| Jul 20, 12:15 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.557 | $1,558 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 11:56 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $5,098 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 06:41 PM | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.918 | $2,755 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:40 PM | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $19.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:39 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $9,675 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:33 PM | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.574 | $1,614 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:32 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $9,890 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:31 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.955 | $12.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:31 PM | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.955 | $10.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:30 PM | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.851 | $12.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:29 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $17.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 11, 10:35 PM | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.750 | $3,750 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 08:51 PM | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY YES | 0.912 | $5,031 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 10:22 AM | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY NO | 0.938 | $5,018 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 10:13 AM | Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $2,472 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 10:12 AM | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.740 | $3,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 10:12 AM | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $3,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 06:27 PM | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $17.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 06:05 PM | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $6,133 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 03:12 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $7,101 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 03:08 PM | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $17.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 02:21 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $17.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 02:06 PM | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $19.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 02:01 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $6,726 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 05:36 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.175 | $5,748 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 07:15 AM | Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.687 | $2,020 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 07:11 AM | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL YES | 0.470 | $2,909 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 06:46 AM | Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,480 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 06:38 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $20.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 07:43 AM | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.717 | $14.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 07:34 AM | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,489 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 06:40 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.089 | $3,560 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 07:35 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $18.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:48 PM | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $9,780 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:42 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $9,870 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:41 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $3,878 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:28 AM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.970 | $2,487 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:52 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $49.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 09:08 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $1,334 | —— |
| Jun 2, 08:55 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $49.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 08:54 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $8,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 01:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $49.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:02 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $49.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 09:22 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL NO | 0.979 | $2,387 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:11 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.686 | $13.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.729 | $6,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:04 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.728 | $1,915 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:53 PM | 0x78f5630b | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,788 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:13 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $6,687 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:10 AM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY YES | 0.420 | $1,389 | —— |
| Jun 1, 08:09 AM | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $2,729 | —— |
| May 27, 11:26 AM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $24.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:20 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $19.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 07:22 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $2,099 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 07:20 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.961 | $18.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 07:19 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $26.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 12:44 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $6,032 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 07:58 PM | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $10.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:20 PM | 0xa93b28a6 | BUY NO | 0.758 | $2,274 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |