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Randomfool

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf036…b8f1 with our methodology badges per row.

0xf036f9631ae2fc83821b3a8581892109d506b8f1·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
-3%
historical realized
Win rate
87.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$119.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · -3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
18
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$160.5K
avg $8,916 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$126.7K / $33.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 18 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 16, 08:30 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.962$1,565Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 12:34 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.950$9,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:56 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.940$9,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:31 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.880$15.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.834$19.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 06:40 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.790$7,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 09:30 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.750$1,477— (SELL)
Jul 2, 01:57 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.890$8,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 07:48 AMWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY YES0.980$16.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 09:53 AMWill "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?BUY NO0.989$1,889Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 10:46 AMWill Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?BUY YES0.900$3,529Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 09:29 AMWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?BUY YES0.981$1,216Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 11:30 PMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL YES0.989$13.6K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 06:51 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.991$20.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 06:50 PM0xc18b1b9cSELL YES0.997$18.8K— (SELL)
May 26, 07:47 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.974$4,617Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:36 AM0x0646da8bBUY YES0.963$4,167Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 08:39 AM0x12578226BUY YES0.967$2,223Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume