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Allezpapa

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe549…2d54 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe549581668a5751c1972d3ad2d1991d900bd2d54·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
88
lifetime
PnL per $
+71%
historical realized
Win rate
60.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$3.04M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
107
Distinct markets
50
Volume (90d)
$3.97M
avg $37.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$3.97M / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 107 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 05:29 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.318$201.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 07:58 AMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.520$260.0K
Jul 15, 05:50 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.640$128.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 05:31 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.335$49.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 05:31 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.335$29.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 05:31 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.335$25.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 09:55 AMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.647$33.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:55 AMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.647$53.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:55 AMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.647$43.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:28 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.228$44.3KConviction tier
Jul 13, 08:20 PMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$75.0KConviction tier
Jul 12, 09:24 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.630$4,017Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 09:24 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.630$19.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 09:19 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.320$8,223Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 09:16 PMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$93.9KConviction tier
Jul 12, 09:16 PMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$56.1KConviction tier
Jul 11, 08:45 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.247$49.5KConviction tier
Jul 11, 11:53 AMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.258$77.3KConviction tier
Jul 10, 09:30 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.209$29.8KConviction tier
Jul 4, 08:52 PMWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$7,693Conviction tier
Jul 4, 08:45 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY YES0.310$24.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 03:54 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.026$8,181
Jul 3, 03:52 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.025$5,857
Jul 3, 03:46 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.066$16.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 07:00 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.650$26.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 03:27 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.650$1,594Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:53 PMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY YES0.280$42.0KConviction tier
Jun 30, 08:29 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$5,955Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 08:29 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$97.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 08:29 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$4,255Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 12:31 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY NO0.560$21.5K
Jun 30, 12:31 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY NO0.560$24.3K
Jun 29, 01:50 AMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$14.0KConviction tier
Jun 29, 01:39 AMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.170$2,677Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:36 AMWill England win on 2026-07-01?BUY NO0.230$13.5KConviction tier
Jun 29, 01:29 AMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$31.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:17 AMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY NO0.570$116.4K
Jun 29, 01:17 AMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY NO0.570$136.3K
Jun 29, 01:11 AMWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$1,589Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:11 AMWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$4,016Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:11 AMWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$1,432Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:07 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY NO0.430$35.0K
Jun 29, 01:07 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY NO0.430$7,993
Jun 28, 03:38 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$2,634
Jun 28, 03:36 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.022$16.4K
Jun 28, 03:36 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.022$2,156
Jun 28, 04:33 AMWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY YES0.250$28.0KConviction tier
Jun 28, 12:03 AMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.570$24.2K
Jun 26, 12:37 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.250$86.6KConviction tier
Jun 26, 12:33 AMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY YES0.565$8,533
Jun 25, 09:35 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.480$7,378
Jun 25, 09:35 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.480$159.0K
Jun 25, 09:05 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.660$13.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:05 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.660$54.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:05 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.660$15.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 04:27 PMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.640$16.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 04:27 PMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.640$177.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 04:27 PMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.640$116.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 04:24 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.189$22.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 03:29 AMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.600$18.8K
Jun 25, 03:29 AMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.600$56.2K
Jun 24, 11:35 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.520$207.9K
Jun 24, 02:51 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.017$3,204
Jun 23, 04:13 PMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.580$1,469
Jun 23, 04:13 PMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.580$104.5K
Jun 23, 02:46 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.139$26.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 02:46 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.139$1,549Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$6,876Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$6,368Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$17.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$12.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$2,255Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$9,281Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$7,136Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:50 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$3,936Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:27 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.680$34.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 10:27 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.680$14.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 09:59 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.640$7,467Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 09:59 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.640$14.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:04 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.011$2,532
Jun 22, 04:04 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.011$1,345
Jun 22, 03:59 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.126$37.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 03:59 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.016$35.0K
Jun 22, 03:56 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.139$4,985Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 03:56 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.139$92.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 03:56 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.139$20.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 10:47 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.600$97.4K
Jun 21, 02:54 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.310$110.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 02:54 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.310$13.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 02:33 AMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.570$31.4K
Jun 21, 02:33 AMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.570$93.8K
Jun 21, 02:33 AMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.570$11.2K
Jun 12, 11:43 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.490$1,014
Jun 12, 11:43 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.490$17.7K
Jun 12, 11:21 PMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.620$1,376Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:21 PMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.620$36.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:29 PMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17?BUY NO0.560$2,383
Jun 12, 12:58 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.420$7,454
Jun 11, 01:13 AMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.490$7,057
Jun 10, 09:55 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$2,159
Jun 10, 09:55 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$2,359
Jun 10, 09:55 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$2,710
Jun 10, 09:55 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$3,255
Jun 10, 09:51 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$52.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 10, 09:51 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$14.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 09:13 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.800$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 09:04 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.470$9,551

Markets active in

50 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?Other3$310.7K+$310.7K
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Other6$281.5K+$281.5K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other1$260.0K+$260.0K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Crypto2$252.7K+$252.7K
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Tech3$225.0K+$225.0K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech7$220.2K+$220.2K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Other1$207.9K+$207.9K
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Tech1$201.4K+$201.4K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Other2$166.4K+$166.4K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Other3$136.4K+$136.4K
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Other2$126.8K+$126.8K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Other2$124.0K+$124.0K
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Other4$112.4K+$112.4K
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Other4$110.7K+$110.7K
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Other2$106.0K+$106.0K
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Other1$97.4K+$97.4K
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Other1$86.6K+$86.6K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Tech3$83.1K+$83.1K
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Other2$75.1K+$75.1K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$67.4K+$67.4K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Other8$65.3K+$65.3K
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Other2$49.3K+$49.3K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Other2$45.9K+$45.9K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Other2$43.0K+$43.0K
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Other1$42.0K+$42.0K
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$38.2K+$38.2K
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Other2$38.2K+$38.2K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$37.8K+$37.8K
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Other1$31.2K+$31.2K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Other2$28.2K+$28.2K

Showing top 30 by volume.