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neymar1

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf93f…f94b with our methodology badges per row.

0xf93f33cc7d962e9286ca08c285fb4c7508b8f94b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
39
lifetime
PnL per $
-44%
historical realized
Win rate
15.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$144.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 39 resolved trades · -44% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
50
Distinct markets
30
Volume (90d)
$168.0K
avg $3,360 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$88.8K / $79.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 50 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 01:02 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.999$43.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:53 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.929$1,119— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:14 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.740$7,400— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:41 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.980$3,676— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:11 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.930$2,790— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:01 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.591$4,137— (SELL)
Jul 19, 05:34 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.591$5,910— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:43 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.320$1,280Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:02 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.360$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:16 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.228$4,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 09:32 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.581$8,715— (SELL)
Jul 13, 10:53 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.390$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 06:08 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.502$4,500
Jul 10, 10:26 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.147$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:58 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.545$2,500
Jul 10, 07:46 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.570$2,000
Jul 10, 06:52 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.172$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 09:02 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.325$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 04:05 PMWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$1,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 07:41 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$2,750
Jul 4, 03:40 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.310$3,100Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 02:46 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.310$1,860Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:02 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.527$2,374
Jul 2, 10:16 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.575$1,150
Jul 2, 10:14 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.320$1,280Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 12:15 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.440$2,222
Jun 30, 02:38 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.050$1,000
Jun 29, 09:18 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.410$2,000
Jun 29, 09:18 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.410$2,500
Jun 29, 05:11 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.540$1,500
Jun 29, 05:08 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.280$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 28, 08:34 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.270$1,500Cheap band — no rep
Jun 28, 08:33 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.300$1,200Cheap band — no rep
Jun 28, 08:09 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.410$2,500
Jun 27, 11:44 PMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.300$1,500Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 03:26 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.380$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 02:00 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.470$2,400
Jun 25, 07:54 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.226$1,500Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 06:07 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?SELL YES0.614$2,456— (SELL)
Jun 25, 06:02 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.615$2,460Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:14 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.139$2,780Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 01:45 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.370$1,480Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 10:52 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.640$3,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 12:30 AMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.340$1,700Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 10:22 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.440$2,566
Jun 21, 03:02 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.137$2,329Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:31 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.570$2,521
Jun 20, 08:31 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.390$1,950Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 06:01 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.500$2,000
May 9, 04:23 PM0x6e9f90a6BUY YES0.580$1,740

Markets active in

30 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech8$75.3K$-65,125
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$7,746$-5,186
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Other3$6,240+$6,240
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$6,000+$6,000
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$5,500+$5,500
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Other2$4,916+$4
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Other1$4,500+$4,500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech2$4,500+$4,500
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Other3$4,500+$4,500
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Other2$4,500+$4,500
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Other2$3,700+$3,700
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Other2$3,524+$3,524
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Other1$3,200+$3,200
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other1$2,750+$2,750
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Other1$2,566+$2,566
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Other1$2,521+$2,521
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Other1$2,400+$2,400
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Other1$2,222+$2,222
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$2,000+$2,000
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other1$1,950+$1,950
0x6e9f90a61$1,740+$1,740
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Other1$1,700+$1,700
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Other1$1,480+$1,480
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Other1$1,000+$1,000