| Jun 12, 06:40 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.089 | $3,560 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 07:35 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $18.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:48 PM | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $9,780 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:42 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $9,870 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 09:41 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $3,878 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:28 AM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.970 | $2,487 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:52 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $49.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 09:08 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $1,334 | —— |
| Jun 2, 08:55 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $49.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 08:54 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $8,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 01:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $49.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:02 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $49.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 09:22 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL NO | 0.979 | $2,387 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:11 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.686 | $13.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.729 | $6,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:04 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.728 | $1,915 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:53 PM | Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,788 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:13 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $6,687 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:10 AM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY YES | 0.420 | $1,389 | —— |
| Jun 1, 08:09 AM | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $2,729 | —— |
| May 27, 11:26 AM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $24.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:20 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $19.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 07:22 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $2,099 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 07:20 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.961 | $18.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 07:19 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $26.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 12:44 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $6,032 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 07:58 PM | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $10.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:20 PM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.758 | $2,274 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 11:07 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $24.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:19 PM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $21.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 03:31 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | SELL NO | 0.654 | $1,562 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 02:41 PM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $11.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 02:38 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $15.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 02:37 PM | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $8,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 02:36 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.971 | $7,928 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 09:58 AM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL NO | 0.770 | $5,071 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 11, 08:08 AM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $21.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 06:05 AM | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY YES | 0.390 | $1,622 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 7, 11:08 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $22.2K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 08:24 AM | 0x773abaa5 | SELL NO | 0.813 | $6,188 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 08:23 AM | 0x773abaa5 | SELL NO | 0.840 | $2,005 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 6, 10:46 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $1,324 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 10:04 AM | Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.926 | $4,440 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 09:25 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $20.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 09:18 AM | 0x7cb525e8 | SELL NO | 0.998 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |