DataRules

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf3b9…27d0 with our methodology badges per row.

0xf3b9f432bf4d7599d3fb3dc59845894786aa27d0·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+190%

historical realized

Win rate

51.5%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$34.6K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$58.5K

avg $2,786 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$27.7K / $30.8K

net direction

Recent trades

last 21 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 20, 03:11 PM	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	SELL NO	0.848	$3,043	— (SELL)
Jul 20, 01:23 AM	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	BUY NO	0.920	$3,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:29 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.857	$1,225	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 12:39 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 04:21 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.967	$2,080	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 04:40 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.930	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 02:49 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.910	$1,227	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:04 PM	0x6114a8a3	SELL NO	0.820	$2,480	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 03:14 PM	0x6114a8a3	BUY NO	0.810	$2,450	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 01:10 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 06:31 PM	0x366f8964	SELL NO	0.930	$3,984	— (SELL)
May 30, 11:46 PM	0x366f8964	BUY NO	0.880	$3,770	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 11:43 PM	0x366f8964	SELL NO	0.870	$3,779	— (SELL)
May 30, 11:41 PM	0x366f8964	BUY NO	0.880	$3,822	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 11:41 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.978	$3,156	— (SELL)
May 28, 11:49 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.930	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 02:50 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.740	$2,846	— (SELL)
May 25, 12:10 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.780	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 09:20 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.760	$3,341	— (SELL)
May 18, 12:31 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.910	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:51 PM	0x1db02ba5	SELL NO	0.791	$3,612	— (SELL)

Markets active in

6 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Other	6	$19.3K	+$657
0x366f8964	—	4	$15.4K	$-171
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Other	6	$8,931	$-131
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Other	2	$6,343	+$257
0x6114a8a3	—	2	$4,930	$-30
0x1db02ba5	—	1	$3,612	$-3,612