wkmfa518

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xddff…52d6 with our methodology badges per row.

0xddff18c9e86262e62af046d818dda0c3de6f52d6·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-54%

historical realized

Win rate

41.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$1.35M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 66 resolved trades · -54% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

110

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.81M

avg $16.4K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$696.4K / $1.11M

net direction

Recent trades

last 110 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 08:25 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.917	$118.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:25 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.926	$57.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:51 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.939	$9,549	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:28 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.940	$15.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:50 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.920	$2,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 05:54 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.910	$7,002	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 05:27 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.620	$14.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 13, 05:20 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.600	$16.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 13, 05:19 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.600	$12.2K	— (SELL)
Jul 13, 05:18 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.600	$8,283	— (SELL)
Jul 13, 05:13 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.600	$9,471	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 07:39 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.850	$1,097	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 04:21 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.850	$1,887	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:09 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.810	$6,539	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:06 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.800	$1,607	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:06 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.800	$21.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 06:38 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.780	$8,444	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 01:53 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.780	$3,549	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 10:54 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.770	$2,137	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 03:06 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.792	$230.2K	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 01:29 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.910	$18.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 01:28 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.910	$100.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:41 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.910	$45.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:29 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.910	$9,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:11 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.900	$30.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 07:34 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.994	$14.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 10:42 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.977	$33.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 5, 09:33 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.978	$10.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 5, 08:34 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.981	$1,906	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 07:12 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.975	$2,374	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 06:47 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.973	$7,492	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 06:06 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.974	$4,863	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 06:03 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.974	$8,676	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 06:03 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.975	$2,943	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 06:03 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.976	$1,006	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 03:25 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.974	$34.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 02:37 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.983	$8,128	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 02:11 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.975	$18.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 02:03 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.976	$9,251	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 01:21 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.975	$19.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 12:58 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.976	$11.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 12:43 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.977	$7,435	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 07:36 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.974	$37.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 07:30 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.975	$13.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 01:03 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.983	$1,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:00 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.983	$8,111	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 12:56 PM	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	SELL YES	0.707	$7,813	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:15 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.979	$5,463	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:12 PM	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	BUY YES	0.825	$4,086	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:55 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$25.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 01:49 PM	0x1591b72d	SELL NO	0.998	$4,958	— (SELL)
May 28, 09:49 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.960	$1,336	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 09:45 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.972	$35.0K	— (SELL)
May 28, 09:44 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.975	$14.3K	— (SELL)
May 28, 09:44 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL NO	0.973	$1,324	— (SELL)
May 28, 09:17 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.975	$3,413	— (SELL)
May 28, 09:17 AM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.976	$1,814	— (SELL)
May 28, 09:09 AM	0xd8617701	SELL NO	0.997	$3,704	— (SELL)
May 28, 08:53 AM	0x1591b72d	SELL NO	0.997	$8,302	— (SELL)
May 28, 08:38 AM	0x1591b72d	SELL NO	0.997	$4,418	— (SELL)
May 28, 08:36 AM	0x40e923d7	SELL NO	0.998	$19.7K	— (SELL)
May 27, 11:25 AM	0x4f61a39a	SELL NO	0.998	$16.6K	— (SELL)
May 24, 07:23 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.975	$3,147	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 07:23 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.975	$2,703	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 06:57 PM	0xf61c2271	SELL NO	0.998	$1,338	— (SELL)
May 16, 10:32 AM	0x4f61a39a	BUY NO	0.990	$15.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:31 AM	0x5a8963c5	BUY NO	0.985	$13.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:15 AM	0xf61c2271	BUY NO	0.990	$20.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:12 AM	0x40e923d7	BUY NO	0.988	$7,386	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 10:09 AM	0x40e923d7	BUY NO	0.987	$3,047	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 09:38 AM	0x5a8963c5	BUY NO	0.980	$7,496	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 09:29 AM	0x40e923d7	BUY NO	0.985	$8,995	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 08:27 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.988	$2,914	— (SELL)
May 16, 08:24 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.988	$20.0K	— (SELL)
May 16, 08:22 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.989	$1,690	— (SELL)
May 16, 08:22 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.989	$7,250	— (SELL)
May 16, 08:22 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.989	$12.5K	— (SELL)
May 16, 08:18 AM	0xbcacd5a0	SELL NO	0.940	$28.2K	— (SELL)
May 15, 09:02 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.960	$19.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 06:50 PM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.990	$1,212	— (SELL)
May 15, 10:27 AM	0x828aaec4	SELL NO	0.910	$1,746	— (SELL)
May 15, 10:18 AM	0xbcacd5a0	BUY NO	0.950	$28.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 10:08 AM	0x4f61a39a	BUY NO	0.984	$1,390	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:41 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.960	$5,452	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 12:03 PM	0x1591b72d	BUY NO	0.976	$1,093	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 11:38 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.987	$3,644	— (SELL)
May 14, 11:38 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.987	$6,841	— (SELL)
May 13, 07:58 PM	0xcdc9fdf7	BUY NO	0.993	$3,782	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 07:00 PM	0xcdc9fdf7	BUY NO	0.993	$28.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 07:00 PM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.986	$11.1K	— (SELL)
May 13, 07:00 PM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.986	$10.5K	— (SELL)
May 13, 07:00 PM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.986	$6,595	— (SELL)
May 13, 10:01 AM	0x1591b72d	BUY NO	0.974	$5,593	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 10:39 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.950	$15.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 10:37 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.984	$14.7K	— (SELL)
May 12, 09:58 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.950	$11.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 09:20 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.985	$10.7K	— (SELL)
May 12, 08:48 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.950	$33.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 08:48 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.950	$65.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 08:48 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.986	$9,580	— (SELL)
May 12, 07:46 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.985	$1,250	— (SELL)
May 12, 07:45 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.950	$70.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 07:43 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.985	$8,765	— (SELL)
May 12, 07:43 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.986	$14.9K	— (SELL)
May 12, 07:43 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.987	$8,434	— (SELL)
May 11, 10:05 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.950	$10.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 10:04 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.980	$9,802	— (SELL)
May 11, 09:20 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.980	$11.1K	— (SELL)
May 11, 09:20 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.980	$16.4K	— (SELL)
May 11, 09:20 AM	0x789c947a	SELL NO	0.981	$40.6K	— (SELL)

Markets active in

15 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Finance	25	$751.7K	$-232,405
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Other	27	$492.3K	$-28,968
0x789c947a	—	22	$230.4K	$-230,411
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Finance	9	$56.9K	+$1,574
0xbcacd5a0	—	2	$56.7K	+$300
0x40e923d7	—	4	$39.1K	$-227
0x4f61a39a	—	3	$33.1K	$-142
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	3	$32.6K	+$21.6K
0xcdc9fdf7	—	2	$32.0K	+$32.0K
0x1591b72d	—	5	$24.4K	$-10,993
0xf61c2271	—	2	$21.6K	+$18.9K
0x5a8963c5	—	2	$21.3K	+$21.3K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	2	$11.9K	$-3,727
0xd8617701	—	1	$3,704	$-3,704
0x828aaec4	—	1	$1,746	$-1,746