monimaker

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xedf4…e4d2 with our methodology badges per row.

0xedf4b08473934b688135c08c114607a902f4e4d2·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-17%

historical realized

Win rate

75.2%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$265.3K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 38 resolved trades · -17% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$310.3K

avg $5,259 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$237.0K / $73.3K

net direction

Recent trades

last 59 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 20, 02:34 PM	Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-21?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,455	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:44 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.998	$13.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:01 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.910	$11.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:00 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.990	$12.0K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 02:13 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.920	$11.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:05 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.971	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 11:59 PM	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-17?	BUY YES	0.980	$1,839	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 09:12 AM	Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-17?	BUY NO	0.950	$3,638	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:32 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.900	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:31 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.842	$4,351	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:05 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.848	$4,382	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:47 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.555	$2,043	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:34 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.815	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:51 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.910	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 07:46 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,053	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 10:54 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.860	$10.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:36 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.960	$6,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:43 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.940	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:37 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.922	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:16 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.970	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 05:40 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.940	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:20 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	SELL NO	0.790	$8,406	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:28 PM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	SELL NO	0.720	$6,567	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:09 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.910	$8,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:55 AM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.930	$8,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:46 AM	Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.950	$8,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:19 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.850	$7,701	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 12:21 AM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.930	$7,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 12:03 AM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.820	$7,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 08:13 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.926	$7,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:51 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	SELL YES	0.828	$3,873	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 06:30 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.827	$7,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 09:03 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.810	$8,063	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 09:01 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.999	$8,115	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 08:21 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.942	$7,655	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 09:26 AM	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.910	$12.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 06:42 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	BUY NO	0.950	$11.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:16 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.940	$8,699	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:13 PM	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.661	$1,609	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 08:15 PM	0xadbbbc1a	BUY NO	0.940	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:16 PM	0x417e61af	BUY NO	0.930	$1,960	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 12:12 AM	0x82da716e	SELL NO	0.990	$2,243	— (SELL)
May 23, 08:48 PM	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,410	— (SELL)
May 23, 06:51 PM	0x79985965	SELL NO	0.860	$1,169	— (SELL)
May 23, 05:45 PM	0x79985965	BUY NO	0.870	$1,183	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 08:20 PM	0xf9ca7850	SELL YES	0.999	$1,185	— (SELL)
May 18, 09:41 PM	0x95819f16	SELL YES	0.999	$2,033	— (SELL)
May 18, 05:17 PM	0x95819f16	BUY YES	0.890	$1,811	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 07:22 PM	0x09086e7f	BUY NO	0.890	$1,617	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 07:21 PM	0x25018950	SELL NO	0.999	$1,623	— (SELL)
May 17, 02:34 PM	0x25018950	BUY NO	0.870	$1,413	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:34 PM	0x1fce8710	SELL NO	0.880	$1,424	— (SELL)
May 17, 02:20 PM	0x1fce8710	BUY NO	0.890	$1,099	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 01:32 PM	0x9ac77369	SELL NO	0.999	$1,103	— (SELL)
May 17, 12:28 PM	0x9ac77369	BUY NO	0.940	$1,037	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 01:07 AM	0x995d40ce	SELL NO	0.820	$1,392	— (SELL)
May 17, 12:02 AM	0x995d40ce	BUY NO	0.780	$1,324	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 12:01 AM	0x826e0c65	SELL NO	0.999	$1,334	— (SELL)
May 16, 05:30 PM	0x826e0c65	BUY NO	0.940	$1,255	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

42 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	2	$25.0K	$-1,148
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	2	$23.1K	$-847
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Other	3	$19.3K	+$11.5K
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Other	2	$18.4K	+$1,594
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Other	2	$15.8K	$-459
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Other	2	$14.9K	+$1,733
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Other	3	$12.7K	+$4,030
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Other	1	$12.1K	+$12.1K
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Other	1	$11.5K	+$11.5K
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Other	1	$10.5K	+$10.5K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	1	$10.0K	+$10.0K
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Other	1	$10.0K	+$10.0K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Other	1	$10.0K	+$10.0K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Other	1	$8,699	+$8,699
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	Other	1	$8,600	+$8,600
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Other	1	$8,300	+$8,300
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Other	1	$8,063	+$8,063
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Other	1	$7,701	+$7,701
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	Other	1	$7,700	+$7,700
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Other	1	$7,700	+$7,700
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Other	1	$6,000	+$6,000
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Other	2	$5,043	+$957
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Other	1	$5,000	+$5,000
0x95819f16	—	2	$3,844	$-222
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-17?	Other	1	$3,638	+$3,638
0x25018950	—	2	$3,036	$-210
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Tech	1	$3,000	+$3,000
0xadbbbc1a	—	1	$3,000	+$3,000
0x995d40ce	—	2	$2,716	$-68
0x826e0c65	—	2	$2,590	$-79

Showing top 30 by volume.