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Treadmilled
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf4ba…5933 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
-8%
historical realized
Win rate
52.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$102.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · -8% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
14
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$102.4K
avg $7,311 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$102.4K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 14 · 90d windowMarkets active in
7 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Finance | 5 | $30.8K | +$30.8K |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $27.4K | +$27.4K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 2 | $24.2K | +$24.2K |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $10.0K | +$10.0K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 3 | $7,498 | +$7,498 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,314 | +$1,314 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Tech | 1 | $1,166 | +$1,166 |