Back to whale feed

efghvcdbjkpqwo

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe0a5…f6a4 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe0a521d92b6b7d2b45e9d55f05e3a8be1c41f6a4·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-44%
historical realized
Win rate
53.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$40.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -44% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
19
Distinct markets
12
Volume (90d)
$110.0K
avg $5,789 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$58.4K / $51.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 19 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 11, 08:45 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.942$9,420Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:59 PMWill Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.930$1,860Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:21 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.968$10.3K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 06:40 AMWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL NO0.810$3,908— (SELL)
Jun 30, 12:55 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.806$1,451— (SELL)
Jun 8, 11:40 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.850$1,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:27 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.860$1,720Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:24 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.860$28.8K— (SELL)
Jun 5, 11:38 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.820$2,866— (SELL)
Jun 3, 04:03 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.770$2,156Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 02:29 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.969$6,012Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 08:41 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.810$4,320Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 08:39 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.994$4,335— (SELL)
May 28, 01:09 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.880$1,200Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 07:09 AMChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY NO0.770$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:22 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.975$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:03 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.850$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 07:23 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.860$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:57 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.850$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

12 markets · sorted by volume