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topdaddy1

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf020…3212 with our methodology badges per row.

0xf02008dd334fe83c8dad61dd9a54776d7fb03212·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
+73%
historical realized
Win rate
73.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$167.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
50
Distinct markets
17
Volume (90d)
$568.1K
avg $11.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$514.3K / $53.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 50 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 08:45 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.510$2,200—
Jul 19, 07:32 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.350$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:32 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.350$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:30 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?SELL YES0.424$28.2K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:23 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.454$20.0K—
Jul 19, 07:21 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.448$10.0K—
Jul 19, 07:20 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.316$9,493Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:42 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.140$6,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:42 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.135$7,950Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 08:31 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.819$18.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:44 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.980$19.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:40 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.980$1,057Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:39 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.970$9,797Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:28 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.838$5,034Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:22 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?SELL NO0.996$15.9K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:22 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?SELL NO0.997$9,699— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:20 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.810$1,722Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:19 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.800$1,298Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:19 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.800$1,014Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:19 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.761$1,405Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:12 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.700$4,332Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:11 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.709$1,911Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:10 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.705$2,254Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:10 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.680$1,729Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:06 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY YES0.920$1,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:05 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?BUY NO0.841$30.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:03 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY YES0.905$19.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:20 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY NO0.174$8,459Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 09:19 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?BUY NO0.957$4,448Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:12 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY NO0.330$9,647Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 09:11 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.572$2,417—
Jun 11, 09:10 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.551$8,498—
Jun 11, 09:09 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?BUY NO0.908$9,534Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:08 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY YES0.944$30.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:05 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?BUY NO0.974$2,872Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:58 PMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY NO0.520$14.6K—
Jun 11, 08:53 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?BUY NO0.855$18.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:52 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?BUY NO0.716$8,631Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:46 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?BUY NO0.953$50.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:33 AMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY YES0.930$2,531Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:20 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.308$11.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 06:20 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.296$12.6KConviction tier
Jun 5, 03:12 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY NO0.202$2,811Conviction tier
Jun 5, 03:06 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?BUY NO0.716$1,245Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 03:06 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?BUY NO0.803$7,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 03:05 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?BUY NO0.868$32.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 03:05 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?BUY NO0.940$1,128Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 03:05 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?BUY NO0.925$58.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 12:53 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.404$2,502—
Jun 5, 12:53 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.396$20.8KKilled band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

17 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Tech5$135.8K+$84.6K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Tech14$62.1K+$62.1K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Tech3$58.2K+$1,804
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Tech3$56.8K+$56.8K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Other4$46.9K+$46.9K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Tech2$42.3K+$42.3K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech4$32.2K+$32.2K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech1$30.4K+$30.4K
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Tech4$26.7K+$26.7K
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$18.1K+$18.1K
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech1$14.6K+$14.6K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Other2$14.6K+$14.6K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Tech2$9,876+$9,876
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech1$9,647+$9,647
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?Tech1$4,448+$4,448
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?Tech1$2,872+$2,872
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Finance1$2,531+$2,531