| Jul 6, 07:12 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.063 | $2,369 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 07:09 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.168 | $3,360 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 07:01 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.169 | $1,406 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 06:52 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.061 | $1,810 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 06:51 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.170 | $2,076 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 06:42 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.060 | $1,474 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 06:40 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.173 | $1,958 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 01:21 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.194 | $8,743 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 01:48 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.850 | $15.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 01:47 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 09:49 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,055 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:22 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $1,209 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 04:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,217 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:24 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.360 | $1,325 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 02:52 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $1,450 | —— |
| Jun 1, 02:51 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.420 | $1,177 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 02:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $3,520 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 08:42 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $9,430 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:42 AM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.880 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 02:33 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,720 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:32 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.820 | $1,686 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 04:25 PM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,663 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:33 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.790 | $1,646 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:05 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,045 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 01:47 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.989 | $1,006 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 01:47 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.989 | $1,017 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 01:46 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.989 | $1,029 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:17 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $1,020 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:17 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $1,043 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:16 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $1,065 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:15 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $1,088 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:02 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,134 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:02 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,159 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:01 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,185 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:01 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,213 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:00 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,240 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:59 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,267 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:59 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,296 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:57 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $1,325 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:55 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,354 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:54 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.978 | $1,384 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:52 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $1,333 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:50 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $1,445 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:49 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.980 | $1,476 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 01:07 AM | 0x366f8964 | SELL YES | 0.280 | $1,050 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:21 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.270 | $1,970 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:49 AM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.590 | $2,519 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:17 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.598 | $1,017 | —— |
| May 24, 04:16 AM | 0x366f8964 | SELL YES | 0.402 | $1,033 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 12:52 PM | 0x1eeb9106 | SELL YES | 0.840 | $1,226 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 02:55 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.915 | $2,691 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 02:54 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.915 | $2,948 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 02:53 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.915 | $3,230 | — (SELL) |