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0xEC445C8BEE160281558EbB9B083AC0025006C92b-1769822891061

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xec44…c92b with our methodology badges per row.

0xec445c8bee160281558ebb9b083ac0025006c92b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
75
lifetime
PnL per $
-27%
historical realized
Win rate
22.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$791.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 75 resolved trades · -27% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
79
Distinct markets
42
Volume (90d)
$823.5K
avg $10.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$560.2K / $263.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 79 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 08:17 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.393$27.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:17 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.393$98.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 03:07 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.427$39.3K
Jul 18, 12:45 AMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.490$3,920
Jul 14, 12:53 AMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$1,200Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 08:16 AMExact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?BUY YES0.070$2,151Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 02:56 AMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.263$13.1KCheap band — no rep
Jul 10, 07:52 PMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.999$59.9K— (SELL)
Jul 10, 07:51 AMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.540$32.4K
Jul 9, 09:44 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.064$1,397Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 09:44 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.021$3,268
Jul 9, 05:00 PMExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?BUY YES0.012$3,000
Jul 9, 10:23 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.029$1,552
Jul 9, 10:07 AMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.390$23.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 09:35 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.030$10.0K
Jul 9, 05:29 AMExact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.130$3,900Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 05:28 AMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.120$9,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 05:28 AMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.110$1,071Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 05:26 AMExact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.130$5,200Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 05:26 AMExact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.120$1,099Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 06:37 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.151$4,530Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 06:34 PMExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Colombia?BUY YES0.025$3,000
Jul 7, 05:51 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?SELL YES0.052$3,556— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:05 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL NO0.600$4,032— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:04 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL NO0.600$14.3K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:03 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?SELL YES0.280$10.3K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:18 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY NO0.270$4,050Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 01:30 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.080$6,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 12:18 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.080$2,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 10:02 AMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?BUY YES0.110$3,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 09:40 AMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?BUY YES0.022$2,199
Jul 7, 09:39 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?BUY YES0.108$3,239Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 09:37 AMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?BUY YES0.070$4,900Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 09:22 AMExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?BUY YES0.060$5,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:44 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.145$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 06:23 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY NO0.280$10.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 12:47 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.341$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 12:45 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.350$15.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 12:15 AMExact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?BUY YES0.104$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 12:14 AMExact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?BUY YES0.110$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 08:44 PMExact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?SELL YES0.561$11.2K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:32 PMPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.840$21.0K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 07:56 PMExact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?BUY YES0.180$3,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 10:44 AMWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.140$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 10:43 AMWorld Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?BUY YES0.070$1,470Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 09:14 AMWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.133$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 09:03 AMPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.420$10.5K
Jul 6, 05:36 AMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.500$5,000
Jul 6, 03:04 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.010$1,000
Jul 6, 03:02 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?SELL NO0.070$2,999— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:57 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.255$10.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 02:46 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.640$15.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:36 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?SELL YES0.550$10.3K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 12:11 AMExact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?BUY YES0.092$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 12:05 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.380$19.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 11:59 PMExact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?BUY YES0.090$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:22 AMExact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?BUY YES0.070$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:19 AMExact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?BUY YES0.019$1,000
Jul 5, 10:19 AMExact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?BUY YES0.040$2,000
Jul 5, 09:34 AMWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$10.3KCheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 09:34 AMWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$6,840Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 09:32 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?SELL NO0.450$17.4K— (SELL)
Jul 5, 09:24 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.460$17.8K
Jul 4, 08:30 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY NO0.180$8,892Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 08:29 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY NO0.180$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 02:14 PMExact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?BUY YES0.050$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 02:09 PMWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.170$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 03:07 AMWill Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY YES0.131$16.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 03:06 AMWill Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY YES0.130$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 01:46 AMWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.041$2,000
Jul 4, 12:57 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?SELL NO0.999$90.4K— (SELL)
Jul 4, 12:51 AMWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.110$15.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 11:54 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?SELL NO0.343$1,554— (SELL)
Jul 3, 11:54 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?SELL NO0.682$16.4K— (SELL)
Jul 3, 10:00 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.140$3,689Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:57 AMExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?BUY YES0.160$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:55 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.140$4,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:55 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.140$3,972Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:48 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.140$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

42 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Tech3$164.9K+$164.9K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Other7$124.7K$-91,826
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreTech2$92.3K$-27,540
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Other6$59.9K+$33.4K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other2$35.2K+$387
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Other4$32.4K$-4,283
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreTech2$31.5K$-10,500
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Other3$28.1K+$28.1K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Other4$22.2K$-5,446
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Other2$21.5K+$21.5K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Other2$20.0K+$20.0K
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Other2$18.9K+$18.9K
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Other2$17.1K+$17.1K
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Other2$17.0K+$17.0K
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?Tech2$14.8K$-7,623
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$14.7K+$14.7K
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Other1$13.1K+$13.1K
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$11.6K+$11.6K
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?Other2$10.7K+$10.7K
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?Other3$10.2K+$10.2K
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?Other1$5,400+$5,400
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other2$5,400+$5,400
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech1$5,000+$5,000
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?Other1$4,900+$4,900
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?Other1$4,000+$4,000
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other1$3,920+$3,920
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?Other1$3,300+$3,300
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?Other1$3,239+$3,239
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Colombia?Other1$3,000+$3,000

Showing top 30 by volume.