0xf0F86cdb6872730CA12c84FF8b014a539B8C325f-1779656368241

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf0f8…325f with our methodology badges per row.

0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+251%

historical realized

Win rate

79.1%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$127.7K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$169.3K

avg $3,602 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$139.0K / $30.3K

net direction

Recent trades

last 47 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 17, 11:02 AM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BUY NO	0.990	$10.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 11:01 AM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BUY NO	0.990	$19.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 03:22 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BUY NO	0.989	$39.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 12:49 AM	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	BUY NO	0.985	$1,516	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 06:56 PM	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 22?	BUY NO	0.959	$1,643	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 03:36 PM	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	BUY YES	0.980	$1,127	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 11:57 AM	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?	BUY NO	0.989	$1,689	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 10:15 AM	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 21?	BUY NO	0.987	$1,193	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:21 PM	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?	BUY YES	0.978	$1,065	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:24 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.834	$1,585	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:14 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.835	$1,171	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:13 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.835	$1,675	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:12 PM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	SELL YES	0.999	$3,666	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:45 AM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	BUY YES	0.640	$1,016	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:43 AM	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	BUY YES	0.820	$2,460	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:39 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.950	$3,511	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 01:13 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,318	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 09:13 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.940	$2,142	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 09:32 PM	0x6114a8a3	BUY NO	0.850	$5,695	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:52 PM	0x6114a8a3	BUY NO	0.840	$4,376	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:52 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.940	$4,284	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 04:25 PM	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	BUY YES	0.907	$2,397	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 04:23 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.940	$2,856	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 02:27 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.940	$1,128	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 12:25 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.920	$2,277	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:57 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	BUY NO	0.659	$1,824	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:56 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.950	$2,958	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 11:09 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.930	$2,976	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 02:57 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.920	$1,840	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 08:43 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.870	$15.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 03:25 PM	0x76ea1834	BUY YES	0.970	$1,783	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:14 AM	0xf67a2b13	BUY NO	0.980	$1,088	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:55 PM	0xb13fcbbd	BUY NO	0.990	$1,003	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 07:10 PM	0xa59a4ca0	BUY NO	0.990	$1,105	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 05:13 PM	0xd3f5802d	BUY NO	0.968	$1,195	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 05:02 PM	0x0c04bf08	BUY NO	0.976	$1,098	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:07 PM	0x2e1b61c1	BUY NO	0.979	$2,159	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:10 AM	0xbb121ff5	SELL NO	0.999	$2,290	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 11:14 PM	0xbb121ff5	BUY NO	0.941	$1,364	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:52 PM	0xa63bff1d	BUY YES	0.974	$2,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:16 PM	0xf2fe91e8	BUY NO	0.980	$1,008	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:30 AM	0x3e26f7ea	BUY NO	0.968	$1,337	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:34 PM	0x961ce7a6	BUY NO	0.968	$1,087	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 12:27 PM	0xb2eff68d	SELL NO	0.999	$1,269	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 08:11 AM	0xa576a91b	BUY NO	0.979	$1,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 07:49 PM	0xbeab8314	SELL NO	0.992	$1,416	— (SELL)
May 28, 07:55 PM	0xbeab8314	BUY NO	0.794	$1,588	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

28 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Tech	3	$70.2K	+$70.2K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Other	14	$45.1K	+$1,690
0x6114a8a3	—	2	$10.1K	+$10.1K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Tech	2	$6,126	$-1,206
0xbb121ff5	—	2	$3,654	$-926
0xbeab8314	—	2	$3,004	+$172
0xa63bff1d	—	1	$2,600	+$2,600
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	Other	1	$2,397	+$2,397
0x2e1b61c1	—	1	$2,159	+$2,159
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Other	1	$1,824	+$1,824
0x76ea1834	—	1	$1,783	+$1,783
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?	Other	1	$1,689	+$1,689
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 22?	Other	1	$1,643	+$1,643
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	Other	1	$1,516	+$1,516
0x3e26f7ea	—	1	$1,337	+$1,337
0xb2eff68d	—	1	$1,269	$-1,269
0xd3f5802d	—	1	$1,195	+$1,195
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 21?	Other	1	$1,193	+$1,193
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	Other	1	$1,127	+$1,127
0xa59a4ca0	—	1	$1,105	+$1,105
0x0c04bf08	—	1	$1,098	+$1,098
0xf67a2b13	—	1	$1,088	+$1,088
0x961ce7a6	—	1	$1,087	+$1,087
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?	Other	1	$1,065	+$1,065
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Tech	1	$1,016	+$1,016
0xf2fe91e8	—	1	$1,008	+$1,008
0xb13fcbbd	—	1	$1,003	+$1,003
0xa576a91b	—	1	$1,001	+$1,001