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GrimoireWeiss

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe0bf…d7fe with our methodology badges per row.

0xe0bf7ab5b11dcbdbb169638cacf43edaa540d7fe·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
+196%
historical realized
Win rate
37.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$149.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
28
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$245.1K
avg $8,753 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$142.5K / $102.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 28 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 11, 07:44 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.830$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.886$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 03:53 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY YES0.912$1,008Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:28 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.847$28.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:25 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.930$28.4K— (SELL)
Jun 6, 02:05 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.770$5,986Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 02:04 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.930$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 02:03 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.930$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 02:01 AM0x366f8964SELL NO0.986$21.0K— (SELL)
Jun 1, 05:02 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.876$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 05:01 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.940$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 04:33 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.999$32.6K— (SELL)
May 29, 02:16 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.890$2,511Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 02:16 AM2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL NO0.806$2,530— (SELL)
May 27, 11:34 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.820$2,316Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 11:34 AM2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL NO0.805$2,334— (SELL)
May 26, 11:43 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.770$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:42 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL NO0.992$12.6K— (SELL)
May 24, 02:56 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.656$1,012Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:55 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL NO0.890$1,011— (SELL)
May 24, 11:27 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.710$1,013Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 11:26 AM0xbcacd5a0SELL NO0.973$1,014— (SELL)
May 24, 11:19 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.720$4,296Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:43 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.360$1,573Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 11:39 PM0x828aaec4SELL NO0.977$1,062— (SELL)
May 23, 08:06 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.640$2,216Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 09:50 PM0x53098776BUY NO0.965$2,102Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 01:52 AM2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY NO0.808$9,918Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

11 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other6$76.0K+$19.2K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other6$53.3K$-11,910
0x366f89642$41.0K$-986
0x6114a8a32$34.4K+$34.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other4$19.5K$-5,750
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics3$14.8K+$5,055
0x530987761$2,102+$2,102
0x828aaec41$1,062$-1,062
0xbcacd5a01$1,014$-1,014
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Tech1$1,011$-1,011
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech1$1,008+$1,008