suntori

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe907…cff6 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe9076a87c5ed90ef16e6fe6529c943baeca0cff6·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

5,043

lifetime

PnL per $

-23%

historical realized

Win rate

43.9%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$21.02M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5043 resolved trades · -23% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$783.4K

avg $3,917 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$527.5K / $255.9K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 20, 02:23 PM	Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.640	$2,350	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 02:22 PM	Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-20?	BUY YES	0.390	$3,124	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 20, 01:54 PM	Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.626	$5,007	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 12:28 PM	FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY NO	0.958	$1,810	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 12:24 PM	Will FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara win on 2026-07-20?	BUY YES	0.450	$2,857	—
Jul 20, 10:33 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	SELL NO	0.896	$1,902	— (SELL)
Jul 20, 10:29 AM	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	BUY NO	0.968	$1,291	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 09:44 AM	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY YES	0.375	$1,455	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 20, 01:17 AM	Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,249	— (SELL)
Jul 20, 12:40 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$2,423	— (SELL)
Jul 20, 12:21 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$3,042	— (SELL)
Jul 20, 12:11 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,576	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:44 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,212	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:16 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,159	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:12 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$12.5K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:09 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,626	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:27 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.899	$1,048	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:26 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.888	$1,905	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:26 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,125	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:25 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,625	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:24 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$3,156	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:23 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,810	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:22 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$2,952	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:16 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$3,017	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:14 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,236	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:12 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,139	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:11 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$2,288	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:10 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$3,468	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:09 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$2,005	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:07 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,935	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:07 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$15.6K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:06 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,018	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:04 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,054	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:02 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,682	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:00 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.945	$5,508	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:59 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.057	$1,274	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:59 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.949	$1,905	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:57 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.930	$1,329	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:56 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.930	$19.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:54 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.915	$1,904	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:51 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.930	$1,284	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:43 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY YES	0.170	$1,394	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:41 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.603	$1,905	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:40 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.404	$2,381	—
Jul 19, 09:37 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.602	$2,857	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:24 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.329	$6,236	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:21 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.698	$1,429	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:21 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.305	$1,196	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:20 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.696	$1,302	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:20 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.693	$2,048	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:19 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.693	$1,657	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:17 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.707	$1,364	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.048	$1,639	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:07 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.124	$1,133	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:06 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.060	$1,090	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:06 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.621	$2,167	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:04 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY YES	0.745	$1,419	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:01 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.641	$2,004	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:58 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	SELL NO	0.999	$2,017	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:57 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.310	$2,088	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:57 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.316	$50.5K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:54 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.371	$5,387	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:52 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.321	$2,857	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:46 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY YES	0.651	$1,670	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:29 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.300	$2,143	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 08:19 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.025	$2,695	—
Jul 19, 08:19 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.140	$1,905	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:17 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.207	$1,417	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 08:14 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.209	$19.0K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 08:14 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half	SELL NO	0.999	$1,903	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:09 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,543	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:57 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	SELL YES	0.999	$6,603	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:52 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	BUY NO	0.363	$19.0K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:43 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	SELL YES	0.767	$2,193	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:40 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.413	$6,717	—
Jul 19, 07:39 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.415	$14.9K	—
Jul 19, 07:35 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.235	$9,608	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:32 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY NO	0.940	$1,790	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:28 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	BUY YES	0.620	$1,027	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:26 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.606	$4,762	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:24 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.499	$19.0K	—
Jul 19, 07:17 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.510	$1,905	—
Jul 19, 07:14 PM	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	BUY YES	0.685	$3,333	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:12 PM	Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,515	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:12 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.520	$4,952	—
Jul 19, 07:10 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.520	$1,499	—
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.520	$1,549	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.253	$3,810	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:02 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.550	$1,048	—
Jul 19, 07:01 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.585	$1,925	—
Jul 19, 07:00 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.100	$1,048	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:00 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.585	$2,638	—
Jul 19, 06:59 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.966	$1,951	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:55 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	BUY YES	0.490	$1,400	—
Jul 19, 06:51 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.160	$1,619	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:41 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.550	$7,003	—
Jul 19, 06:31 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.260	$7,887	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 05:57 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.550	$1,905	—
Jul 19, 05:16 PM	Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals	BUY NO	0.966	$2,857	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:07 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.045	$1,230	—
Jul 19, 05:07 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.100	$1,905	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 04:34 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.926	$9,524	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:29 PM	Argentina leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.220	$2,328	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 04:29 PM	Argentina leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.215	$6,400	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 04:29 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.412	$1,617	—
Jul 19, 04:09 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$3,524	—
Jul 19, 04:08 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.100	$1,058	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 04:05 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$1,238	—
Jul 19, 03:56 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.408	$1,062	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 03:50 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.910	$3,000	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 03:33 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$6,667	—
Jul 19, 03:01 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$1,524	—
Jul 19, 02:38 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.409	$1,048	—
Jul 19, 02:33 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$8,984	—
Jul 19, 02:27 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.030	$1,905	—
Jul 19, 02:26 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.030	$1,905	—
Jul 19, 02:26 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.592	$1,879	—
Jul 19, 02:18 PM	Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.820	$8,531	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 02:13 PM	Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.610	$5,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 02:12 PM	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.537	$4,762	—
Jul 19, 02:09 PM	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.999	$6,250	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 02:06 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.409	$1,064	—
Jul 19, 02:06 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	SELL YES	0.752	$6,973	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 01:47 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	SELL YES	0.809	$1,305	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 12:55 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.590	$2,655	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 12:22 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.409	$1,911	—
Jul 19, 11:52 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.590	$4,884	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:52 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.590	$1,003	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:47 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.591	$1,143	—
Jul 19, 10:06 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.268	$2,381	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 10:04 AM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.920	$1,137	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:56 AM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY NO	0.680	$1,411	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:19 AM	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.600	$2,141	—
Jul 19, 09:13 AM	Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.620	$5,905	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:11 AM	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.580	$1,208	—
Jul 19, 08:16 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.425	$2,815	—
Jul 19, 07:01 AM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.070	$6,653	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:16 AM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$1,905	—
Jul 19, 05:33 AM	Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.800	$1,614	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:16 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.410	$1,905	—
Jul 19, 04:04 AM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$2,759	—
Jul 19, 03:22 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	BUY NO	0.800	$4,673	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 11:02 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.930	$1,329	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:58 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BUY YES	0.890	$4,808	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:58 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BUY YES	0.876	$4,808	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:56 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.999	$19.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:52 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.952	$1,526	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:41 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.217	$2,571	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 10:35 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.940	$1,618	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:32 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.303	$3,758	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:26 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.171	$1,446	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:21 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.999	$2,269	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:13 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.999	$1,149	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:11 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.990	$7,878	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:07 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.780	$14.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:02 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.923	$9,029	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:52 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.770	$2,857	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:48 PM	England to win the second half?	BUY YES	0.317	$1,905	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:47 PM	England to score first vs. France?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,471	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:42 PM	England leading at halftime?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,279	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:41 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.590	$1,178	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:38 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.840	$6,685	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:23 PM	England leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.920	$1,178	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:23 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.880	$1,999	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:19 PM	England leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.900	$1,117	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:08 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.370	$1,223	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:58 PM	France leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.460	$7,905	—
Jul 18, 08:57 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.570	$1,337	—
Jul 18, 08:57 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.570	$1,476	—
Jul 18, 08:54 PM	Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.999	$8,049	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 08:53 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	BUY YES	0.060	$2,031	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:38 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.560	$2,857	—
Jul 18, 07:47 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.550	$1,599	—
Jul 18, 06:58 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.530	$1,714	—
Jul 18, 06:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.530	$1,905	—
Jul 18, 06:11 PM	Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.589	$4,745	—
Jul 18, 05:57 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	BUY NO	0.385	$6,542	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 05:56 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.530	$1,143	—
Jul 18, 04:08 PM	Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals	BUY YES	0.550	$1,048	—
Jul 18, 03:58 PM	Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.690	$1,090	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 03:58 PM	France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,333	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 03:37 PM	Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.689	$4,837	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 03:20 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.690	$1,905	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 03:03 PM	Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.470	$6,112	—
Jul 18, 03:01 PM	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	SELL NO	0.855	$5,601	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 02:38 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.270	$9,524	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 02:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	SELL YES	0.750	$1,434	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:59 PM	Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.688	$4,286	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 01:58 PM	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.999	$9,514	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:57 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.690	$1,868	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 12:07 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.401	$1,327	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:34 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BUY YES	0.754	$1,442	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:24 AM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY YES	0.140	$6,667	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:09 AM	France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,905	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:09 AM	Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.639	$6,763	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:06 AM	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.580	$5,524	—
Jul 18, 09:16 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.591	$39.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 07:26 AM	France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,780	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 06:23 AM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.933	$2,488	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 06:16 AM	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	SELL NO	0.818	$1,501	— (SELL)

Markets active in

59 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	45	$172.7K	$-87,007
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Tech	8	$81.3K	+$73.9K
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Tech	16	$67.7K	+$64.6K
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	Other	10	$60.6K	$-162
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	8	$54.8K	+$36.8K
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Tech	6	$31.8K	+$11.1K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	13	$28.9K	+$19.3K
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	5	$24.0K	+$24.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	Other	6	$20.8K	+$1,346
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	9	$15.8K	+$15.8K
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-18?	Other	2	$15.0K	$-3,990
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	5	$13.7K	$-431
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-18?	Tech	2	$12.8K	$-3,304
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-19?	Other	3	$9,598	$-2,901
Argentina leading at halftime?	Other	2	$8,728	+$8,728
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-19?	Other	1	$8,531	+$8,531
France leading at halftime?	Other	1	$7,905	+$7,905
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Both Teams to Score	Other	2	$7,356	+$7,356
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Other	2	$7,102	$-7,102
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-18?	Other	1	$6,763	+$6,763
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Other	1	$6,667	+$6,667
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	Crypto	1	$6,542	+$6,542
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-18?	Other	1	$6,112	+$6,112
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?	Other	1	$5,905	+$5,905
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Other	2	$5,203	$-5,203
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-19?	Other	1	$5,200	+$5,200
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Other	3	$5,018	+$5,018
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score	Other	1	$4,837	+$4,837
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?	Other	1	$4,762	+$4,762
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	Crypto	1	$4,673	+$4,673

Showing top 30 by volume.