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alwaysfade
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe5b7…5ee3 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-14%
historical realized
Win rate
85.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$18.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -14% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$87.2K
avg $14.5K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$15.7K / $71.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 11:09 PM | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL YES | 0.011 | $1,065 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 11:08 PM | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL NO | 0.841 | $3,363 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 11:07 PM | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL YES | 0.520 | $2,600 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 11:23 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $64.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:07 PM | Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $5,696 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 10:58 AM | Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Other | 1 | $64.5K | $-64,500 |
| Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Sports | 2 | $15.7K | +$15.7K |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Finance | 1 | $3,363 | $-3,363 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Finance | 1 | $2,600 | $-2,600 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | 1 | $1,065 | $-1,065 |