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BlindGibbon

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe8ff…c93b with our methodology badges per row.

0xe8ff0a56d848954b60e8e8ed99637e3c50ddc93b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
no rep computed yet
PnL per $
historical realized
Win rate
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. No reputation snapshot yet — wallet is new or hasn't traded enough resolved markets.

Trades (90d)
13
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$135.3K
avg $10.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$123.9K / $11.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 13 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 26, 01:28 PMWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY NO0.944$4,224Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 01:28 PMWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY NO0.944$8,540Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 01:28 PMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.890$17.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 01:28 PMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.880$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 05:59 AMMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?BUY NO0.900$2,169Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 05:58 AMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY NO0.880$17.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 05:57 AMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY NO0.880$35.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 05:55 AMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY YES0.839$9,139Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 05:51 AMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL NO0.997$11.4K— (SELL)
Jun 26, 05:49 AMFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY NO0.847$1,010Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 12:34 AMMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?BUY NO0.880$1,725Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 10:05 AMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY NO0.910$10.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 12:04 AMFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY NO0.860$3,471Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

7 markets · sorted by volume