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bigbonder
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xdef6…f69a with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-43%
historical realized
Win rate
47.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$49.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -43% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
11
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$212.7K
avg $19.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$155.2K / $57.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 11 · 90d windowMarkets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Other | 2 | $108.9K | +$65.8K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Other | 1 | $31.1K | +$31.1K |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 2 | $29.7K | $-22,291 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 4 | $22.0K | +$2,104 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Politics | 1 | $19.9K | +$19.9K |
| Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | Other | 1 | $1,042 | +$1,042 |