| Jul 20, 05:53 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.077 | $1,219 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 05:34 PM | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY NO | 0.682 | $1,277 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 05:19 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.067 | $1,171 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 05:05 PM | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY YES | 0.342 | $1,058 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 04:58 PM | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL YES | 0.460 | $3,460 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 03:49 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $1,263 | —— |
| Jul 20, 03:37 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.065 | $1,269 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 03:32 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.059 | $1,077 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 02:40 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.068 | $1,985 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 12:41 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $4,684 | —— |
| Jul 20, 12:24 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.066 | $4,323 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 08:21 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.063 | $1,337 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 10:25 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.360 | $4,824 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 12:22 PM | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.918 | $2,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 05:18 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.952 | $8,152 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 05:13 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.954 | $10.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 05:12 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $9,733 | —— |
| Jul 16, 06:04 PM | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL NO | 0.655 | $3,385 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 05:25 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.956 | $46.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 02:40 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.960 | $11.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 01:41 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $4,663 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 16, 01:39 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $3,109 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 16, 12:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.962 | $3,346 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 12:37 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.961 | $47.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 11:15 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.218 | $1,766 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 12:53 PM | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY NO | 0.606 | $3,092 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 12:43 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $2,350 | —— |
| Jul 15, 12:36 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.480 | $3,600 | —— |
| Jul 15, 12:31 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $9,428 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 05:50 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $36.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 03:49 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $35.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 02:06 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.480 | $1,146 | —— |
| Jul 14, 01:53 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.531 | $3,268 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:42 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $9,141 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:42 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $5,485 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:40 PM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.200 | $1,234 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 12:40 PM | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $1,648 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 12:32 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $7,774 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:30 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.574 | $13.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:05 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.650 | $5,846 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 11:39 AM | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY YES | 0.310 | $2,881 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 11:27 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $5,303 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 11:27 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $7,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 11:17 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $7,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 11:16 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $7,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 02:50 AM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.710 | $1,476 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 01:59 AM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.710 | $1,030 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 05:11 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.750 | $3,532 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 04:41 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.664 | $21.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.610 | $14.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 04:35 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.447 | $4,134 | —— |
| Jul 13, 04:33 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $2,386 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:32 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.600 | $7,224 | —— |
| Jul 13, 12:13 AM | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $1,126 | —— |
| Jul 12, 10:47 PM | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL NO | 0.786 | $7,955 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 10:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.790 | $20.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 02:39 PM | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY NO | 0.784 | $7,938 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 02:49 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.784 | $6,250 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 07:17 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.233 | $1,180 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 10, 04:46 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.480 | $3,714 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 04:16 PM | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY YES | 0.159 | $1,606 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 10, 04:05 PM | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL YES | 0.850 | $2,317 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 04:04 PM | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL NO | 0.852 | $6,924 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 09:56 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.855 | $12.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 02:35 PM | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $4,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 02:08 PM | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY NO | 0.818 | $9,153 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 01:19 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $5,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 09:59 AM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.430 | $1,477 | —— |
| Jul 9, 09:57 AM | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL YES | 0.480 | $5,101 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 9, 09:49 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $2,535 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 11:51 PM | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL YES | 0.502 | $4,783 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 04:44 PM | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL YES | 0.530 | $1,643 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 03:33 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.220 | $1,164 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 8, 03:10 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.770 | $4,443 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 02:06 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.780 | $3,431 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 01:25 PM | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY YES | 0.427 | $12.2K | —— |
| Jul 8, 12:53 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $1,577 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 02:19 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $2,035 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 12:35 AM | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,878 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 12:33 AM | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $2,084 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 12:18 AM | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $2,135 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:46 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 05:21 PM | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY NO | 0.120 | $2,880 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 05:02 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.230 | $1,076 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 6, 11:18 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.890 | $26.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 01:14 PM | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $1,442 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 01:28 PM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.222 | $2,273 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 2, 01:28 PM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.223 | $2,398 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 2, 01:28 PM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.779 | $1,233 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 12:38 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.300 | $1,506 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 12:37 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.639 | $3,256 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:33 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.470 | $1,271 | —— |
| Jul 2, 12:32 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.460 | $3,824 | —— |
| Jul 1, 01:38 AM | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY YES | 0.226 | $1,048 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 30, 01:29 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $2,000 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 01:11 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.810 | $16.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 12:22 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $8,274 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 11:16 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.810 | $56.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 11:06 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.810 | $24.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 11:03 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.833 | $9,650 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 10:57 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.834 | $4,172 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 10:41 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.836 | $2,509 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 03:57 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $1,655 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 03:57 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $9,102 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 03:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $4,137 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 03:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $2,234 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 01:03 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $2,356 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 07:17 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.295 | $1,392 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 26, 04:05 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.810 | $20.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 12:43 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,385 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 12:42 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.550 | $1,836 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 12:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $6,027 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 03:06 PM | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY NO | 0.460 | $2,678 | —— |
| Jun 24, 01:52 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $5,384 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:47 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $3,624 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 06:56 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.762 | $1,253 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:50 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.883 | $2,137 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:50 PM | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $2,942 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:50 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL YES | 0.990 | $6,068 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:50 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $9,825 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 04:15 AM | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,181 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:36 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $7,478 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:04 AM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $1,859 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 03:43 AM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,601 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 04:26 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $1,476 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 10:46 PM | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.964 | $2,603 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:01 AM | 0x781a06aa | BUY NO | 0.973 | $6,890 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 10:37 PM | Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,182 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 06:14 PM | Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL YES | 0.970 | $6,706 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 10:33 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.750 | $1,532 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:52 AM | 0x781a06aa | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,333 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 05:52 AM | 0x99a0fdc1 | BUY YES | 0.950 | $1,142 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 10:50 PM | 0x99a0fdc1 | BUY YES | 0.940 | $5,481 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 10:56 AM | 0x652002aa | BUY NO | 0.425 | $2,299 | —— |