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cookie96
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xfb41…1fff with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-23%
historical realized
Win rate
61.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$40.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -23% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
10
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$56.1K
avg $5,611 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$22.0K / $34.1K
net direction
Recent trades
last 10 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 08:24 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.250 | $1,759 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 18, 11:52 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.280 | $14.0K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 14, 12:14 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.213 | $10.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 04:01 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.199 | $1,343 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 7, 03:02 PM | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.010 | $1,000 | — |
| Jul 7, 02:55 PM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.033 | $6,561 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 12:49 AM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.031 | $13.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 5, 03:55 AM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.034 | $3,230 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 04:02 PM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.013 | $1,296 | — |
| Jun 27, 04:02 PM | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.013 | $2,595 | — |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 4 | $24.1K | $-16,366 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 2 | $15.8K | +$15.8K |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 2 | $12.0K | $-9,290 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $3,230 | $-3,230 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |