| Jul 19, 04:51 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.587 | $8,168 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 04:29 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $93.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 12:09 PM | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY NO | 0.966 | $43.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 08:40 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $12.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 03:57 PM | US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $1,038 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 01:21 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.630 | $2,572 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 12:36 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.457 | $2,053 | —— |
| Jul 6, 11:55 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $1,791 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 11:21 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,297 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:33 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.797 | $7,238 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:06 PM | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $679.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 11:36 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.139 | $4,974 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 08:48 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.141 | $3,410 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 5, 06:19 PM | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | BUY YES | 0.542 | $1,968 | —— |
| Jul 4, 08:54 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.068 | $5,596 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 06:28 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.826 | $3,058 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 09:20 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.539 | $6,168 | —— |
| Jun 30, 09:19 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.486 | $1,641 | —— |
| Jun 30, 09:09 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.585 | $1,410 | —— |
| Jun 28, 07:39 PM | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY YES | 0.947 | $2,097 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 05:30 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY NO | 0.420 | $2,100 | —— |
| Jun 13, 03:31 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $398.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 08:22 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $92.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:07 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.410 | $1,061 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:35 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.300 | $3,333 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 05:32 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.358 | $10.6K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 01:24 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $398.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.100 | $2,420 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 05:37 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $9,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 27, 11:48 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.200 | $4,783 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 07:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $27.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 07:46 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $28.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 07:45 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $28.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 04:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.060 | $3,191 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 09:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.130 | $3,245 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 12:22 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.480 | $9,074 | —— |
| May 24, 02:42 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $4,299 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 01:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $2,103 | —— |
| May 23, 11:36 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.630 | $14.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 11:35 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.728 | $6,907 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 09:29 AM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL NO | 0.703 | $1,230 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 09:11 AM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.577 | $8,516 | —— |
| May 23, 09:09 AM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.558 | $1,155 | —— |
| May 23, 09:09 AM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.545 | $1,630 | —— |
| May 23, 01:47 AM | 0xdb22a774 | SELL YES | 0.987 | $47.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 12:39 AM | 0x7abff4a0 | BUY NO | 0.759 | $1,932 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 12:10 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $3,465 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 08:26 AM | 0x7f4378c2 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $19.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 08:26 AM | 0x5341e90b | SELL NO | 0.999 | $36.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 08:26 AM | 0xaa145cf5 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $193.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 06:19 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.190 | $5,705 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 07:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.130 | $26.0K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 06:58 AM | 0x9d5bcba0 | BUY YES | 0.546 | $5,546 | —— |
| May 21, 03:21 AM | 0x1443e018 | BUY NO | 0.706 | $2,045 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 03:04 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $44.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:27 AM | 0x5341e90b | BUY NO | 0.996 | $34.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:27 AM | 0x7f4378c2 | BUY NO | 0.996 | $19.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:27 AM | 0xaa145cf5 | BUY NO | 0.996 | $92.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 01:03 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.190 | $5,532 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 12:53 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.200 | $7,862 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 04:52 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $2,618 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 20, 02:04 AM | 0xaa145cf5 | BUY NO | 0.991 | $73.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 11:28 PM | 0xe3033b16 | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,410 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 02:33 PM | 0xe3033b16 | BUY NO | 0.550 | $3,143 | —— |
| May 19, 01:51 AM | 0xe3033b16 | BUY NO | 0.610 | $8,011 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $3,172 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 01:55 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL YES | 0.390 | $3,900 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 08:21 AM | 0x9d5bcba0 | BUY NO | 0.763 | $1,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 11:51 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY YES | 0.410 | $2,488 | —— |
| May 16, 12:47 PM | 0xebd29f93 | BUY YES | 0.650 | $1,329 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 06:28 AM | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $25.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |