.784 | $1,031 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 06:49 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.220 | $2,554 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 10, 04:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.190 | $1,894 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 10, 03:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.160 | $1,600 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 10, 03:26 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.852 | $9,092 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 09:48 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.809 | $8,090 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 09:47 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.808 | $3,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 08:57 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.796 | $15.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 11:01 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.781 | $1,059 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 06:15 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $3,529 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 08:20 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.780 | $22.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 07:26 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $2,180 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 07:18 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.165 | $1,699 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 7, 07:17 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.163 | $1,679 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 7, 08:07 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.840 | $18.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 12:34 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.520 | $1,272 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 12:27 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.880 | $28.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 5, 08:15 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.904 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 5, 07:32 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.654 | $3,429 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 08:02 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.903 | $7,481 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 05:22 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.905 | $4,706 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 03:34 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $35.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 03:23 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.918 | $3,449 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 01:30 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.906 | $23.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 10:18 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.902 | $3,098 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 09:05 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.903 | $3,815 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 12:44 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $26.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:43 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $21.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:35 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $4,364 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:35 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $4,400 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 12:34 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.833 | $1,802 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:34 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.833 | $50.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:33 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.833 | $33.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:32 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.831 | $29.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:30 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.825 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:20 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.450 | $3,731 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 05:10 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.179 | $1,914 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 07:50 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.817 | $1,277 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 03:27 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.808 | $6,961 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 03:26 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.210 | $1,050 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 01:56 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.798 | $1,237 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 01:31 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.230 | $5,655 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 1, 01:29 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.230 | $1,150 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 1, 01:26 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.230 | $1,150 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 1, 01:13 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.205 | $1,025 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 1, 01:11 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $4,480 | —— |
| Jul 1, 01:10 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $1,635 | —— |
| Jun 30, 04:49 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.200 | $2,040 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 30, 08:18 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.175 | $8,750 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 04:15 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.190 | $1,951 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 29, 03:50 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.174 | $3,132 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 03:48 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.190 | $3,420 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 29, 02:09 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.174 | $1,569 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 05:31 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.810 | $8,099 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 01:33 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.838 | $1,809 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 09:13 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.832 | $1,021 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 04:44 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.754 | $1,565 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 04:35 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.190 | $3,395 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 04:31 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.753 | $2,921 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 06:19 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.180 | $1,800 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 05:45 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.180 | $1,440 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 04:55 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,148 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 02:18 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.180 | $1,800 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 08:15 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.180 | $1,440 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 06:57 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.190 | $7,394 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 26, 12:55 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.826 | $4,314 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 12:54 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.174 | $1,451 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 02:12 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.786 | $7,628 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 02:11 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $26.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 01:55 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.786 | $9,695 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 12:46 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.775 | $1,619 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 12:43 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.775 | $1,060 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 12:42 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.460 | $1,547 | —— |
| Jun 25, 12:32 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.771 | $13.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 12:31 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.769 | $2,268 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 12:28 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.750 | $10.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 05:43 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,404 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 24, 03:44 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.772 | $1,146 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 24, 08:14 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.759 | $2,344 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 04:29 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.754 | $4,191 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 07:01 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $19.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 11:30 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.740 | $8,335 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 05:59 AM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,963 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 05:58 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $2,988 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 10:34 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $3,020 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:59 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:28 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $1,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:57 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.941 | $2,510 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:03 AM | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.679 | $1,358 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:03 AM | 0xa976dcc2 | SELL NO | 0.857 | $1,687 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:21 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $1,058 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:18 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $3,078 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 04:44 AM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL NO | 0.805 | $1,343 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 05:41 PM | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,484 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 01:49 AM | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $1,641 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 03:37 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $1,459 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 03:01 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.430 | $3,014 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:58 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $2,161 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:50 PM | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | SELL YES | 0.964 | $1,708 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:33 PM | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | SELL YES | 0.963 | $1,089 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:33 PM | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? | SELL NO | 0.947 | $1,638 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:07 PM | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,720 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 11:08 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $1,796 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 11:01 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.819 | $1,242 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 12:15 AM | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? | BUY NO | 0.949 | $1,294 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 12:14 AM | 0xad11c116 | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,098 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 12:08 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,492 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:32 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.959 | $2,140 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:25 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.635 | $1,269 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:23 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.955 | $2,058 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:25 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $4,910 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:18 PM | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,713 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 05:31 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,248 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:04 PM | 0x1eeb9106 | SELL YES | 0.956 | $3,684 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 07:59 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $1,617 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 07:37 PM | 0x1eeb9106 | SELL YES | 0.970 | $1,222 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 07:27 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $1,440 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:04 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $1,740 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 06:02 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $1,445 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 10:42 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | SELL YES | 0.894 | $1,667 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 08:40 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | SELL YES | 0.965 | $2,257 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 03:17 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.939 | $1,408 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:13 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $2,208 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 11:22 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,312 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 10:35 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $6,369 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 07:20 AM | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL NO | 0.802 | $1,544 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 02:15 PM | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.693 | $1,273 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 06:59 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $4,839 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 06:59 PM | 0x1591b72d | SELL NO | 0.981 | $5,768 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 06:26 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.680 | $2,040 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 06:25 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $4,152 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 05:32 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,119 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 05:28 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,881 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 11:03 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $5,213 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 08:34 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $11.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 03:20 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,899 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 08:32 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $3,686 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 08:21 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,860 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:40 AM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.990 | $2,469 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 09:50 AM | 0xcddc048c | BUY NO | 0.982 | $3,577 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 09:50 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,985 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 04:01 PM | 0xcddc048c | BUY NO | 0.983 | $3,381 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 06:16 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.969 | $11.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 12:20 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $3,574 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 05:24 PM | 0x0220e320 | SELL NO | 0.992 | $2,880 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 06:51 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,395 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 04:10 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.970 | $1,050 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 02:58 PM | 0x0220e320 | SELL NO | 0.990 | $1,044 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 08:14 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,337 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 08:11 AM | 0xcddc048c | BUY NO | 0.948 | $1,422 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |