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Licasamadaul
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf869…e2b4 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
-33%
historical realized
Win rate
35.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$61.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 17 resolved trades · -33% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
23
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$72.2K
avg $3,138 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$30.4K / $41.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 23 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 10:02 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $14.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 05:30 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.592 | $8,335 | — |
| Jul 12, 12:19 AM | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY YES | 0.510 | $2,927 | — |
| Jul 10, 09:02 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $4,039 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 05:51 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY YES | 0.605 | $2,450 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:08 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $4,002 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 07:00 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY YES | 0.490 | $1,963 | — |
| Jul 4, 07:10 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $3,727 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 06:41 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $2,835 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 06:40 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | SELL YES | 0.668 | $2,881 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 02:32 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $2,460 | — |
| Jul 2, 09:08 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $3,990 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 06:20 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY YES | 0.743 | $2,970 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:19 PM | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | SELL YES | 0.860 | $1,032 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 04:04 PM | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,981 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 06:57 PM | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $2,494 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 04:44 PM | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $1,475 | — |
| Jun 28, 08:54 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | SELL YES | 0.950 | $1,830 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 09:59 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL YES | 0.970 | $1,204 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 01:38 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.597 | $1,000 | — |
| May 24, 12:57 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.558 | $1,445 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 11:01 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.500 | $1,068 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 07:51 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.460 | $2,000 | — |
Markets active in
13 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 2 | $22.4K | $-5,730 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | Other | 4 | $11.9K | $-1,314 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | Tech | 2 | $6,961 | $-1,020 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | Tech | 2 | $6,488 | $-1,589 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | Tech | 2 | $5,964 | $-2,039 |
| 0x6114a8a3 | — | 3 | $4,512 | $-512 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Other | 2 | $3,968 | $-1,019 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Other | 1 | $2,927 | +$2,927 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01? | Other | 1 | $1,981 | +$1,981 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Other | 1 | $1,830 | $-1,830 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 1 | $1,204 | $-1,204 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | Other | 1 | $1,032 | $-1,032 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Tech | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |