ethanaz

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf28e…cab2 with our methodology badges per row.

0xf28e42d20e4826f2b10a24bc952001697947cab2·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+14%

historical realized

Win rate

93.2%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$859.7K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

100

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.07M

avg $10.7K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$1.07M / $0

net direction

Recent trades

last 100 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 08:31 PM	Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.760	$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:04 PM	Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.760	$40.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists	BUY NO	0.690	$2,062	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:28 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.975	$26.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:08 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.973	$1,773	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:26 PM	Lionel Messi: 2+ assists	BUY NO	0.920	$6,166	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:20 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.976	$34.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:20 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.975	$10.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:26 PM	Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.730	$1,168	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:27 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.830	$15.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.760	$5,268	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 08:37 PM	Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	BUY YES	0.290	$1,327	Conviction tier
Jul 16, 05:13 PM	Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.944	$9,043	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 03:46 PM	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.945	$1,742	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 03:41 PM	Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.985	$1,810	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:03 PM	Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.999	$6,565	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:02 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.988	$10.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:01 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.985	$1,272	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:44 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.985	$1,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:10 PM	Harry Kane: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.610	$12.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:33 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.981	$3,392	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:28 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.980	$4,556	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:27 PM	Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.992	$4,677	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:05 PM	Declan Rice: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.987	$48.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 05:12 PM	Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.981	$20.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:55 PM	Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.996	$7,483	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:51 PM	Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.986	$3,059	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:37 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.880	$23.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:33 PM	Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.995	$7,738	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:23 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.785	$1,395	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 01:29 AM	Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.560	$5,323	—
Jul 11, 10:45 PM	Erling Haaland: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.960	$4,739	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:21 PM	Harry Kane: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.650	$2,175	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:09 PM	Norway to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.790	$6,135	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:22 PM	Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.600	$42.9K	—
Jul 11, 08:28 PM	Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.540	$11.3K	—
Jul 11, 08:28 PM	Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.540	$5,400	—
Jul 11, 08:12 PM	Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals	BUY YES	0.150	$2,393	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 08:53 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.890	$7,307	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:38 PM	Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.800	$38.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:37 PM	Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.800	$33.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 07:17 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.415	$1,759	—
Jul 10, 06:11 PM	Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals	BUY YES	0.120	$3,076	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 07:59 PM	France leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.580	$19.5K	—
Jul 7, 09:14 PM	Switzerland vs. Colombia: Second half draw?	BUY YES	0.440	$1,077	—
Jul 6, 08:38 PM	Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.998	$24.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:52 AM	Harry Kane: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.999	$11.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:52 AM	Harry Kane: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.997	$14.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 08:08 PM	Erling Haaland: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.840	$1,716	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:53 PM	Paraguay leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.060	$2,890	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 07:32 PM	Australia vs. Egypt: Second half draw?	BUY NO	0.760	$1,173	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 04:07 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.897	$112.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:58 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.895	$1,219	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:27 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.410	$8,832	—
Jul 2, 01:28 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.740	$3,087	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 10:18 PM	Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.999	$4,142	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 10:03 PM	Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.999	$4,142	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:53 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.880	$49.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:53 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.869	$12.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:22 PM	England leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.880	$3,075	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:45 AM	Ecuador to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.830	$2,067	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:31 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY YES	0.290	$1,299	Conviction tier
Jul 1, 03:09 AM	Mexico to win the second half?	BUY YES	0.370	$2,336	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 06:56 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.081	$3,271	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 06:55 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.140	$1,815	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 06:48 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.850	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 07:01 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.990	$10.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:23 PM	Endrick: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.990	$3,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 03:58 AM	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.973	$3,827	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:46 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.900	$6,392	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 08:50 PM	Germany to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.520	$2,338	—
Jun 25, 06:10 PM	Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?	BUY NO	0.981	$34.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 05:29 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.616	$6,863	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:07 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.690	$3,584	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:37 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.910	$9,637	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:37 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.900	$2,957	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 09:57 PM	Harry Kane: 3+ goals	BUY NO	0.999	$8,418	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY NO	0.510	$18.7K	—
Jun 23, 08:29 PM	England leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.570	$2,125	—
Jun 22, 08:33 PM	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.021	$2,520	—
Jun 21, 10:19 PM	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	BUY YES	0.940	$2,915	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 08:45 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.800	$7,421	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 07:51 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.380	$7,600	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 10:27 PM	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?	BUY NO	0.991	$4,668	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 08:53 PM	0xcc0dc52a	BUY NO	0.881	$1,014	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 08:32 PM	0x6d509743	BUY NO	0.880	$2,640	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:43 PM	0x6d509743	BUY NO	0.868	$2,575	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:40 PM	0x6d509743	BUY NO	0.863	$1,935	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:02 PM	0x0a993650	BUY NO	0.849	$10.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:02 PM	0x6d509743	BUY NO	0.872	$17.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:18 PM	0xaafc43b5	BUY NO	0.986	$19.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:34 PM	0x849c47c4	BUY NO	0.999	$9,576	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:55 PM	0xe084973b	BUY YES	0.180	$3,766	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 15, 06:21 PM	0x298b9774	BUY NO	0.900	$10.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 04:55 PM	0x6d509743	BUY NO	0.982	$2,470	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 07:44 PM	0xb6a2f3e0	BUY NO	0.997	$4,786	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:32 PM	0xdb559c94	BUY NO	0.997	$39.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 05:46 PM	0xa9437227	BUY NO	0.988	$1,017	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 03:27 PM	0x09caa48f	BUY NO	0.984	$4,747	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 08:39 PM	0xec5a2edf	BUY NO	0.992	$9,920	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

76 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Other	1	$112.2K	+$112.2K
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	Other	4	$72.9K	+$72.9K
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Other	2	$72.1K	+$72.1K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Other	2	$62.5K	+$62.5K
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	Other	3	$59.6K	+$59.6K
Declan Rice: 2+ goals	Other	1	$48.6K	+$48.6K
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Other	1	$40.0K	+$40.0K
0xdb559c94	—	1	$39.3K	+$39.3K
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?	Sports	1	$34.0K	+$34.0K
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	Other	4	$30.7K	+$30.7K
0x6d509743	—	5	$27.0K	+$27.0K
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals	Other	1	$24.8K	+$24.8K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Tech	1	$23.1K	+$23.1K
France leading at halftime?	Other	1	$19.5K	+$19.5K
0xaafc43b5	—	1	$19.0K	+$19.0K
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Other	1	$18.7K	+$18.7K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	1	$15.2K	+$15.2K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Other	3	$15.1K	+$15.1K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Other	2	$15.0K	+$15.0K
Harry Kane: 3+ goals	Other	1	$14.1K	+$14.1K
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Other	2	$13.0K	+$13.0K
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Other	2	$12.6K	+$12.6K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Other	2	$12.2K	+$12.2K
Harry Kane: 1+ goals	Other	1	$12.1K	+$12.1K
Harry Kane: 2+ goals	Other	1	$11.2K	+$11.2K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Other	1	$10.9K	+$10.9K
0x298b9774	—	1	$10.8K	+$10.8K
0x0a993650	—	1	$10.2K	+$10.2K
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Other	2	$10.1K	+$10.1K
0xec5a2edf	—	1	$9,920	+$9,920

Showing top 30 by volume.