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b2d0
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe951…de18 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
+1%
historical realized
Win rate
93.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$156.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · 1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
5
Distinct markets
2
Volume (90d)
$156.3K
avg $31.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$146.1K / $10.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 5 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 06:50 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.630 | $10.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 02:28 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $60.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 02:25 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $54.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:34 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.976 | $2,544 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 02:40 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.974 | $28.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
2 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Finance | 3 | $124.9K | +$104.3K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Finance | 2 | $31.5K | +$31.5K |