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macrosteaks

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xefac…c9a1 with our methodology badges per row.

0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
102
lifetime
PnL per $
+10%
historical realized
Win rate
51.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$330.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
196
Distinct markets
96
Volume (90d)
$560.4K
avg $2,859 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$339.8K / $220.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 196 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 07:23 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.383$8,580Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:14 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.427$5,092
Jul 19, 07:14 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.405$8,792
Jul 19, 07:14 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.409$1,221
Jul 19, 06:58 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.929$3,261— (SELL)
Jul 19, 05:33 PMWill Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY NO0.980$2,274Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:18 PMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY NO0.450$1,062
Jul 19, 02:39 PMWill Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY NO0.770$2,287Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:33 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.940$1,564Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:33 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.940$4,971Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:30 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.950$2,046Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:28 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.860$1,302— (SELL)
Jul 18, 05:07 PMWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY NO0.459$1,227
Jul 18, 02:32 PMWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL NO0.780$1,099— (SELL)
Jul 18, 06:12 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.920$10.9K— (SELL)
Jul 17, 06:06 PMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY YES0.520$6,037
Jul 17, 03:19 PMWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY NO0.895$2,291Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 01:12 PMWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY NO0.704$1,642Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 08:47 PMWill Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY NO0.800$2,001Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 03:37 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.357$1,421Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:57 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.300$4,502Conviction tier
Jul 15, 08:48 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.340$1,248Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:46 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.630$1,079Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:21 PMWill William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY NO0.615$2,016Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.570$1,124— (SELL)
Jul 15, 05:26 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.511$6,790— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:51 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.997$2,930— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:49 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.993$8,458— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:37 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.970$26.7K— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:20 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.950$33.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:20 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.955$4,383Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:46 AMWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.952$4,056— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:22 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.269$1,538Conviction tier
Jul 8, 08:29 AMWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.978$1,040— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:50 PMWill Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?SELL NO0.992$2,463— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:50 PMWill Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?SELL NO0.982$1,010— (SELL)
Jul 6, 09:24 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.345$1,026— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:53 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.845$1,154Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:36 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.907$2,822Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 12:16 AMWill Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY NO0.590$1,405
Jul 5, 09:55 PMWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.137$1,418Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:36 AMWill Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY NO0.750$1,538Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:23 PMWill Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY NO0.976$2,068Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:08 AMWill Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.860$1,161Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:17 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.139$1,522Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 11:44 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.131$1,561Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 08:30 PMWill Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.996$1,242— (SELL)
Jul 2, 07:02 PMWill Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.962$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 05:34 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.965$15.3K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 04:13 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.922$2,209Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:13 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.922$4,707Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:13 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.922$6,191Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:13 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.921$1,047Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:36 PMWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?SELL YES0.573$1,706— (SELL)
Jul 1, 02:38 AMWill Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?BUY YES0.920$1,513Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:26 AMWill Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?SELL NO0.999$1,274— (SELL)
Jun 29, 11:27 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.992$4,853— (SELL)
Jun 29, 11:26 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.981$4,037Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 10:46 PMWill Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.910$1,146Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 11:11 AMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.110$1,067— (SELL)
Jun 27, 05:47 AMWill Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.370$1,940Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 04:36 PMWill Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.900$1,305Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:42 PMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.170$1,026Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 06:41 PMWill Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.965$2,829Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:07 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.630$4,276Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 06:28 AMWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?BUY NO0.904$2,307Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 05:51 AMWill Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY NO0.853$1,314Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:29 AMWill Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.951$1,618Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 09:55 PMWill Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY NO0.840$1,008Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 08:22 PMWill Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?BUY NO0.677$1,072Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 08:06 PMWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.840$1,412— (SELL)
Jun 23, 04:52 AMWill Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?SELL YES0.983$1,265— (SELL)
Jun 23, 12:56 AMWill Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?SELL YES0.710$2,208— (SELL)
Jun 22, 07:33 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.870$2,392— (SELL)
Jun 22, 07:33 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.870$2,526— (SELL)
Jun 22, 07:33 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.870$2,524— (SELL)
Jun 22, 07:31 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.869$4,127— (SELL)
Jun 22, 06:56 PMWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?SELL YES0.988$1,828— (SELL)
Jun 22, 05:56 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.325$1,079— (SELL)
Jun 22, 09:13 AMWill Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.750$1,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 03:41 AMWill Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.966$2,060— (SELL)
Jun 21, 09:15 PMWill Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY NO0.879$1,723Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 02:24 PMWill Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.952$1,466Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 02:24 PMWill Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.952$1,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 02:24 PMWill Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.952$1,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:30 PMWill Uruguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.930$1,084— (SELL)
Jun 20, 10:08 PMWill Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.964$3,708Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:44 PMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY NO0.860$6,450Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:15 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.943$6,640Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:17 AM0xda66c20cSELL NO0.999$9,547— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:09 AMWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.390$2,790Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 07:38 PMWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.350$1,435Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 11:19 PMWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.920$6,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:33 PM0x2cd24d17SELL NO0.974$1,924— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:02 PM0x2cd24d17SELL NO0.978$1,038— (SELL)
Jun 11, 04:21 PM0x2cd24d17SELL NO0.979$10.2K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 04:14 PM0x2cd24d17SELL NO0.975$1,723— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:39 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.840$1,450— (SELL)
Jun 11, 12:47 AM0xc4c3dbccSELL YES0.958$1,789— (SELL)
Jun 10, 05:43 PM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.960$5,078Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:39 PM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.961$2,457Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:39 PM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.961$4,804Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:35 PMWill Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.430$1,152
Jun 10, 09:14 AM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.940$6,252Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:12 AM0x2cd24d17BUY NO0.936$5,482Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 11:27 PMWill Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.850$1,187Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 10:47 PMWill Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.540$1,080
Jun 9, 10:43 PM0x2cd24d17BUY NO0.909$3,182Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 10:39 PM0x2cd24d17BUY NO0.908$1,084Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 10:24 PMWill Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.850$1,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 10:24 PMWill Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.850$3,431Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 10:16 PMWill Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.540$1,080
Jun 9, 10:07 PMWill Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.540$1,080
Jun 9, 06:38 PMWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?SELL YES0.800$2,254— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:51 PM0x2cd24d17BUY NO0.915$1,189Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:40 PM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.920$1,473Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:29 PM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.920$1,822Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 03:04 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.350$1,932— (SELL)
Jun 8, 11:51 AM0x2cd24d17BUY NO0.773$1,768Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 06:17 AM0x2cd24d17SELL YES0.366$1,557— (SELL)
Jun 8, 02:50 AM0xc4c3dbccSELL YES0.400$1,350— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:12 PMWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.640$3,396Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 03:58 AM0x9af5f845SELL NO0.941$1,224— (SELL)
Jun 7, 12:04 AM0x9af5f845BUY NO0.930$2,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 01:38 AM0x9af5f845SELL NO0.910$2,260— (SELL)
Jun 6, 12:05 AM0x9af5f845BUY NO0.750$2,416Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:40 PMWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?BUY NO0.960$1,156Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 07:24 PM0xc587bda9SELL NO0.710$1,420— (SELL)
Jun 3, 06:40 PM0xc587bda9BUY NO0.650$3,107Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 01:25 PM0x04b07eb7BUY NO0.600$1,793
Jun 1, 11:28 PM0x332e3332SELL NO0.999$3,113— (SELL)
Jun 1, 09:48 AM0xb611b3a7SELL YES0.991$2,419— (SELL)
Jun 1, 04:25 AM0xb611b3a7SELL YES0.988$2,495— (SELL)
Jun 1, 01:42 AM0xb611b3a7SELL YES0.998$1,937— (SELL)
May 31, 11:06 PM0xc00920dbSELL NO0.998$1,014— (SELL)
May 31, 10:25 PM0xb611b3a7SELL YES0.999$1,556— (SELL)
May 31, 10:08 PM0xb611b3a7SELL YES0.990$2,714— (SELL)
May 31, 04:43 PM0x6be25342BUY YES0.940$1,150Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 01:12 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.370$1,667— (SELL)
May 31, 12:17 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.449$1,800
May 30, 05:28 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL NO0.421$1,366— (SELL)
May 30, 04:12 PM0x6e9f90a6SELL NO0.630$1,165— (SELL)
May 30, 04:07 PM0x6e9f90a6BUY NO0.500$3,057
May 29, 11:22 PMWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?BUY YES0.912$1,204Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:26 PM0xafaf81f1BUY NO0.960$1,058Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 01:45 PM0x23e817f3BUY NO0.950$3,962Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 01:21 PM0xd7061848BUY NO0.950$7,125Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 01:08 PM0x23e817f3SELL NO0.850$1,118— (SELL)
May 28, 01:00 PM0x23e817f3BUY NO0.560$1,119
May 28, 11:42 AM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.942$1,601Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 10:50 AM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.945$1,117Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 10:48 AM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.929$3,329Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:59 AM0xb7e951d2BUY NO0.839$1,170Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 10:48 PM0xc587bda9SELL NO0.830$1,683— (SELL)
May 27, 01:28 PM0x3e885be6SELL NO0.955$2,628— (SELL)
May 27, 12:28 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.300$2,939— (SELL)
May 26, 02:24 PM0xc9ea05faBUY YES0.980$1,085Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:24 PM0xc9ea05faBUY YES0.980$1,315Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:55 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY YES0.220$1,100Conviction tier
May 24, 08:38 AM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.900$4,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:47 AM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.898$1,829Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 05:30 PM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.900$1,033Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:34 PM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.902$1,804Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:18 PM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.900$1,602Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 02:51 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.150$1,856Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 12:45 AM0x90e8e027SELL YES0.967$1,275— (SELL)
May 22, 11:32 AM0x11d4960aSELL YES0.930$1,119— (SELL)
May 22, 11:32 AM0x11d4960aSELL YES0.930$2,089— (SELL)
May 22, 06:21 AM0x90e8e027BUY YES0.900$1,035Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:18 AM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.890$1,219Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 07:26 PM0x88b8af5fBUY NO0.907$1,126Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:58 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY YES0.260$1,300Conviction tier
May 20, 07:01 PM0xe7963b4fBUY NO0.805$1,190Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:58 PM0xe7963b4fBUY NO0.806$2,728Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:57 PM0xe7963b4fBUY NO0.780$2,037Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:23 AM0x99a0fdc1SELL YES0.940$6,419— (SELL)
May 20, 01:14 AM0xb09cf455BUY NO0.840$5,865Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:13 AM0x11d4960aBUY YES0.890$2,903Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 12:07 AM0x11d4960aBUY YES0.850$1,198Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 09:26 PM0xe3033b16SELL NO0.630$4,529— (SELL)
May 19, 05:31 PM0x652002aaSELL YES0.613$1,889— (SELL)
May 19, 04:34 PM0x99a0fdc1SELL YES0.910$1,820— (SELL)
May 19, 03:18 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL YES0.360$1,371— (SELL)
May 18, 09:13 PM0xa6fcf1b8BUY NO0.930$1,016Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 09:04 PM0xd7fb3301SELL YES0.990$1,105— (SELL)
May 17, 05:30 PM0x384fd558BUY YES0.820$2,811Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:45 PM0xc6ddb19fSELL NO0.544$1,004— (SELL)
May 16, 12:16 PM0xff081c52BUY NO0.920$2,386Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 12:15 PM0xff081c52BUY NO0.920$1,934Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 12:13 PM0xff081c52BUY NO0.930$2,042Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:48 AMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?SELL NO0.945$6,464— (SELL)
May 15, 08:09 AM0xff081c52BUY NO0.962$1,551Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 06:30 AMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?SELL NO0.920$2,040— (SELL)
May 14, 09:00 AM0xe3033b16BUY NO0.319$1,119Killed band — neutral expectation
May 13, 11:31 PM0xb6cce28bSELL NO0.992$1,893— (SELL)
May 11, 06:31 PM0x084b3d2dBUY NO0.560$1,859

Markets active in

96 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$76.1K$-137
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other6$32.3K+$1,687
0x2cd24d1710$29.2K$-3,775
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other10$28.6K+$4,272
0xc4c3dbcc8$25.0K+$18.7K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other8$24.5K+$1,316
0x88b8af5f10$19.2K+$19.2K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech3$15.0K+$15.0K
0xb611b3a75$11.1K$-11,121
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$11.0K+$6,155
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.9K$-10,897
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.1K+$10.1K
0xda66c20c1$9,547$-9,547
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$8,890$-816
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$8,597+$4,478
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Other2$8,503$-8,503
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$8,318+$8,318
0x99a0fdc12$8,239$-8,239
0x9af5f8454$8,143+$1,175
0xff081c524$7,914+$7,914
0x11d4960a4$7,309+$894
0xd70618481$7,125+$7,125
Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$6,765+$6,765
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?Other1$6,450+$6,450
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$6,319+$6,319
0xc587bda93$6,210+$4
0x23e817f33$6,200+$3,964
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Other1$6,037+$6,037
0xe7963b4f3$5,955+$5,955
0xb09cf4551$5,865+$5,865

Showing top 30 by volume.