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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe462…1a2a with our methodology badges per row.

0xe462d735fe7aa7bd9360317c7598440767ac1a2a·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
46
lifetime
PnL per $
-36%
historical realized
Win rate
22.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$211.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 46 resolved trades · -36% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
53
Distinct markets
38
Volume (90d)
$225.6K
avg $4,257 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$137.7K / $87.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 53 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 18, 11:14 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.265$14.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 11:03 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?SELL YES0.999$19.1K— (SELL)
Jul 17, 04:41 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.250$4,774Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 09:01 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.988$12.7K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:48 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL YES0.725$2,685— (SELL)
Jul 15, 06:02 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.310$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 11:53 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.158$1,778Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 11:52 PMNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?SELL NO0.999$1,868— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:56 PMNorway to win the second half?BUY YES0.281$8,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 09:40 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.432$20.0K
Jul 10, 07:32 PMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$1,201
Jul 10, 07:30 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?SELL YES0.157$1,278— (SELL)
Jul 10, 04:40 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.242$1,979Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 06:20 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.420$8,000
Jul 7, 06:06 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL YES0.999$8,502— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:25 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.470$4,000
Jul 7, 04:16 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?SELL YES0.202$4,265— (SELL)
Jul 7, 09:43 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.090$1,900Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 12:10 AMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?SELL YES0.240$1,286— (SELL)
Jul 6, 09:09 PMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.280$1,500Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 05:27 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.230$3,878Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 09:42 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?SELL YES0.604$5,235— (SELL)
Jul 5, 09:22 PMWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?SELL YES0.417$3,011— (SELL)
Jul 5, 11:33 AMWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$1,951Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 05:46 AMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.210$1,821Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 05:14 PMWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?SELL YES0.230$1,089— (SELL)
Jul 4, 04:48 PMWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.050$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 07:07 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.670$3,935Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:38 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?SELL YES0.640$3,122— (SELL)
Jul 3, 03:22 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.410$2,000
Jul 2, 05:36 AMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.750$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 09:27 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.400$4,517Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 09:00 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?SELL YES0.999$3,700— (SELL)
Jun 28, 05:48 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.540$2,000
Jun 27, 04:35 PMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.190$1,588Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 04:15 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?SELL YES0.510$2,452— (SELL)
Jun 27, 04:06 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.520$2,500
Jun 27, 12:56 AMSpain to win the second half?BUY YES0.413$4,000
Jun 26, 10:51 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.325$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 07:34 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.940$7,562— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:36 AMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.610$4,907Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 10:18 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.647$2,075Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 10:18 AMWill Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.117$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 07:26 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.510$2,380
Jun 24, 07:25 PMWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY YES0.120$2,498Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 05:45 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.680$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 05:39 AMWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?BUY YES0.090$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 10:12 PMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY YES0.110$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 10:00 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$3,074— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:27 PMGermany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?BUY YES0.810$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:21 PMGermany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?SELL YES0.347$2,674— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:15 PMGermany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?BUY YES0.779$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:59 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$4,306— (SELL)

Markets active in

38 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will England win on 2026-07-18?Other2$23.9K$-14,303
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Other2$16.7K$-8,742
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Other1$14.0K+$14.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Other2$12.5K$-4,502
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Other2$12.5K$-2,655
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?Other3$11.7K+$6,326
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Other3$9,057+$2,813
Norway to win the second half?Other1$8,000+$8,000
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Other1$8,000+$8,000
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Other2$7,055$-3,414
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Other2$6,165$-2,365
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Other2$5,700$-1,700
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Other2$4,962$-1,061
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Other2$4,952+$48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Other1$4,517+$4,517
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Crypto1$4,306$-4,306
Spain to win the second half?Tech1$4,000+$4,000
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Other1$3,878+$3,878
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Tech2$3,258+$701
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other1$3,074$-3,074
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Other2$2,786+$214
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Other1$2,685$-2,685
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Other1$2,500+$2,500
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Tech1$2,498+$2,498
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Other1$2,380+$2,380
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Other1$2,075+$2,075

Showing top 30 by volume.