| Jul 20, 12:26 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 10:33 PM | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $2,537 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 01:45 AM | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,145 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 03:44 AM | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $3,170 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 08:29 PM | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $6,506 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 05:43 PM | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL NO | 0.744 | $1,005 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 03:49 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,090 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 03:38 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $6,326 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 01:47 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,393 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 03:32 PM | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,583 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 02:53 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $2,229 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 11:40 AM | Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | SELL NO | 0.895 | $2,563 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 11, 12:00 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $23.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 03:56 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $57.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 01:22 AM | Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $3,377 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 12:44 AM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,775 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 12:15 AM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,088 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 02:36 PM | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.913 | $10,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 02:35 PM | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.881 | $8,808 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 02:21 AM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY YES | 0.895 | $1,245 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 08:29 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY YES | 0.966 | $2,513 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 12:42 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY YES | 0.972 | $1,540 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:50 PM | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $1,937 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:25 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $1,952 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 08:03 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $4,153 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 07:55 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $8,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 04:35 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $6,655 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 5, 08:20 PM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $1,740 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 11:31 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $4,007 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 02:40 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 7? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $5,043 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 11:31 PM | Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $9,344 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 03:59 PM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.971 | $2,214 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 03:07 PM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $5,046 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 05:51 AM | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $1,031 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 04:57 AM | Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $1,874 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 01:40 AM | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,242 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 01:40 AM | Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,596 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 07:18 PM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 03:58 PM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.819 | $1,460 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 01:43 AM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.977 | $1,278 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 12:13 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | SELL NO | 0.931 | $3,675 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 08:55 PM | South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score | BUY NO | 0.973 | $3,537 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 04:42 PM | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,444 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 03:29 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.219 | $2,190 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 01:50 AM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.954 | $3,339 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 05:08 PM | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,352 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 03:10 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.937 | $2,672 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 06:28 PM | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.962 | $2,518 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:21 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $1,876 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:19 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $1,693 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:17 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $2,346 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:16 PM | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $2,619 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 04:47 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $4,162 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:17 AM | Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,658 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:17 AM | Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,446 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 10:49 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.708 | $1,324 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 06:20 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.946 | $1,325 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 04:34 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | BUY NO | 0.889 | $1,601 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:27 PM | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.949 | $20.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:27 PM | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.933 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:26 PM | Starmer out by October 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $5,495 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |