| Jun 13, 01:57 PM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $41.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 06:42 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $74.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:56 AM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $6,720 | —— |
| May 30, 10:34 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $2,764 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 07:07 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.952 | $14.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 09:38 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $9,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:40 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.084 | $1,437 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 11:32 PM | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.001 | $2,000 | —— |
| May 19, 10:42 PM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $7,919 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 03:34 PM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $8,891 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 10:56 AM | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY YES | 0.532 | $2,908 | —— |
| May 10, 10:56 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $12.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 10:50 AM | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.008 | $1,600 | —— |
| May 7, 10:23 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $5,890 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 01:42 AM | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $22.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 01:33 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $57.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 08:51 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $30.1K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 03:57 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 23, 04:50 AM | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $11.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 23, 04:50 AM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $14.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 22, 04:58 AM | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.402 | $2,082 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 22, 04:15 AM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $5,277 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 11:21 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $11.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 11:21 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $11.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 11:21 PM | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $1,804 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 10:40 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $15.5K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 10:40 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $15.5K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 20, 09:50 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $8,976 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 12:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.650 | $1,086 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 12:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $1,665 | —— |
| Apr 19, 02:52 AM | 0xe8f8bc52 | SELL NO | 0.813 | $2,548 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 04:19 AM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $8,490 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 12:48 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.824 | $3,297 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 12:47 AM | 0xe8f8bc52 | SELL NO | 0.820 | $3,473 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 11:37 PM | 0xe8f8bc52 | SELL NO | 0.830 | $1,692 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 11:36 PM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.830 | $4,631 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 09:51 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL YES | 0.350 | $1,934 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 09:37 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.470 | $6,083 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 05:48 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $5,870 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 05:48 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.990 | $29.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 04:01 PM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.850 | $1,713 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 17, 03:52 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $2,780 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 03:50 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $16.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 04:27 AM | 0x829f02bf | BUY NO | 0.971 | $5,659 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 04:23 AM | 0x5462ac83 | BUY YES | 0.963 | $2,093 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 04:11 PM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,183 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 04:10 PM | 0xe8f8bc52 | SELL NO | 0.730 | $2,583 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 16, 03:33 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.619 | $6,192 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 01:55 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.178 | $1,025 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 15, 06:27 PM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.211 | $1,339 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 12, 11:41 PM | Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $1,914 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 12, 11:13 PM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.540 | $1,120 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 11:11 PM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.450 | $4,012 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 11:09 PM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.430 | $8,338 | —— |
| Apr 12, 08:09 PM | 0x5462ac83 | BUY YES | 0.800 | $1,203 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 07:49 PM | 0x829f02bf | BUY NO | 0.270 | $1,685 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 12, 07:16 PM | 0x829f02bf | BUY NO | 0.390 | $1,153 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 12, 02:42 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.978 | $9,776 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 01:25 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.929 | $9,993 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 01:25 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.970 | $10.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 11:54 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $29.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 08:04 AM | 0x829f02bf | BUY NO | 0.749 | $2,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 05:40 AM | 0x40ba14f5 | SELL NO | 0.805 | $1,025 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 06:01 PM | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.008 | $4,000 | —— |
| Apr 7, 05:16 PM | 0x773abaa5 | SELL YES | 0.210 | $3,387 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 04:58 PM | 0xbd4c96a8 | BUY | 0.470 | $1,408 | —— |
| Apr 5, 10:53 AM | 0xddbfffed | BUY YES | 0.840 | $7,556 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 10:27 AM | 0xddbfffed | BUY YES | 0.840 | $5,518 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 09:29 AM | 0xddbfffed | BUY YES | 0.840 | $7,517 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 08:43 AM | 0xddbfffed | BUY YES | 0.839 | $8,511 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 05:34 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.965 | $17.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 11:45 AM | 0xddbfffed | BUY YES | 0.680 | $15.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 03:02 PM | 0x154e4753 | BUY NO | 0.740 | $1,341 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 11:20 AM | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,238 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 10:44 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $13.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 10:34 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $6,448 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 10:33 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $1,356 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 10:31 AM | 0x0e47ad37 | BUY NO | 0.723 | $2,014 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 08:56 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $51.5K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 08:55 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.965 | $28.9K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 06:04 PM | 0xe4c02a49 | BUY | 0.510 | $10.5K | —— |
| Mar 31, 06:03 PM | 0x8dcc5940 | BUY YES | 0.470 | $9,661 | —— |
| Mar 31, 06:03 PM | 0xe4be3dcb | BUY YES | 0.470 | $9,661 | —— |
| Mar 31, 06:03 PM | 0x1b60207d | BUY YES | 0.500 | $10.3K | —— |
| Mar 29, 09:57 AM | 0xc28589f4 | BUY YES | 0.720 | $1,931 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 10:23 PM | 0xee09e7ad | BUY | 0.520 | $10.4K | —— |
| Mar 27, 10:23 PM | 0x594d9b1f | BUY | 0.520 | $10.4K | —— |
| Mar 27, 05:39 AM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL NO | 0.112 | $2,935 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 07:06 PM | 0x10da3117 | BUY | 0.500 | $2,488 | —— |
| Mar 26, 07:05 PM | 0xf8fc0ee8 | BUY | 0.570 | $11.4K | —— |
| Mar 26, 07:03 PM | 0x4dae4c84 | BUY NO | 0.580 | $11.6K | —— |
| Mar 26, 06:59 PM | 0x16cd39d1 | BUY YES | 0.600 | $12.0K | —— |
| Mar 26, 06:58 PM | 0x7df91e9a | BUY YES | 0.410 | $4,869 | —— |
| Mar 26, 06:57 PM | 0x7cb525e8 | SELL NO | 0.993 | $69.5K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 04:48 PM | 0x2886d061 | BUY YES | 0.680 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 03:51 PM | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $10.0K | —— |
| Mar 25, 11:02 PM | 0x582c66d5 | BUY | 0.450 | $9,000 | —— |
| Mar 25, 10:56 PM | 0x350ef0d8 | BUY | 0.450 | $9,000 | —— |
| Mar 25, 10:55 PM | 0x98e653f7 | BUY | 0.380 | $4,077 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 25, 10:55 PM | 0x2a7be326 | BUY | 0.590 | $4,077 | —— |
| Mar 25, 10:55 PM | 0x2984f9b8 | BUY | 0.660 | $13.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 10:54 PM | 0x05c367d0 | BUY | 0.450 | $9,000 | —— |
| Mar 25, 10:53 PM | 0xfcfa2e97 | BUY | 0.610 | $7,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 10:53 PM | 0x8c6bcf1a | BUY | 0.480 | $2,733 | —— |
| Mar 25, 10:53 PM | 0xf746f355 | BUY | 0.500 | $9,991 | —— |
| Mar 25, 10:52 PM | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | SELL NO | 0.242 | $4,847 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 25, 12:09 AM | 0x3abdb3db | BUY | 0.450 | $9,000 | —— |
| Mar 24, 09:33 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL NO | 0.162 | $2,435 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 24, 08:37 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | BUY NO | 0.140 | $7,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 24, 04:22 PM | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $4,863 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 02:00 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | BUY NO | 0.130 | $1,040 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Mar 23, 01:38 PM | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.466 | $2,754 | —— |